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AI-based prediction model for the risk of diabetic kidney disease in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus

Ningning Zhang,Rui Fan,Jing Ke,Qinghua Cui,Dong Zhao

Published 2021 in Unknown venue

ABSTRACT

BackgroundMicroalbuminuria is the main characteristic of Diabetic kidney disease (DKD), but it fluctuates greatly under the influence of blood glucose. Our aim was to establish some common clinical variables which could be easily collected to predict the risk of DKD in patients with type 2 diabetes. Methods and resultsWe build an artificial intelligence (AI) model to quantitively predict the risk of DKD based on the biomedical parameters from 1239 patients. An information entropy-based feature selection method was applied to screen out the risk factors of DKD. The dataset was divided with 4/5 into the training set and 1/5 into the test set. By using the selected risk factors, 5-fold cross-validation is applied to train the prediction model and it finally got AUC of 0.72 and 0.71 in the training set and test set respectively. In addition, we provide a method of calculating risk factors’ contribution for individuals to provide personalized guidance for treatment. We set up web-based application available on http://www.cuilab.cn/dkd for self-check and early warning. ConclusionsWe establish a feasible prediction model for DKD and suggest the degree of risk contribution of each indicator for each individual, which has certain clinical significance for early intervention and prevention.

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