Year-ahead prediction of US landfalling hurricane numbers

We present a simple method for the year-ahead prediction of the number of hurricanes making landfall in the US. The method is based on averages of historical annual hurricane numbers, and we perform a backtesting study to find the length of averaging window that would have given the best predictions in the past.

• Publication year

  2005

• Venue

  arXiv: Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics

• Publication date

  2005-07-21

• Fields of study

  Physics, Environmental Science

• Identifiers
  arXiv physics/0606192
• External record

  Open on Semantic Scholar

• Source metadata

  Semantic Scholar

• No claims are published for this paper.

• No concepts are published for this paper.

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