Learning to Predict Vehicle Trajectories with Model-based Planning

Haoran Song,Di Luan,Wenchao Ding,M. Wang,Qifeng Chen

Published 2021 in Conference on Robot Learning

ABSTRACT

Predicting the future trajectories of on-road vehicles is critical for autonomous driving. In this paper, we introduce a novel prediction framework called PRIME, which stands for Prediction with Model-based Planning. Unlike recent prediction works that utilize neural networks to model scene context and produce unconstrained trajectories, PRIME is designed to generate accurate and feasibility-guaranteed future trajectory predictions. PRIME guarantees the trajectory feasibility by exploiting a model-based generator to produce future trajectories under explicit constraints and enables accurate multimodal prediction by utilizing a learning-based evaluator to select future trajectories. We conduct experiments on the large-scale Argoverse Motion Forecasting Benchmark, where PRIME outperforms the state-of-the-art methods in prediction accuracy, feasibility, and robustness under imperfect tracking.

PUBLICATION RECORD

  • Publication year

    2021

  • Venue

    Conference on Robot Learning

  • Publication date

    2021-03-06

  • Fields of study

    Computer Science, Engineering

  • Identifiers
  • External record

    Open on Semantic Scholar

  • Source metadata

    Semantic Scholar

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