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Soft Power, World System Dynamics, and Democratization: A Bass Model of Democracy Diffusion 1800-2000

Mikael Sandberg

Published 2024 in Social Science Research Network

ABSTRACT

This article uses Polity IV data to probe system dynamics for studies of the global diffusion of democracy from 1800 to 2000. By analogy with the Bass model of diffusion of innovations, as translated into system dynamics by Sterman, the dynamic explanation proposed focuses on transitions to democracy, soft power, and communication rates on a global level. The analysis suggests that the transition from democratic experiences ('the soft power of democracy') can be estimated from the systems dynamics simulation of an extended Bass model. Soft power, fueled by the growth in communications worldwide, is today the major force behind the diffusion of democracy. Our findings indicate the applicability of system dynamics simulation tools for the analysis of political change over time in the world system of polities.

PUBLICATION RECORD

  • Publication year

    2024

  • Venue

    Social Science Research Network

  • Publication date

    Unknown publication date

  • Fields of study

    Not labeled

  • Identifiers
    DOI 10.2139/ssrn.4867876
  • External record

    Open on Semantic Scholar

  • Source metadata

    Semantic Scholar

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