monthly us output growth

The monthly change in U.S. output used as one of the forecast targets in the empirical evaluation.

• Types

  forecast target, time series

• Aliases

  US output growth

• Contributors
  박진우 (dztg5apj7m) extractionB (s683577b42) reviewAnonymous (12632b8b5f) review

• Using the Entire Yield Curve in Forecasting Output and Inflation

  16 citations

• The performance advantage of CF factor models is especially strong at longer forecast horizons for monthly US output growth and inflation.

• No direct concept-to-concept edges are published yet.

• combining forecasts (cf) factors

  factor model, method1 shared papers
• combining information (ci) factors

  factor model, method1 shared papers
• principal components (pc)

  statistical method, factor extraction method1 shared papers
• nelson–siegel (ns) factor model

  factor model, time series model1 shared papers
• out-of-sample forecasting

  evaluation setting, forecasting task1 shared papers
• monthly us inflation

  forecast target, time series1 shared papers
• monte carlo simulation

  simulation method, evaluation method1 shared papers