Trends in HIV/AIDS morbidity and mortality in Eastern Mediterranean countries, 1990–2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

We used the results of the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study to estimate trends of HIV/AIDS burden in Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) countries between 1990 and 2015. Tailored estimation methods were used to produce final estimates of mortality. Years of life lost (YLLs) were calculated by multiplying the mortality rate by population by age-specific life expectancy. Years lived with disability (YLDs) were computed as the prevalence of a sequela multiplied by its disability weight. In 2015, the rate of HIV/AIDS deaths in the EMR was 1.8 (1.4–2.5) per 100,000 population, a 43% increase from 1990 (0.3; 0.2–0.8). Consequently, the rate of YLLs due to HIV/AIDS increased from 15.3 (7.6–36.2) per 100,000 in 1990 to 81.9 (65.3–114.4) in 2015. The rate of YLDs increased from 1.3 (0.6–3.1) in 1990 to 4.4 (2.7–6.6) in 2015. HIV/AIDS morbidity and mortality increased in the EMR since 1990. To reverse this trend and achieve epidemic control, EMR countries should strengthen HIV surveillance, and scale up HIV antiretroviral therapy and comprehensive prevention services.

• Publication year

  2017

• Venue

  International Journal of Public Health

• Publication date

  2017-08-03

• Fields of study

  Medicine

• Identifiers
  DOI 10.1007/s00038-017-1023-0PMID 28776249PMCID 5702264
• External record

  Open on Semantic Scholar

• Source metadata

  Semantic Scholar, PubMed

• No claims are published for this paper.

• No concepts are published for this paper.

• Public health implications and risks for children and families resettled after exposure to armed conflict and displacement

  2017cited by this paper
• The Institutionalization of Global AIDS and the Creation of the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS)

  2017cited by this paper
• Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 315 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE), 1990–2015: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

  2016cited by this paper
• Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980–2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

  2016cited by this paper
• Global, regional, and national life expectancy, all-cause mortality, and cause-specific mortality for 249 causes of death, 1980-2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015.

  2016cited by this paper
• Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 79 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

  2016cited by this paper
• Health in times of uncertainty in the eastern Mediterranean region, 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013

  2016cited by this paper
• Drug policy and harm reduction in the Middle East and North Africa: The role of civil society.

  2016cited by this paper
• Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 310 diseases and injuries, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

  2016cited by this paper
• Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 315 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE), 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

  2016cited by this paper
• Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 79 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks in 188 countries, 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013

  2015cited by this paper
• Internal displacement and the Syrian crisis: an analysis of trends from 2011–2014

  2015cited by this paper
• The cost-effectiveness of harm reduction.

  2015cited by this paper
• Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 79 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks in 188 countries, 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013.

  2015cited by this paper
• Conflict, displacement and sexual and reproductive health services in Mali: analysis of 2013 health resources availability mapping system (HeRAMS) survey

  2015cited by this paper
• Improvements in prevalence trend fitting and incidence estimation in EPP 2013

  2014cited by this paper
• Gender-based violence in conflict and displacement: qualitative findings from displaced women in Colombia

  2014cited by this paper
• The state of health in the Arab world, 1990-2010: an analysis of the burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors.

  2014cited by this paper
• HIV among People Who Inject Drugs in the Middle East and North Africa: Systematic Review and Data Synthesis

  2014influential reference
• Updates to the Spectrum model to estimate key HIV indicators for adults and children

  2014cited by this paper
• Conflict and forced displacement: human migration, human rights, and the science of health.

  2014cited by this paper
• The emerging face of the HIV epidemic in the Middle East and North Africa

  2014influential reference
• Advocacy for strengthening civil registration and vital statistics.

  2012cited by this paper
• Tehran dentists' self-reported knowledge and attitudes towards HIV/AIDS and observed willingness to treat simulated HIV-positive patients.

