An Expert-Sourced Measure of Judicial Ideology

Kevin L. Cope

Published 2024 in Social Science Research Network

ABSTRACT

This article develops the first dynamic method for systematically estimating the ideologies and other traits of nearly the entire federal judiciary. The Jurist-Derived Judicial Ideology Scores (JuDJIS) method derives from computational text analysis of over 20,000 written evaluations by a representative sample of tens of thousands of jurists as part of an ongoing, systematic survey initiative begun in 1985. The resulting data constitute not only the first such comprehensive federal-court measure that is dynamic, but also the only such measure that is based on judging, and the only such measure that is potentially multi-dimensional. The results of empirical validity tests reflect these advantages. Validation on a set of several-thousand appellatedecisionsindicatesthattheideologyestimatespredictoutcomessignificantlymoreaccuratelythantheexistingappellatemeasures,suchastheJudicialCommonSpace.Inadditiontoinformingtheoretical debatesaboutthenatureofjudicialideologyanddecision-making,theJuDJISinitiativemightleadcourts scholarstorevisitsomeofthelower-courtresearchfindingsofthelasttwodecades,whicharegenerally based on static, non-judicial models. Perhaps most importantly, this method could foster breakthroughs in courts research that, until now, were impossible due to data limitations.

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  • Publication year

    2024

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    Social Science Research Network

  • Publication date

    Unknown publication date

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    Open on Semantic Scholar

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    Semantic Scholar

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