Projection predictive model selection for Gaussian processes

Juho Piironen,Aki Vehtari

Published 2015 in International Workshop on Machine Learning for Signal Processing

ABSTRACT

We propose a new method for simplification of Gaussian process (GP) models by projecting the information contained in the full encompassing model and selecting a reduced number of variables based on their predictive relevance. Our results on synthetic and real world datasets show that the proposed method improves the assessment of variable relevance compared to the automatic relevance determination (ARD) via the length-scale parameters. We expect the method to be useful for improving explainability of the models, reducing the future measurement costs and reducing the computation time for making new predictions.

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