How do judgmental overconfidence and overoptimism shape innovative activity?

Holger Herz,D. Schunk,Christian Zehnder

Published 2014 in Games Econ. Behav.

ABSTRACT

Recent field evidence suggests a positive link between overconfidence and innovative activities. In this paper we argue that the connection between overconfidence and innovation is more complex than the previous literature suggests. In particular, we show theoretically and experimentally that different forms of overconfidence may have opposing effects on innovative activity. While overoptimism is positively associated with innovation, judgmental overconfidence is negatively linked to innovation. Our results indicate that future research is well advised to take into account that the relationship between innovation and overconfidence may crucially depend on what type of overconfidence is most prevalent in a particular context.

PUBLICATION RECORD

  • Publication year

    2014

  • Venue

    Games Econ. Behav.

  • Publication date

    Unknown publication date

  • Fields of study

    Computer Science, Business, Economics, Psychology

  • Identifiers
  • External record

    Open on Semantic Scholar

  • Source metadata

    Semantic Scholar

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