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Quantifying the Capacity for Assisted Migration to Achieve Conservation and Forestry Goals Under Climate Change

Yibiao Zou,Gregory A. Backus,H. Safford,Sarah C Sawyer,Marissa L. Baskett

Published 2024 in Journal of Biogeography

ABSTRACT

Many tree species may be threatened with declines in range and biomass, or even extinction, if they cannot disperse or adapt quickly enough to keep pace with climate change. One potential, and potentially risky, strategy to mitigate this threat is assisted migration (AM), the intentional movement of species to facilitate population range shifts to more climatically suitable locations under climate change. The ability for AM to minimise risk and maximise conservation and forestry outcomes depends on a multi‐faceted decision process for determining, what, where and how much to move. We provide an assessment on how the benefits and risks of AM could affect the decision‐making process.

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