A Primer on Bayesian Model-Averaged Meta-Analysis

Q. Gronau,D. Heck,S. Berkhout,J. Haaf,E. Wagenmakers

Published 2020 in Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science

ABSTRACT

Meta-analysis is the predominant approach for quantitatively synthesizing a set of studies. If the studies themselves are of high quality, meta-analysis can provide valuable insights into the current scientific state of knowledge about a particular phenomenon. In psychological science, the most common approach is to conduct frequentist meta-analysis. In this primer, we discuss an alternative method, Bayesian model-averaged meta-analysis. This procedure combines the results of four Bayesian meta-analysis models: (a) fixed-effect null hypothesis, (b) fixed-effect alternative hypothesis, (c) random-effects null hypothesis, and (d) random-effects alternative hypothesis. These models are combined according to their plausibilities given the observed data to address the two key questions “Is the overall effect nonzero?” and “Is there between-study variability in effect size?” Bayesian model-averaged meta-analysis therefore avoids the need to select either a fixed-effect or random-effects model and instead takes into account model uncertainty in a principled manner.

PUBLICATION RECORD

  • Publication year

    2020

  • Venue

    Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science

  • Publication date

    2020-04-24

  • Fields of study

    Computer Science, Psychology

  • Identifiers
  • External record

    Open on Semantic Scholar

  • Source metadata

    Semantic Scholar

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