Indicators of transitions in biological systems.

No abstract is available for this paper.

• Publication year

  2018

• Venue

  Ecology Letters

• Publication date

  2018-06-01

• Fields of study

  Biology, Medicine, Computer Science, Environmental Science

• Identifiers
  DOI 10.1111/ele.12948PMID 29601665
• External record

  Open on Semantic Scholar

• Source metadata

  Semantic Scholar, PubMed

• No claims are published for this paper.

• No concepts are published for this paper.

• Vegetation recovery in tidal marshes reveals critical slowing down under increased inundation

  2017cited by this paper
• Indications of hysteresis and early warning signals of reduced community resilience during a Bering Sea cold anomaly

  2017cited by this paper
• Body size shifts and early warning signals precede the historic collapse of whale stocks

  2017cited by this paper
• Remotely-Sensed Early Warning Signals of a Critical Transition in a Wetland Ecosystem

  2017cited by this paper
• Detecting spatial regimes in ecosystems.

  2017cited by this paper
• Spatial early warning signals in a lake manipulation

  2017cited by this paper
• Anticipating the emergence of infectious diseases

  2017cited by this paper
• Enhancement of early warning properties in the Kuramoto model and in an atrial fibrillation model due to an external perturbation of the system

  2017cited by this paper
• Alternative stable states and spatial indicators of critical slowing down along a spatial gradient in a savanna ecosystem

  2017cited by this paper
• Rate of forcing and the forecastability of critical transitions

  2016cited by this paper
• Network based early warning indicators of vegetation changes in a land–atmosphere model

  2016cited by this paper
• Spatially heterogeneous pressure raises risk of catastrophic shifts

  2016cited by this paper
• Do early warning indicators consistently predict nonlinear change in long‐term ecological data?

  2016cited by this paper
• Including trait-based early warning signals helps predict population collapse

  2016cited by this paper
• Reversal of a cyanobacterial bloom in response to early warnings

  2016cited by this paper
• Body size distributions signal a regime shift in a lake ecosystem

  2016cited by this paper
• Resilience indicators: prospects and limitations for early warnings of regime shifts

  2015cited by this paper
• The Body Size Dependence of Trophic Cascades

  2015cited by this paper
• Eluding catastrophic shifts

  2015cited by this paper
• Evaluating adaptive co-management as conservation conflict resolution: Learning from seals and salmon.

  2015cited by this paper
• The ecological forecast horizon, and examples of its uses and determinants

  2015cited by this paper
• Factors Influencing the Detectability of Early Warning Signals of Population Collapse

  2015cited by this paper
• Termite mounds can increase the robustness of dryland ecosystems to climatic change

  2015cited by this paper
• Prediction, precaution, and policy under global change

  2015cited by this paper
• Leading indicators of mosquito-borne disease elimination

  2015cited by this paper
• Resilience and tipping points of an exploited fish population over six decades

  2015cited by this paper
• Experimental Perturbations Modify the Performance of Early Warning Indicators of Regime Shift.

  2015cited by this paper
• Predator–prey dynamics and the plasticity of predator body size

  2014cited by this paper
• Early Warning Signs in Social-Ecological Networks

  2014cited by this paper
• Early warnings of regime shifts: evaluation of spatial indicators from a whole‐ecosystem experiment

  2014cited by this paper
• Early Warning Signals of Ecological Transitions: Methods for Spatial Patterns

  2014cited by this paper
• Linking body mass and group dynamics in an obligate cooperative breeder.

  2014cited by this paper
• Interaction network based early-warning indicators of vegetation transitions

  2014cited by this paper
• A new approach for rapid detection of nearby thresholds in ecosystem time series

  2014cited by this paper
• Catastrophic Collapse Can Occur without Early Warning: Examples of Silent Catastrophes in Structured Ecological Models

  2013cited by this paper
• Shrinking of fishes exacerbates impacts of global ocean changes on marine ecosystems

  2013cited by this paper
• Early warning signals also precede non-catastrophic transitions

  2013cited by this paper
• Statistical indicators and state–space population models predict extinction in a population of bobwhite quail

  2013cited by this paper
• Theory of early warning signals of disease emergenceand leading indicators of elimination

  2013cited by this paper
• Early warning signals: the charted and uncharted territories

  2013cited by this paper
• Predictive systems ecology

  2013cited by this paper
• Ecological consequences of body size decline in harvested fish species: positive feedback loops in trophic interactions amplify human impact

  2013cited by this paper
• Interactive effects of body-size structure and adaptive foraging on food-web stability.

  2012cited by this paper
• Quantifying limits to detection of early warning for critical transitions

  2012cited by this paper
• Early warning signals and the prosecutor's fallacy

  2012cited by this paper
• Methods for Detecting Early Warnings of Critical Transitions in Time Series Illustrated Using Simulated Ecological Data

  2012cited by this paper
• Anticipating Critical Transitions

  2012cited by this paper
• Slower recovery in space before collapse of connected populations

  2012cited by this paper
• Generic Indicators for Loss of Resilience Before a Tipping Point Leading to Population Collapse

  2012cited by this paper
• Domestic Politics and the Formation of International Environmental Agreements

  2012cited by this paper
• Early warning of climate tipping points from critical slowing down: comparing methods to improve robustness

  2012cited by this paper
• Gradual regime shifts in spatially extended ecosystems

  2012cited by this paper
• Specimen‐Based Modeling, Stopping Rules, and the Extinction of the Ivory‐Billed Woodpecker

  2012cited by this paper
• Decision-making under great uncertainty: environmental management in an era of global change.

