We show how to construct the best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) for the continuation of a curve in a spline-function model. We assume that the entire curve is drawn from some smooth random process and that the curve is given up to some cut point. We demonstrate how to compute the BLUP efficiently. Confidence bands for the BLUP are discussed. Finally, we apply the proposed BLUP to real-world call center data. Specifically, we forecast the continuation of both the call arrival counts and the workload process at the call center of a commercial bank.
THE BEST LINEAR UNBIASED ESTIMATOR FOR CONTINUATION OF A FUNCTION
Y. Goldberg,Y. Ritov,A. Mandelbaum
Published 2010 in arXiv: Applications
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- Publication year
2010
- Venue
arXiv: Applications
- Publication date
2010-05-11
- Fields of study
Mathematics
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