Hindsight bias doesn't always come easy: causal models, cognitive effort, and creeping determinism.

No abstract is available for this paper.

• Publication year

  2008

• Venue

  Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory and Cognition

• Publication date

  2008-09-01

• Fields of study

  Medicine, Psychology

• Identifiers
  DOI 10.1037/0278-7393.34.5.1043PMID 18763890
• External record

  Open on Semantic Scholar

• Source metadata

  Semantic Scholar, PubMed

• No claims are published for this paper.

• No concepts are published for this paper.

• How many hindsight biases are there?

  2008influential reference
• Hindsight bias and causal attribution: A causal model theory of creeping determinism.

  2008cited by this paper
• Tackling the Monday-Morning Quarterback: Applications of Hindsight Bias in Decision-Making Settings

  2007cited by this paper
• HINDSIGHT BIAS: ON BEING WISE AFTER THE EVENT

  2007cited by this paper
• HINDSIGHT BIAS IN LEGAL DECISION MAKING

  2007cited by this paper
• COGNITIVE PROCESS MODELS OF HINDSIGHT BIAS

  2007influential reference
• Making sense of failure: A motivated model of hindsight bias.

  2007cited by this paper
• METACOGNITIVE EXPERIENCES AND HINDSIGHT BIAS: IT'S NOT JUST THE THOUGHT (CONTENT) THAT COUNTS!

  2007cited by this paper
• Perceiving events as both inevitable and unforeseeable in hindsight: The Leipzig candidacy for the Olympics.

  2006influential reference
• Hindsight Bias and Outcome-Consistent Thoughts when Observing and Making Service Provider Decisions.

  2005cited by this paper
• Causal Models: How People Think about the World and Its Alternatives

  2005cited by this paper
• Decomposing the Hindsight Bias : A Multinomial Processing Tree Model for Separating Recollection and Reconstruction in Hindsight

  2004influential reference
• SARA: A cognitive process model to simulate the anchoring effect and hindsight bias

  2003cited by this paper
• Hindsight ≠ foresight: the effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty*

  2003influential reference
• Personality differences in hindsight bias

  2003cited by this paper
• Research on hindsight bias: A rich past, a productive present, and a challenging future

  2003cited by this paper
• Hindsight bias in political elections

  2003cited by this paper
• Surprise, defence, or making sense: What removes hindsight bias?

  2003cited by this paper
• Covariational influences on goal-based explanation: an integrative model.

  2001cited by this paper
• PERSONALITY AND SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY BULLETIN Carli / COGNITIVE RECONSTRUCTION AND HINDSIGHT Cognitive Reconstruction, Hindsight, and Reactions to Victims and Perpetrators

  2001cited by this paper
• I Never Had a Chance: Using Hindsight Tactics to Mitigate Disappointments

  2001cited by this paper
• The mind in the middle: A practical guide to priming and automaticity research.

  2000cited by this paper
• Hindsight bias: a by-product of knowledge updating?

  2000cited by this paper
• Decision makers' hindsight bias after receiving favorable and unfavorable feedback.

  1999cited by this paper
• Perceptions of Purple: Counterfactual and Hindsight Judgments at Northwestern Wildcats Football Games

  1997influential reference
• Automatic Activation of Impression Formation and Memorization Goals: Nonconscious Goal Priming Reproduces Effects of Explicit Task Instructions

  1996influential reference
• Counterfactuals, Causal Attributions, and the Hindsight Bias: A Conceptual Integration

  1996influential reference
• Counterfactuals , Causal Attributions , and the Hindsight Bias : A Conceptual Integration

  1996cited by this paper
• The role of covariation versus mechanism information in causal attribution.

  1995cited by this paper
• Comparison Processes in Hindsight and Causal Attribution

  1995cited by this paper
• Covariation in natural causal induction.

  1992cited by this paper
• Expectation-outcome consistency and hindsight bias

  1991cited by this paper
• Hindsight and Causality

  1991cited by this paper
• Attributions as Decisions: A Two Stage Information Processing Model

  1991cited by this paper
• Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known.

  1990influential reference
• Attribution difficulty and memory for attribution-relevant information.

  1990cited by this paper
• Eliminating the hindsight bias.

  1988cited by this paper
• "Spontaneous" causal thinking.

  1985cited by this paper
• On the Psychology of Experimental Surprises

  1977cited by this paper
• On the Psychology of Experimental Surprises.

  1977cited by this paper
• Comparison of processes

  1975cited by this paper
• Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.

