Modelling the impact and control of an infectious disease in a plant nursery with infected plant material inputs

Andrew M. Bate,Glyn Jones,A. Kleczkowski,A. MacLeod,Rebecca Naylor,Jon Timmis,J. Touza,P. White

Published 2016 in Ecological Modelling

ABSTRACT

Highlights • The plant trade is an important pathway for the spread of plant pathogens.• We model a nursery that constantly buys, grows and sells potentially infected plants• Analytic results give optimal levels of two management tools, restriction and removal.• For not very infectious diseases, removal and restriction are substitutes.• For highly infectious diseases, removal and restriction can be complements.

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