Muş’da Küresel İklim Değişikliğinin Etkisiyle Sıcaklık, Yağış ve Bunlara Bağlı Olarak İklim Tiplerinde Meydana Gelebilecek Değişiklikler

Küresel iklim değişikliği, dünya genelinde özellikle sıcaklık artışı ve yağışlardaki azalmayla birlikte iklimlerde kuraklaşmaya sebep olacak, dünyadaki bütün canlıları ve ekosistemleri etkileyecek, geri dönüşü olmayan en önemli küresel sorun olarak gösterilmektedir. Su kaynakları üzerinde büyük baskı oluşturan ve durdurulması mümkün görülmeyen bu sürecin olası etkilerinin belirlenebilmesi için öncelikle iklim tiplerindeki değişimin tahmin edilmesi ve sürecin gelişimine göre sektörel bazda önlemler alınması önerilmektedir. Bu noktadan hareketle çalışmada Muş ili genelinde günümüzdeki sıcaklık, yağış ve iklim tiplerinin (De Martone ve Emberger iklim sınıflandırmasına göre) durumu belirlenmiş, SSPs 245 ve SSPs585 senaryolarına göre 2060 ve 2100 yıllarına kadar olan süreçte bu parametrelerin nasıl değişeceği belirlenmeye çalışılmıştır. Çalışma sonucunda Muş il genelinde büyük oranda sıcaklık artışı olacağı, iklim tiplerinin kurak iklim tiplerine doğru kayacağı öngörülmektedir. Bu değişimin etkilerinin büyük oranda bitkiler üzerinde görüleceği, tarım, orman ve mera alanlarındaki etkilerin, ekonomisi büyük oranda tarım ve hayvancılığa bağlı ilde yıkıcı sonuçları olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.

• Publication year

  2025

• Venue

  Memba Su Bilimleri Dergisi

• Publication date

  2025-03-28

• Fields of study

  Not labeled

• Identifiers
  DOI 10.58626/memba.1644673
• External record

  Open on Semantic Scholar

• Source metadata

  Semantic Scholar

• No claims are published for this paper.

• No concepts are published for this paper.

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