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Importance of the PaCO(2) from 3 to 6 months after initiation of long-term non-invasive ventilation.

T. Tsuboi,M. Ohi,T. Oga,K. Machida,Y. Chihara,Y. Harada,Ken‐ichi Takahashi,Kensuke Sumi,T. Handa,A. Niimi,M. Mishima,K. Chin

Published 2010 in Respiratory Medicine

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND The level at which arterial carbon dioxide tension (PaCO(2)) a few months after introduction of long-term non-invasive positive pressure ventilation (NPPV) is associated with a favorable prognosis remains uncertain. METHODS Data on 184 post-tuberculosis patients with chronic restrictive ventilatory failure who were receiving long-term domiciliary NPPV were examined retrospectively. Average PaCO(2) 3-6 months after NPPV (3- to 6-mo PaCO(2)) and potential confounders were analyzed with discontinuation of long-term NPPV as the primary outcome. The effects of 3- to 6-mo PaCO(2) on annual hospitalization rates due to respiratory deterioration from 1 year before to 3 years after the initiation of NPPV were examined. The effect of the difference between the PaCO(2) value at the start of NPPV (0-mo PaCO(2)) and the PaCO(2) value 3- to 6-mo later (d-PaCO(2)) on continuation rates for NPPV was also assessed in patients who initiated NPPV while in a chronic state. RESULTS Patients with relatively low 3- to 6-mo PaCO(2) values maintained a relatively low PaCO(2) 6-36 months after NPPV (p < 0.0001) and had significantly better continuation rates (p < 0.03) and lower hospitalization rates from the 1st to 3rd year of NPPV (p = 0.008, 0.049, 0.009, respectively) than those with higher levels. The 0-mo PaCO(2) (p = 0.26) or d-PaCO(2) (p = 0.86) had no predictive value. CONCLUSION A relatively low 3- to 6-mo PaCO(2) value was predictive of long-term use of NPPV. The target values for 3- to 6-mo PaCO(2) may, therefore, be less than 60 mmHg in post-tuberculosis patients, although more studies are needed.

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