M. van Smeden

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Aliases
M Van Smeden, M. Van Smeden, Maarten Van Smeden
Publication record
126 papers · 11,449 citations · H-index 36

PAPERS

Importance of sample size on the quality and utility of AI-based prediction models for healthcare.
202527 citationsauthor #11
Early detection of ICU-acquired infections using high-frequency electronic health record data
20251 citationsauthor #3
Assessing the quality of prediction models in healthcare using PROBAST: an evaluation of its use and practical application.
20256 citationsauthor #5
The Enemies of Reliable and Useful Clinical Prediction Models: A Review of Statistical and Scientific Challenges
20252 citationsauthor #2
What can we learn from scoliosis in children with the 22q11.2 deletion syndrome? Prognostic factors at pre-adolescent age for fast progressive, mild and self-resolving forms during adolescence
20251 citationsauthor #3
Evaluation of performance measures in predictive artificial intelligence models to support medical decisions: overview and guidance.
20255 citationsauthor #13
PROBAST+AI: an updated quality, risk of bias, and applicability assessment tool for prediction models using regression or artificial intelligence methods
2025154 citationsauthor #28
Correction: What can we learn from scoliosis in children with the 22q11.2 deletion syndrome? Prognostic factors at pre-adolescent age for fast progressive, mild and self-resolving forms during adolescence
20250 citationsauthor #3
Predicting the risk of intensive care unit admission in patients with COVID-19 presenting in the emergency room: Development and evaluation of the CROSS score.
20250 citationsauthor #27
Uncertainty of risk estimates from clinical prediction models: rationale, challenges, and approaches
202527 citationsauthor #8
Methodological Quality Assessment Tools for Diagnosis and Prognosis Research: Overview and Guidance.
20242 citationsauthor #6
Re: External Validation of the Rotterdam Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator and Comparison with Stockholm3 for Prostate Cancer Diagnosis in a Swedish Population-based Screening Cohort.
20240 citationsauthor #4
Evaluation of clinical prediction models (part 1): from development to external validation
2024346 citationsauthor #10
Cross-institution natural language processing for reliable clinical association studies: a methodological exploration.
20245 citationsauthor #4
A comparison of hyperparameter tuning procedures for clinical prediction models: A simulation study
202422 citationsauthor #5
TRIPOD+AI statement: updated guidance for reporting clinical prediction models that use regression or machine learning methods
20241,449 citationsauthor #10
It's not all about residual confounding: a plea for QBA for epidemiologic researchers and educators.
20241 citationsauthor #3
SPIN-PM: A consensus framework to evaluate the presence of spin in studies on prediction models.
20246 citationsauthor #5
The influence of the dynamic context of the pandemic on the predictive performance of mortality predictions over time in older patients hospitalised for COVID-19.
20241 citationsauthor #20
The influence of the dynamic context of the pandemic on the predictive performance of mortality predictions over time in older patients hospitalised for COVID-19.
20241 citationsauthor #13
The Harms of Class Imbalance Corrections for Machine Learning Based Prediction Models: A Simulation Study
202434 citationsauthor #6
Extended sample size calculations for evaluation of prediction models using a threshold for classification
20243 citationsauthor #9
Evaluation of clinical prediction models (part 3): calculating the sample size required for an external validation study
2024111 citationsauthor #7
Estimating uncertainty when providing individual cardiovascular risk predictions: A Bayesian survival analysis.
20242 citationsauthor #7
Enabling the Nonhypothesis-Driven Approach: On Data Minimalization, Bias, and the Integration of Data Science in Medical Research and Practice
20231 citationsauthor #2
[A new prognostic prediction model for heart failure: will it help the general practitioner?]
20230 citationsauthor #2
Integrated care in patients with atrial fibrillation- a predictive heterogeneous treatment effect analysis of the ALL-IN trial
202310 citationsauthor #7
Prognosis and prediction of antibiotic benefit in adults with clinically diagnosed acute rhinosinusitis: an individual participant data meta-analysis
20231 citationsauthor #3
Development and internal validation of a prediction model for the presence of tinnitus in a Dutch population-based cohort
20231 citationsauthor #4
External validation and updating of prediction models of bleeding risk in patients with cancer receiving anticoagulants
20233 citationsauthor #6
Poor handling of continuous predictors in clinical prediction models using logistic regression: a systematic review
202336 citationsauthor #5
Incidence and risk prediction of post-Covid-19 cardiovascular disease in the general population: a multivariable prediction model development and validation study
20230 citationsauthor #2
