Understanding excess mortality in 2022: The dual impact of COVID-19 and heatwaves on the Italian elderly population.

Emiliano Ceccarelli,G. Minelli,A. Maruotti,G. Jona Lasinio,Marco Martuzzi

Published 2024 in Health and Place

ABSTRACT

In this study, we employ a comprehensive approach to model the concurrent effects of the COVID-19 epidemic and heatwaves on all-cause excess mortality. Our investigation uncovers distinct peaks in excess mortality, notably among individuals aged 80 years and older, revealing a strong positive correlation with excess temperatures (ET) during the summer of 2022 in Italy. Furthermore, we identify a notable role played by COVID-19 hospitalizations, exhibiting regional disparities, particularly during the winter months. Leveraging functional data regression, we offer robust and coherent insights into the excess mortality trends observed in Italy throughout 2022.

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