Biased-corrected richness estimates for the Amazonian tree flora

H. ter Steege,P. Prado,Renato A. F. Lima,Edwin T. Pos,Luiz de Souza Coelho,Diógenes de Andrade Lima Filho,R. Salomão,I. Amaral,Francisca Dionízia de Almeida Matos,C. Castilho,O. Phillips,J. Guevara,Marcelo de Jesus Veiga Carim,Dairon Cárdenas López,W. Magnusson,F. Wittmann,Maria Pires Martins,D. Sabatier,M. V. Irume,José Renan da Silva Guimarães,J. Molino,O. Bánki,M. Piedade,N. Pitman,J. F. Ramos,Abel Monteagudo Mendoza,E. Venticinque,B. G. Luize,Percy Núñez Vargas,T. S. F. Silva,Evlyn Márcia Moraes de Leão Novo,N. F. C. Reis,J. Terborgh,Â. G. Manzatto,Katia Regina Casula,E. H. Honorio Coronado,J. Montero,Á. Duque,F. Costa,Nicolás Castaño Arboleda,J. Schöngart,C. Zartman,T. Killeen,B. Marimon,B. H. Marimon‐Junior,R. Vasquez,B. Mostacedo,L. O. Demarchi,T. Feldpausch,J. Engel,P. Pétronelli,C. Baraloto,R. Assis,H. Castellanos,M. Simon,Marcelo Brilhante de Medeiros,A. Quaresma,S. Laurance,L. Rincón,A. Andrade,T. Sousa,J. Camargo,J. Schietti,W. Laurance,H. L. de Queiroz,H. Nascimento,M. Lopes,Emanuelle de Sousa Farias,José Leonardo Lima Magalhães,R. Brienen,G. Aymard C.,J. Revilla,I. Vieira,B. B. Cintra,P. Stevenson,Y. Feitosa,J. Duivenvoorden,H. Mogollón,A. Araujo-Murakami,L. Ferreira,J. Lozada,J. Comiskey,J. J. de Toledo,G. Damasco,N. Dávila,Aline Lopes,R. García‐Villacorta,Freddie C. Draper,A. Vicentini,Fernando Cornejo Valverde,J. Lloyd,V. F. Gomes,D. Neill,A. Alonso,F. Dallmeier,F. C. de Souza,R. Gribel,L. Arroyo,F. Carvalho,Daniel P. P. de Aguiar,Dário Dantas do Amaral,M. P. Pansonato,K. Feeley,E. Berenguer,P. Fine,M. Guedes,J. Barlow,J. Ferreira,Boris Villa,M. C. Peñuela Mora,E. Jimenez,J. Licona,C. Cerón,R. Thomas,P. Maas,M. Silveira,T. Henkel,J. Stropp,M. Paredes,K. Dexter,D. Daly,T. Baker,Isau Huamantupa‐Chuquimaco,W. Milliken,T. Pennington,J. Tello,J. L. Peña,C. Peres,B. Klitgaard,A. Fuentes,M. Silman,A. Di Fiore,P. von Hildebrand,J. Chave,T. V. van Andel,R. Hilário,J. Phillips,G. Rivas‐Torres,J. Noronha,A. Prieto,T. Gonzales,Rainiellen de Sá Carpanedo,George Pepe Gallardo Gonzales,Ricardo Zarate Gomez,Domingos de Jesus Rodrigues,E. Zent,A. Ruschel,V. Vos,É. Fonty,A. B. Junqueira,Hilda Paulette Dávila Doza,B. Hoffman,S. Zent,E. Barbosa,Y. Malhi,Luiz Carlos de Matos Bonates,I. P. de Andrade Miranda,N. Silva,F. R. Barbosa,C. Vela,Linder Felipe Mozombite Pinto,A. Rudas,Bianca Weiss Albuquerque,M. Umaña,Yrma Andreina Carrero Márquez,G. V. D. van der Heijden,K. Young,M. Tirado,D. F. Correa,R. Sierra,J. Costa,M. Rocha,Emilio Vilanova Torre,O. Wang,A. Oliveira,M. Kalamandeen,Corine F. Vriesendorp,H. Ramírez-Angulo,M. Holmgren,M. Nascimento,D. Galbraith,B. Flores,V. V. Scudeller,Á. Cano,M. A. Ahuite Reategui,I. Mesones,C. Baider,C. Mendoza,R. Zagt,Ligia Estela Urrego Giraldo,C. Ferreira,D. Villarroel,R. Linares‐Palomino,W. Farfán-Ríos,W. Farfán-Ríos,L. Casas,Sasha Cárdenas,H. Balslev,A. Torres‐Lezama,M. Alexiades,K. Garcia‐Cabrera,L. Valenzuela Gamarra,Elvis H. Valderrama Sandoval,Freddy Ramirez Arevalo,Lionel Hernandez,A. F. Sampaio,S. Pansini,Walter Palacios Cuenca,E. A. de Oliveira,D. Pauletto,A. Levesley,K. Melgaço,G. Pickavance

Published 2020 in Scientific Reports

ABSTRACT

Amazonian forests are extraordinarily diverse, but the estimated species richness is very much debated. Here, we apply an ensemble of parametric estimators and a novel technique that includes conspecific spatial aggregation to an extended database of forest plots with up-to-date taxonomy. We show that the species abundance distribution of Amazonia is best approximated by a logseries with aggregated individuals, where aggregation increases with rarity. By averaging several methods to estimate total richness, we confirm that over 15,000 tree species are expected to occur in Amazonia. We also show that using ten times the number of plots would result in an increase to just ~50% of those 15,000 estimated species. To get a more complete sample of all tree species, rigorous field campaigns may be needed but the number of trees in Amazonia will remain an estimate for years to come.

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