SCIENCE@home

Contributions of Talent, Perspective, Context and Luck to Success

Bernardo Alves Furtado

Published 2019 in arXiv: Physics and Society

ABSTRACT

We propose a controlled simulation within a competitive sum-zero environment as a proxy for disaggregating components of success. Given a simulation of the Risk board game, we consider (a) Talent to be one of three rule-based strategies used by players; (b) Context as the setting of each run of the game with opponents' strategies, goals and luck; and (c) Perspective as the objective of each player. Success is attained when a first player conquers its goal. We simulate 100,000 runs of an agent-based model and analyze the results. The simulation results strongly suggest that luck, talent and context are all relevant to determine success. Perspective -- as the description of the goal that defines success -- is not. As such, we present a quantitative, reproducible environment in which we are able to significantly separate the concepts, reproducing previous results of the literature and adding arguments for context and perspective. Finally, we also find that the simulation offers insights on the relevance of resilience and opportunity.

PUBLICATION RECORD

  • Publication year

    2019

  • Venue

    arXiv: Physics and Society

  • Publication date

    2019-12-31

  • Fields of study

    Physics, Computer Science, Economics

  • Identifiers
    arXiv 2001.00034
  • External record

    Open on Semantic Scholar

  • Source metadata

    Semantic Scholar

CITATION MAP

EXTRACTION MAP

CLAIMS

  • No claims are published for this paper.

CONCEPTS

  • No concepts are published for this paper.

REFERENCES

Showing 1-17 of 17 references · Page 1 of 1

CITED BY