  2012cited by this paper
• Knowledge and attitudes of physicians in private practice towards HIV/AIDS in Mashhad, Iran

  2012cited by this paper
• Conflict, displacement and health in the Middle East

  2011cited by this paper
• Are HIV Epidemics among Men Who Have Sex with Men Emerging in the Middle East and North Africa?: A Systematic Review and Data Synthesis

  2011cited by this paper
• Dying for Love: Homosexuality in the Middle East

  2011influential reference
• A brief history of antiretroviral therapy of HIV infection: success and challenges.

  2011cited by this paper
• Characterizing the HIV/AIDS Epidemic in the Middle East and North Africa: Time for Strategic Action

  2010influential reference
• A review of HIV testing and counseling policies and practices in the Eastern Mediterranean Region

  2010cited by this paper
• Why did the Wold Health Organization (WHO) and Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) endorse male circumcision as a public health initiative for HIV prevention in sub-Saharan Africa?

  2009cited by this paper
• HIV Surveillance and Epidemic Profile in the Middle East and North Africa

  2009cited by this paper
• Antiretroviral Therapy for HIV Infection

  2007cited by this paper
• Effect of an armed conflict on human resources and health systems in Côte d'Ivoire: Prevention of and care for people with HIV/AIDS

  2006cited by this paper
• Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS.

  2004cited by this paper
• Antiretroviral therapy for HIV infection in 1997. Updated recommendations of the International AIDS Society-USA panel.

  1997cited by this paper
• Antiretroviral Therapy for HIV Infection in 1997: Updated Recommendations of the International AIDS Society—USA Panel

  1997cited by this paper
• HIV surveillance.

  1992cited by this paper

• Clustering and modeling joint-trajectories of HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis mortality rates using bayesian multi-process latent growth model: A global study from 1990 to 2021

  2025cites this paper
• What leads to treatment failure among people living with HIV: first systematic review from the middle east and North Africa

  2025cites this paper
• Tendencias de la mortalidad por VIH en México, 2000-2022

  2024cites this paper
• Challenges of Women Healthcare Workers during COVID-19

  2024cites this paper
• HIV epidemiology in the WHO Eastern Mediterranean region: a multicountry programme review.

  2022cites this paper
• Seroepidemiology of HBV, HCV, HIV, HTLV, and CMV in Pregnant Women Referring to Sari Birth Cohort

  2022cites this paper
• Prevalence and predictors of glucose metabolism disorders among People Living with HIV on combination antiretroviral therapy

  2022cites this paper
• New Perspective on Why Women Live Longer Than Men: An Exploration of Power, Gender, Social Determinants, and Capitals

  2021cites this paper
• Temporal aids tendency among young people in northeastern Brazil / Tendência temporal da aids entre jovens no nordeste do Brasil

  2021cites this paper
• Challenges Faced by Healthcare Professionals During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Qualitative Inquiry From Bangladesh

  2021cites this paper
• Types and risk factors of violence experienced by people living with HIV, Pakistan: a cross-sectional study.

  2020cites this paper
• HIV/AIDS knowledge among Iranian Health Care Workers

  2020cites this paper
• Gender difference in all‐cause mortality of people living with HIV in Iran: findings from a 20‐year cohort study

  2020cites this paper
• WHO EMRO | Types and risk factors of violence experienced by people living with HIV, Pakistan: a cross-sectional study

  2020cites this paper
• The burden of HIV/AIDS among slum-dwelling school-age children in Kampala, Uganda

  2019cites this paper
• HIV and Aging: Reconsidering the Approach to Management of Comorbidities.

  2019cites this paper
• Secular trends in HIV/AIDS mortality in China from 1990 to 2016: Gender disparities

  2019cites this paper
• Violence and diabetes boom in the Middle East

  2017cites this paper
• Adolescent health in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: findings from the global burden of disease 2015 study

  2017cites this paper
• Danger ahead: the burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990–2015

  2017cites this paper