  1975influential reference

• Can the Illusory Transparency Bias Be Modulated? Two Ways of Reducing It

  2024cites this paper
• Memory load of information encoded amplifies the magnitude of hindsight bias

  2023cites this paper
• Cognitive Illusions Intriguing Phenomena in Thinking, Judgment, and Memory

  2023cites this paper
• Investigating the relationship of actively open-minded thinking in future time perspectives among Saudi undergraduate students

  2023cites this paper
• I “knew” they wouldn’t last: Hindsight bias in judgments of a dating couple

  2023cites this paper
• Toward Parsimony in Bias Research: A Proposed Common Framework of Belief-Consistent Information Processing for a Set of Biases

  2023cites this paper
• Hierarchical inference as a source of human biases

  2022cites this paper
• Debiasing Media Articles – Reducing Hindsight Bias in the Production of Written Work

  2021cites this paper
• Hindsight bias in judgments of the predictability of flash floods: An experimental study for testimony at a court trial and legal decision making

  2021cites this paper
• Older and younger adults’ hindsight bias after positive and negative outcomes

  2021cites this paper
• Is There Hindsight Bias Without Real Hindsight? Conjectures Are Sufficient to Elicit Hindsight Bias

  2019cites this paper
• Wikipedia outperforms individuals when it comes to hindsight bias

  2019cites this paper
• Age Differences in Hindsight Bias: A Meta-Analysis

  2019cites this paper
• Age Differences in Processes Underlying Hindsight Bias: A Life-Span Study

  2018cites this paper
• The winner knew it all? Conspiracy beliefs and hindsight perspective after the 2016 US general election

  2018cites this paper
• The role of media in community resilience: Hindsight bias in media narratives after the 2014 Genoa flood

  2018cites this paper
• Cultural Interpretations of Global Information? Hindsight Bias after Reading Wikipedia Articles across Cultures

  2017cites this paper
• Produktion von naturwissenschaftlichen Informationen im Internet am Beispiel von Wikipedia

  2017cites this paper
• A retrieval-based approach to eliminating hindsight bias

  2017cites this paper
• Biases in the production and reception of collective knowledge: the case of hindsight bias in Wikipedia

  2017influential citation
• Bias Impedes Learning

  2017cites this paper
• Individual Versus Collaborative Information Processing: The Case of Biases in Wikipedia

  2016cites this paper
• Complexity in simulation-based education: exploring the role of hindsight bias

  2016cites this paper
• Inhibitory control underlies individual differences in older adults' hindsight bias.

  2016cites this paper
• Information-Theoretic Bounded Rationality for Learning and Decision-Making

  2016cites this paper
• Looking Backward and Forward on Hindsight Bias

  2016cites this paper
• When being wise after the event results in injustice: Evidence for hindsight bias in judges’ negligence assessments.

  2016cites this paper
• Explaining individual differences in cognitive processes underlying hindsight bias

  2014cites this paper
• Age Differences in Hindsight Bias: The Role of Episodic Memory and Inhibition

  2014cites this paper
• Reading about explanations enhances perceptions of inevitability and foreseeability: a cross-cultural study with Wikipedia articles

  2014cites this paper
• Domain Knowledge and Hindsight Bias among Poker Players

  2014cites this paper
• Learning Agents with Evolving Hypothesis Classes

  2013cites this paper
• Artificial General Intelligence

  2013cites this paper
• When are support and opposition not opposites? Depth of processing as a moderator of the valence-framing effect.

  2013cites this paper
• Rapid recollection of foresight judgments increases hindsight bias in a memory design.

  2013cites this paper
• Hindsight bias and causal reasoning: a minimalist approach

  2012influential citation
• Cultural Differences in Counterfactual Thinking and the Hindsight Bias

  2012cites this paper
• Hindsight Bias

  2012cites this paper
• Working memory and the memory distortion component of hindsight bias

  2012cites this paper
• An integrative lens model approach to bias and accuracy in human inferences: hindsight effects and knowledge updating in personality judgments.

  2012cites this paper
• Hindsight Bias

  2012cites this paper
• The Hindsight Bias: Judgment Task Differentiation

  2012cites this paper
• Health Impact Assessment: A triumph over common sense?

  2012cites this paper
• The Experiment-Based Knew-It-All-Along Effect in the Qualitative Light of Narrativity.

  2011cites this paper
• Hindsight Bias: A Primer for Motivational Researchers

  2011cites this paper
• Hindsight ≠ hindsight: experimentally induced dissociations between hindsight components.

  2010cites this paper
• "It had to happen": Individual memory biases and collective memory

  2010cites this paper
• Belief Perseverance: The Role of Accessible Content and Accessibility Experiences

  2010cites this paper
• Controllability and hindsight components: Understanding opposite hindsight biases for self-relevant negative event outcomes

  2010cites this paper
• The science of reason : a festschrift for Jonathan St. B.T. Evans

  2010cites this paper
• A cross-cultural study of hindsight bias and conditional probabilistic reasoning

  2010influential citation
• Surprise, memory, and retrospective judgment making: testing cognitive reconstruction theories of the hindsight bias effect.

  2009cites this paper
• Increased or reversed? The effect of surprise on hindsight bias depends on the hindsight component.

  2009cites this paper
• Reasoning about rights and duties: Mental models and social utilities.

  2008cites this paper
• Hindsight bias and causal attribution: A causal model theory of creeping determinism.

  2008cites this paper
• The Qualitative Report The Qualitative Report

  year unknowncites this paper