Prospect theory in the field: Revealed preferences from mutual fund flows

Bing Han,Pengfei Sui,Wenhao Yang

Published 2026 in Journal of Financial Economics

ABSTRACT

Using mutual fund flow, we empirically test whether choices made by investors are consistent with preferences implied by prospect theory. Our findings support this hypothesis. When allocating capital to mutual funds, investors evaluate funds based on the past performance distribution and choose the ones that deliver the highest utility according to prospect theory. This predictive relation is robust when we control for a large set of known drivers of fund flows, alternative flow measures

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