International Capital Flow Pressures and Global Factors

L. Goldberg,Signe Krogstrup

Published 2023 in Social Science Research Network

ABSTRACT

We study the risk sensitivity of international capital flow pressures using a new Exchange Market Pressure index that combines pressures observed in exchange rate adjustments with estimated incipient pressures that are masked by foreign exchange interventions and policy rate adjustments. The sensitivity of capital flow pressures to risk sentiment evolves over time, varies significantly across countries and across stress events. So called ”safe-haven” status also evolves, with status defined relative to reference currencies, and generally not a feature over all time periods. Across countries, country gross external positions, country size and capital account openness increasingly explain risk sensitivities.

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