A Computational Approach for Incidence Prediction Models of Lung Cancer in Asia Countries

Kung-Min Wang,Chrestella Ayu Hernanda,Shih-Hsien Tseng,Kung-Jeng Wang

Published 2025 in 2025 IEEE 13th Region 10 Humanitarian Technology Conference (R10-HTC)

ABSTRACT

Lung cancer is a critical public health issue, most prevalent in Asia. This study addresses a gap by holistically investigating risk factors across six Asian countries (Japan, Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, India), considering social, economic, and environmental influences. Using machine learning models, cross-validation, PSO optimization, and handling multicollinearity with stepwise regression/VIF, prediction models were developed. Primary risk factors in these Asian countries were identified via statistical analysis. Optimal models were found for each country, achieving mean absolute percentage errors below 7%. Best models included Random Forest (Japan), Cubist (Hong Kong), SVR (South Korea/India), and Linear Regression (Singapore/Taiwan). Comparing developed/developing countries revealed risk factor differences and commonalities. These accurate models precisely estimate incidence rates, providing valuable data for tailored lung cancer prevention strategies in Asian countries.

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