Uncertainty forecasting system for tropical cyclone tracks based on conformal prediction

No abstract is available for this paper.

• Publication year

  2024

• Venue

  Expert systems with applications

• Publication date

  2024-09-01

• Fields of study

  Computer Science, Engineering, Environmental Science

• Identifiers
  DOI 10.1016/j.eswa.2024.123743
• External record

  Open on Semantic Scholar

• Source metadata

  Semantic Scholar

• No claims are published for this paper.

• No concepts are published for this paper.

• Incorporating Uncertainty Into a Regression Neural Network Enables Identification of Decadal State‐Dependent Predictability in CESM2

  2022cited by this paper
• Dual-Branched Spatio-Temporal Fusion Network for Multihorizon Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast

  2022cited by this paper
• Adaptive Conformal Predictions for Time Series

  2022cited by this paper
• Using a 3D convolutional neural network and gated recurrent unit for tropical cyclone track forecasting

  2022cited by this paper
• Robust Gas Demand Forecasting With Conformal Prediction

  2022cited by this paper
• Combining Support Vector Machine and Polynomial Regressing to Predict Tropical Cyclone Track

  2021cited by this paper
• Track Prediction of Tropical Cyclones Using Long Short-Term Memory Network

  2021cited by this paper
• A Novel Deep Learning Model by BiGRU with Attention Mechanism for Tropical Cyclone Track Prediction in Northwest Pacific

  2021cited by this paper
• A Novel Data-Driven Tropical Cyclone Track Prediction Model Based on CNN and GRU With Multi-Dimensional Feature Selection

  2020cited by this paper
• Hurricane Forecasting: A Novel Multimodal Machine Learning Framework

  2020cited by this paper
• Pearson Correlation Coefficient

  2020cited by this paper
• Probabilistic Forecasting of El Niño Using Neural Network Models

  2020cited by this paper
• Applying Satellite Observations of Tropical Cyclone Internal Structures to Rapid Intensification Forecast With Machine Learning

  2020cited by this paper
• Western North Pacific tropical cyclone track forecasts by a machine learning model

  2020cited by this paper
• Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting Using Fused Deep Learning From Aligned Reanalysis Data

  2019cited by this paper
• Conformalized Quantile Regression

  2019cited by this paper
• Using eXtreme Gradient BOOSTing to Predict Changes in Tropical Cyclone Intensity over the Western North Pacific

  2019cited by this paper
• Deep learning for multi-year ENSO forecasts

  2019cited by this paper
• A Novel Data-driven Approach for Tropical Cyclone Tracks Prediction Based on Granger Causality and GRU

  2019cited by this paper
• An Environment‐Dependent Probabilistic Tropical Cyclone Model

  2018cited by this paper
• Climate model configurations of the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System (ECMWF-IFS cycle 43r1) for HighResMIP

  2018cited by this paper
• A Machine Learning Approach to Modeling Tropical Cyclone Wind Field Uncertainty

  2017cited by this paper
• A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictions

  2017cited by this paper
• The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction

  2015cited by this paper
• Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Simulations to Parametric Uncertainties in Air–Sea Fluxes and Implications for Parameter Estimation

  2014cited by this paper
• Communicating probabilistic information from climate model ensembles—lessons from numerical weather prediction

  2012cited by this paper
• The Experimental HWRF System: A Study on the Influence of Horizontal Resolution on the Structure and Intensity Changes in Tropical Cyclones Using an Idealized Framework

  2011cited by this paper
• Observational Evidence for Oceanic Controls on Hurricane Intensity

  2010cited by this paper
• Large-Eddy Simulation of an Idealized Tropical Cyclone

  2009cited by this paper
• Evaluation of Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterizations in Tropical Cyclones by Comparison of In Situ Observations and High-Resolution Simulations of Hurricane Isabel (2003). Part I: Initialization, Maximum Winds, and the Outer-Core Boundary Layer

  2009cited by this paper
• The Kendall Rank Correlation Coefficient

  2007cited by this paper
• Spearman Correlation Coefficients, Differences between

  2004cited by this paper

• An interpretable and reliable framework for alloy discovery in thermomechanical processing

  2025cites this paper
• Meteorologically‐Informed Adaptive Conformal Prediction for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting

  2025cites this paper
• Investigation of the impact of token embeddings in Transformer-based models on short-term tropical cyclone track and intensity predictions

  2025cites this paper
• Cross-task interactive attention for typhoon intensity and track forecasting

  2025cites this paper