Cohort profile: the Utrecht Cardiovascular Cohort–Second Manifestations of Arterial Disease (UCC-SMART) Study–an ongoing prospective cohort study of patients at high cardiovascular risk in the Netherlands
202330 citationsauthor #21
A study protocol of external validation of eight COVID-19 prognostic models for predicting mortality risk in older populations in a hospital, primary care, and nursing home setting
20231 citationsauthor #18
Five critical quality criteria for artificial intelligence-based prediction models
202343 citationsauthor #5
[A new prognostic prediction model for heart failure: will it help the general practitioner?]
20230 citationsauthor #2
Estimated causal effects of common respiratory infections on cardiovascular risk: a meta-analysis
20237 citationsauthor #2
Comparison of likelihood penalization and variance decomposition approaches for clinical prediction models: A simulation study
20233 citationsauthor #3
There is no such thing as a validated prediction model
2023174 citationsauthor #4
Machine Learning and Statistics in Clinical Research Articles-Moving Past the False Dichotomy.
202324 citationsauthor #3
Why the grass isn't always greener on the machine learning side.
20230 citationsauthor #3
Shortness of breath as a diagnostic factor for acute coronary syndrome in male and female callers to out-of-hours primary care
20230 citationsauthor #4
The relevance of competing risk adjustment in cardiovascular risk prediction models for clinical practice.
202324 citationsauthor #4
Predicting adverse outcomes in adults with a community-acquired lower respiratory tract infection: a protocol for the development and validation of two prediction models for (i) all-cause hospitalisation and mortality and (ii) cardiovascular outcomes
20230 citationsauthor #8
Incidence and individual risk prediction of post-COVID-19 cardiovascular disease in the general population: a multivariable prediction model development and validation study
20238 citationsauthor #2
The marginality principle revisited: Should “higher‐order” terms always be accompanied by “lower‐order” terms in regression analyses?
20233 citationsauthor #2
Diagnostic management of acute pulmonary embolism: a prediction model based on a patient data meta-analysis
202325 citationsauthor #22
Imputation and missing indicators for handling missing data in the development and deployment of clinical prediction models: A simulation study
202355 citationsauthor #4
Benefit of integrated care in patients with atrial fibrillation- a predictive heterogeneous treatment effect analysis of the ALL-IN trial
20231 citationsauthor #7
Developing, validating, updating and judging the impact of prognostic models for respiratory diseases
202236 citationsauthor #4
Are Off-Field Activities an Underestimated Risk for Hamstring Injuries in Dutch Male Amateur Soccer Players? An Exploratory Analysis of a Prospective Cohort Study
20221 citationsauthor #3
Prediction models for living organ transplantation are poorly developed, reported and validated: a systematic review.
202213 citationsauthor #5
Ruling out pulmonary embolism across different healthcare settings: A systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis
202232 citationsauthor #18
A Very Short List of Common Pitfalls in Research Design, Data Analysis, and Reporting.
20225 citationsauthor #1
Optimising telephone triage of patients calling for acute shortness of breath during out-of-hours primary care: protocol of a multiple methods study (Opticall)
20227 citationsauthor #6
Assessing Performance and Clinical Usefulness in Prediction Models With Survival Outcomes: Practical Guidance for Cox Proportional Hazards Models
202239 citationsauthor #6
External Validation of the Colon Life Nomogram for Predicting 12-Week Mortality in Dutch Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Patients Treated with Trifluridine/Tipiracil in Daily Practice
20224 citationsauthor #3
The year in cardiovascular medicine 2021: digital health and innovation.
20229 citationsauthor #3
Minimum sample size for developing a multivariable prediction model using multinomial logistic regression
2022123 citationsauthor #4
Sex- and age specific association of new-onset atrial fibrillation with in-hospital mortality in hospitalised COVID-19 patients
202211 citationsauthor #3
Clinical prediction models for mortality in patients with covid-19: external validation and individual participant data meta-analysis
202246 citationsauthor #30
Guidelines and quality criteria for artificial intelligence-based prediction models in healthcare: a scoping review
2022347 citationsauthor #10
Systematic review identifies the design and methodological conduct of studies on machine learning-based prediction models.
202272 citationsauthor #3
Measures of (injury and illness) occurrence: a primer on epidemiological concepts and terminology for authors
20227 citationsauthor #4
Performance of binary prediction models in high-correlation low-dimensional settings: a comparison of methods
202224 citationsauthor #2
How to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of prognostic model studies
202275 citationsauthor #3
Critical appraisal of artificial intelligence-based prediction models for cardiovascular disease
2022103 citationsauthor #1
