Evolving forecasting classifications and applications in health forecasting

Health forecasting forewarns the health community about future health situations and disease episodes so that health systems can better allocate resources and manage demand. The tools used for developing and measuring the accuracy and validity of health forecasts commonly are not defined although they are usually adapted forms of statistical procedures. This review identifies previous typologies used in classifying the forecasting methods commonly used in forecasting health conditions or situations. It then discusses the strengths and weaknesses of these methods and presents the choices available for measuring the accuracy of health-forecasting models, including a note on the discrepancies in the modes of validation.

• Publication year

  2012

• Venue

  International Journal of General Medicine

• Publication date

  2012-05-08

• Fields of study

  Medicine

• Identifiers
  DOI 10.2147/IJGM.S31079PMID 22615533PMCID 3355849
• External record

  Open on Semantic Scholar

• Source metadata

  Semantic Scholar, PubMed

• No claims are published for this paper.

• No concepts are published for this paper.

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