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Uncertainty aversion in game theory: Experimental evidence

Evan M. Calford

Published 2020 in Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization

ABSTRACT

This paper experimentally investigates the role of uncertainty aversion in normal form games. Theoretically, risk aversion will affect the utility value assigned to realized outcomes while ambiguity aversion affects the evaluation of strategies. In practice, however, utilities over outcomes are unobservable and the effects of risk and ambiguity are confounded. This paper introduces a novel methodology for identifying the effects of risk and ambiguity preferences on behavior in games in a laboratory environment. Furthermore, we also separate the effects of a subject's beliefs over her opponent's preferences from the effects of her own preferences. The results support the conjecture that both preferences over uncertainty and beliefs over opponent's preferences affect behavior in normal form games.

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