Strong Asymptotic Assertions for Discrete MDL in Regression and Classification

J. Poland,Marcus Hutter

Published 2005 in arXiv.org

ABSTRACT

We study the properties of the MDL (or maximum penalized complexity) estimator for Regression and Classification, where the underlying model class is countable. We show in particular a finite bound on the Hellinger losses under the only assumption that there is a “true” model contained in the class. This implies almost sure convergence of the predictive distribution to the true one at a fast rate. It corresponds to Solomono’s central theorem of universal induction, however with a bound that is exponentially larger.

PUBLICATION RECORD

  • Publication year

    2005

  • Venue

    arXiv.org

  • Publication date

    2005-01-31

  • Fields of study

    Mathematics, Computer Science

  • Identifiers
  • External record

    Open on Semantic Scholar

  • Source metadata

    Semantic Scholar

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