Many women in resource-poor settings lack access to reliable gestational age assessment because they do not know their last menstrual period; there is no ultrasound (US) and methods of newborn gestational age dating are not practised by birth attendants. A bespoke multiple-measures model was developed to predict the expected date of delivery determined by US. The results are compared with both a linear and a nonlinear model. Prospectively collected early US and serial symphysis-pubis fundal height (SFH) data were used in the models. The data were collected from Karen and Burmese women attending antenatal care on the Thai–Burmese border. The multiple-measures model performed best, resulting in a range of accuracy depending on the number of SFH measures recorded per mother (for example six SFH measurements resulted in a prediction accuracy of ±2 weeks). SFH remains the proxy for gestational age in much of the resource-poor world. While more accurate measures should be encouraged, we demonstrate that a formula that incorporates at least three SFH measures from an individual mother and the slopes between them provide a significant increase in the accuracy of prediction compared with the linear and nonlinear formulae also using multiple SFH measures.
Estimation of gestational age from fundal height: a solution for resource-poor settings
L. White,Sue J Lee,K. Stepniewska,J. Simpson,Saw Lu Mu Dwell,Ratree Arunjerdja,P. Singhasivanon,N. White,F. Nosten,R. McGready
Published 2011 in Journal of the Royal Society Interface
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- Publication year
2011
- Venue
Journal of the Royal Society Interface
- Publication date
2011-08-17
- Fields of study
Medicine
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Semantic Scholar, PubMed
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