Adherence to an injury prevention program in male amateur football players is affected by players’ age, experience and perceptions
20226 citationsauthor #4
External validation of the MSKCC nomogram to estimate five-year overall survival after surgery for stage I–III colon cancer in a Dutch population
20222 citationsauthor #6
Development and validation of a prediction rule for patients suspected of acute coronary syndrome in primary care: a cross-sectional study
20225 citationsauthor #9
Noninvasive diagnostic work-up for suspected acute pulmonary embolism during pregnancy: a systematic review and meta-analysis of individual patient data.
202219 citationsauthor #27
Re: Reducing health inequality in Black, Asian and other minority ethnic pregnant women: Impact of first‐trimester combined screening for placental dysfunction on perinatal mortality
20220 citationsauthor #8
Validation of prediction models in the presence of competing risks: a guide through modern methods
202287 citationsauthor #6
Minimal reporting improvement after peer review in reports of COVID-19 prediction models: systematic review
20224 citationsauthor #3
Minimum sample size calculations for external validation of a clinical prediction model with a time‐to‐event outcome
202173 citationsauthor #8
Prediction models: stepwise development and simultaneous validation is a step back.
20210 citationsauthor #2
Causal analyses of existing databases: The importance of understanding what can be achieved with your data before analysis (commentary on Hernán).
20219 citationsauthor #2
Clinical prediction models: diagnosis versus prognosis.
2021149 citationsauthor #1
Gender-stratified analyses of symptoms associated with acute coronary syndrome in telephone triage: a cross-sectional study
202116 citationsauthor #5
Cardiovascular vulnerability predicts hospitalisation in primary care clinically suspected and confirmed COVID-19 patients: A model development and validation study
20215 citationsauthor #3
Projecting the impact of triple CFTR modulator therapy on intravenous antibiotic requirements in cystic fibrosis using patient registry data combined with treatment effects from randomised trials
202116 citationsauthor #12
B-PO05-137 ARRHYTHMIC BURDEN AND THEIR PROGNOSTIC EFFECT ON MORTALITY IN HOSPITALIZED COVID-19 PATIENTS
20210 citationsauthor #3
Identifying adults with acute rhinosinusitis in primary care that benefit most from antibiotics: protocol of an individual patient data meta-analysis using multivariable risk prediction modelling
20213 citationsauthor #3
Management of superficial venous thrombosis based on individual risk profiles: protocol for the development and validation of three prognostic prediction models in large primary care cohorts
20215 citationsauthor #2
Minimum sample size for external validation of a clinical prediction model with a binary outcome
2021251 citationsauthor #6
Why clinical context and relevant protocols matter: author's reply.
20211 citationsauthor #3
Clinical presentation, disease course and outcome of COVID-19 in hospitalized patients with and without pre-existing cardiac disease: a cohort study across sixteen countries
202126 citationsauthor #190
Choice of Outcome in COVID-19 Studies and Implications for Policy: Mortality and Fatality
20218 citationsauthor #5
QCOVID in Scotland: time to recalibrate our expectations?
20210 citationsauthor #2
Lessons learnt when accounting for competing events in the external validation of time-to-event prognostic models
202117 citationsauthor #6
Safety and Efficiency of Diagnostic Strategies for Ruling Out Pulmonary Embolism in Clinically Relevant Patient Subgroups
202122 citationsauthor #19
Methodology over metrics: current scientific standards are a disservice to patients and society
202183 citationsauthor #4
Protocol for development of a reporting guideline (TRIPOD-AI) and risk of bias tool (PROBAST-AI) for diagnostic and prognostic prediction model studies based on artificial intelligence
2021601 citationsauthor #11
The prognostic value of the hamstring outcome score to predict the risk of hamstring injuries.
20215 citationsauthor #4
Prognostic factors for adverse outcomes in patients with COVID-19: a field-wide systematic review and meta-analysis
202149 citationsauthor #3
Risk prediction models for discrete ordinal outcomes: Calibration and the impact of the proportional odds assumption
202114 citationsauthor #2
Why methods matter in a meta-analysis: a reappraisal showed inconclusive injury preventive effect of Nordic hamstring exercise.
202144 citationsauthor #3
Risk, Clinical Course, and Outcome of Ischemic Stroke in Patients Hospitalized With COVID-19
202128 citationsauthor #46
Patient factors associated with referral to inpatient rehabilitation following knee or hip arthroplasty in a public sector cohort: A prognostic factor study.
20202 citationsauthor #9
Calculating the sample size required for developing a clinical prediction model
20201,849 citationsauthor #9

TIMELINE

2013 44 citations

2014 200 citations

2016 440 citations

2017 75 citations

2018 703 citations

2019 277 citations

2020 4,657 citations

2021 1,425 citations

2022 1,077 citations

2023 450 citations

2024 1,982 citations

2025 223 citations

M. van Smeden

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