Job Demands and Job Control and Future Labor Market Situation: An 11-year Prospective Study of 2.2 Million Employees.

K. Farrants,Jan Norberg,E. Framke,R. Rugulies,K. Alexanderson

Published 2020 in Journal of Occupational and Environmental Medicine

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES Investigate prospective associations between combinations of job demands/job control and future labor market situation. METHODS A population-based prospective cohort study of 2,194,694 individuals in paid work. Using multinomial logistic regression, we calculated the association between combinations of job demands/control in 2001, according to a job exposure matrix, and their long-term unemployment, sickness absence/disability pension, early old-age pension, emigration, and death in 2012. RESULTS Low demands/low control at baseline was associated with long-term sickness absence/disability pension at follow-up among both women and men (odds ratios [ORs] 1.49; 95% confidence intervals [CIs] 1.46-1.53). High demands/low control at baseline was associated with a higher likelihood of old-age pension among women (OR 1.91; CI 1.82-2.00), and with a lower likelihood among men (OR 0.59; CI 0.53-0.66). CONCLUSIONS Combinations of job demands/job control in 2001 were associated with labor market situation in 2012.

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