What Drives U.S. Import Price Inflation?

M. Amiti,Oleg Itskhoki,D. Weinstein

Published 2024 in Social Science Research Network

ABSTRACT

Inflation has risen sharply in many countries since the COVID-19 outbreak, and economists have debated the underlying causes. In this paper, we examine the drivers of the global import price inflation, which peaked at approximately 11 percent a year. We find that a common global component closely tracks movements in aggregate US import prices until late 2022. Afterward, idiosyncratic US demand shocks started to dominate.

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