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An Oil Debris Analysis Method of Gearbox Condition Monitoring Based on an Improved Multi-Variable Grey Prediction Model

Bo Wang,Yizhong Wu

Published 2025 in Machines

ABSTRACT

Accurate oil debris analysis and wear monitoring of a gearbox are essential to ensure its stable and reliable operation. Element types of wear debris and their changes in the lubrication oil of the gearbox can be monitored by spectral analysis. However, it is still difficult to identify wear parts of the gearbox due to the complex composition of elements of wear debris. An improved multi-variable grey prediction model by incorporating a multi-objective genetic algorithm (MOGA-GM(1, N)) is proposed to evaluate weight coefficients of element concentrations of wear debris in the lubrication oil of the gearbox. Moreover, a wear growth rate of each element in the lubrication oil is proposed as an index for oil debris analysis to analyze the multi-variable correlation between the common element of iron (Fe) and other related elements of wear parts of the gearbox. Oil debris analysis of the gearbox is conducted on optimal weight coefficients of related elements to the common element Fe using the MOGA-GM(1, N) model. Wear experiment results verify feasibility of the proposed oil debris analysis method.

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