Risk Decision Analysis Method for Emergency Response Based on Co-occurrence Network and Prospect Theory

From the point of co-occurrence analysis, the article uses theme search to identify a collection of emergencies, which selected from about 70 years of research literature in China Journal full-text database and Web of Science database between 1959 and 2012. Through analysing the frequency of emergencies, the article builds a co-occurrence matrix, creates an emergency network according to co-occurrence rate between emergencies, and identifies a number of hidden disaster chains within the emergency network model. Secondly, losses occur due to the intervention of decision markers, and the feeling of psychological and the weight of possible scenarios are described using the theory of prospect. According to the values, weights and alternative costs, the overall prospect value of each alternative is calculated to determine the rank of schemes. Finally, the analogy simulation is given to illustrate the feasibility and validity of the emergency network and the proposed method.

• Publication year

  2020

• Venue

  Journal of Physics: Conference Series

• Publication date

  2020-01-01

• Fields of study

  Physics, Computer Science, Political Science, Engineering, Environmental Science

• Identifiers
  DOI 10.1088/1742-6596/1437/1/012077
• External record

  Open on Semantic Scholar

• Source metadata

  Semantic Scholar

• No claims are published for this paper.

• No concepts are published for this paper.

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