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The global burden of trichiasis in 2016

R. Flueckiger,P. Courtright,Mariamo Abdala,Amza Abdou,Zaid Abdulnafea,T. Al-Khatib,K. Amer,O. Amiel,S. Awoussi,A. Bakhtiari,W. Batcho,A. Bella,Kamal Hashim Bennawi,S. Brooker,B. Chu,M. Dejene,Djoré Dézoumbé,B. Elshafie,A. Elvis,D. Fabrice,F. Omar,Missamou François,D. Francois,J. Garap,M. Gichangi,A. Goepogui,Jaouad Hammou,Boubacar Kadri,George Kabona,Martin Kaboré,K. Kalua,M. Kamugisha,B. Kebede,Kaba Keita,Asad Khan,Genet Kiflu,Makoy S. Yibi,Garae Mackline,C. Macleod,P. Manangazira,M. Masika,Marília E Massangaie,T. Mduluza,Nabicassa Meno,N. Midzi,Abdallahi O Minnih,S. Mishra,C. Mpyet,N. Muraguri,U. Mwingira,Beido Nassirou,Jean Ndjemba,Cece Nieba,Jeremiah Ngondi,Nicholas Olobio,A. Pavluck,I. Phiri,R. Pullan,B. Qureshi,Boubacar Sarr,D. Seiha,G. Chávez,Shekhar Sharma,Siphetthavong Sisaleumsak,K. Southisombath,Gretchen A. Stevens,Andeberhan Tesfazion Woldendrias,L. Traoré,Patrick Turyaguma,R. Willis,Georges Yaya,Souleymane Yeo,Francisco Zambroni,Jialiang Zhao,A. Solomon

Published 2018 in bioRxiv

ABSTRACT

Background Trichiasis is present when one or more eyelashes touches the eye. Uncorrected, it can cause blindness. Accurate estimates of numbers affected, and their geographical distribution, help guide resource allocation. Methods We obtained district-level trichiasis prevalence estimates for 44 endemic and previously-endemic countries. We used (1) the most recent data for a district, if more than one estimate was available; (2) age- and sex-standardized corrections of historic estimates, where raw data were available; (3) historic estimates adjusted using a mean adjustment factor for districts where raw data were unavailable; and (4) expert assessment of available data for districts for which no prevalence estimates were available. Findings Internally age- and sex-standardized data represented 1,355 districts and contributed 662 thousand cases (95% confidence interval [CI] 324 thousand-1.1 million) to the global total. age- and sex-standardized district-level prevalence estimates differed from raw estimates by a mean factor of 0.45 (range 0.03-2.28). Previously non-standardized estimates for 398 districts, adjusted by ×0.45, contributed a further 411 thousand cases (95% CI 283-557 thousand). Eight countries retained previous estimates, contributing 848 thousand cases (95% CI 225 thousand-1.7 million). New expert assessments in 14 countries contributed 862 thousand cases (95% CI 228 thousand-1.7 million). The global trichiasis burden in 2016 was 2.8 million cases (95% CI 1.1-5.2 million). Interpretation The 2016 estimate is lower than previous estimates, probably due to more and better data; scale-up of trichiasis management services; and reductions in incidence due to lower active trachoma prevalence. Author Summary As an individual with trichiasis blinks, the eyelashes abrade the cornea, which can lead to corneal opacity and blindness. Through high quality surgery, which involves correcting the position of the in-turned eyelid, it is possible to reduce the number of people with trichiasis. An accurate estimate of the number of persons with trichiasis and their geographical distribution are needed in order to effectively align resources for surgery and other necessary services. We obtained district-level trichiasis prevalence estimates for 44 endemic and previously-endemic countries. We used the most recently available data and expert assessments to estimate the global burden of trichiasis. We estimated that in 2016 the global burden was 2.8 million cases (95% CI 1.1-5.2 million). The 2016 estimate is lower than previous estimates, probably due to more and better data; scale-up of trichiasis management services; and reductions in incidence due to lower active trachoma prevalence.

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