  2011cited by this paper
• Tipping points in open systems: bifurcation, noise-induced and rate-dependent examples in the climate system

  2011cited by this paper
• Early Warnings of Regime Shifts: A Whole-Ecosystem Experiment

  2011cited by this paper
• Early Warning Signals for Critical Transitions: A Generalized Modeling Approach

  2011cited by this paper
• Environmental modulation of self‐organized periodic vegetation patterns in Sudan

  2011cited by this paper
• Slowing Down in Spatially Patterned Ecosystems at the Brink of Collapse

  2011cited by this paper
• Conditional Heteroscedasticity as a Leading Indicator of Ecological Regime Shifts

  2011cited by this paper
• Shrinking body size as an ecological response to climate change

  2011cited by this paper
• Large‐scale redistribution of maximum fisheries catch potential in the global ocean under climate change

  2010cited by this paper
• Forecasting the dynamics of a coastal fishery species using a coupled climate--population model.

  2010cited by this paper
• Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments

  2010cited by this paper
• Regime shifts in ecological systems can occur with no warning.

  2010cited by this paper
• Impacts of climate warming on lake fish community structure and potential effects on ecosystem function

  2010cited by this paper
• Spatial correlation as leading indicator of catastrophic shifts

  2010cited by this paper
• Integrating resilience thinking and optimisation for conservation.

  2009cited by this paper
• Early-warning signals for critical transitions

  2009cited by this paper
• Structured decision making as a conceptual framework to identify thresholds for conservation and management.

  2009cited by this paper
• Turning back from the brink: Detecting an impending regime shift in time to avert it

  2009cited by this paper
• The Dynamics of Phenotypic Change and the Shrinking Sheep of St. Kilda

  2009cited by this paper
• Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change

  2008cited by this paper
• Crossing habitat boundaries: coupling dynamics of ecosystems through complex life cycles.

  2008cited by this paper
• Is conservation triage just smart decision making?

  2008cited by this paper
• Changing skewness: an early warning signal of regime shifts in ecosystems.

  2008cited by this paper
• Spatial vegetation patterns and imminent desertification in Mediterranean arid ecosystems

  2007cited by this paper
• Response to Comment on "Ivory-billed Woodpecker (Campephilus principalis) Persists in Continental North America"

  2006cited by this paper
• Integral Projection Models for Species with Complex Demography

  2006cited by this paper
• Body size in ecological networks.

  2005cited by this paper
• Ivory-billed Woodpecker (Campephilus principalis) Persists in Continental North America

  2005cited by this paper
• Regime Shifts, Resilience, and Biodiversity in Ecosystem Management

  2004cited by this paper
• Self-Organized Patchiness and Catastrophic Shifts in Ecosystems

  2004cited by this paper
• Allee effects, extinctions, and chaotic transients in simple population models.

  2003cited by this paper
• Alternative stable states in ecology

  2003cited by this paper
• Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems

  2001cited by this paper
• Organisms' response in a chronically polluted lake supports hypothesized link between stress and size

  1998cited by this paper
• Body mass and survival of bighorn sheep

  1997cited by this paper
• The value of the world's ecosystem services and natural capital

  1997cited by this paper
• Phase transitions and complex systems: Simple, nonlinear models capture complex systems at the edge of chaos

  1996cited by this paper
• Alternative equilibria in shallow lakes.

  1993cited by this paper
• Positive-feedback Switches in Plant Communities

  1992cited by this paper
• Multicanonical ensemble: A new approach to simulate first-order phase transitions.

  1992cited by this paper
• Nonequilibrium phase transitions in coordinated biological motion: Critical slowing down and switching time

  1987cited by this paper
• Scaling and critical slowing down in random-field Ising systems.

  1986cited by this paper
• A universal law of the characteristic return time near thresholds

  1984cited by this paper
• Observation of critical slowing down at the structural phase transition in p-terphenyl by high-resolution neutron spectroscopy

  1979cited by this paper
• Critical Slowing-Down near the Transition Region from the Resting to Time-Ordered States in Squid Giant Axons

  1978cited by this paper
• Thresholds and breakpoints in ecosystems with a multiplicity of stable states

  1977cited by this paper
• CHAPTER 8 – The Strategy of Building Models of Complex Ecological Systems

  1966cited by this paper

• Moderate intervention paradox in threshold-intensity regulated rock–paper–scissors competition systems

  2026cites this paper
• Accelerating loss of resilience in Bornean rainforests

  2026cites this paper
• Lagom: Maintenance and Regulation of Biological Heterogeneity

  2026cites this paper
• Generalized Mechanism Model for Ecosystem Hysteresis.

  2026cites this paper
• Detecting nonlinearity in natural population time series with classical and proxy indicators

  2026cites this paper
• Multivariate signals of population collapse in a high‐throughput ecological experiment

  2025influential citation
• Prospects for acoustically monitoring ecosystem tipping points

  2025influential citation
• Data-driven system identification for piecewise dynamical systems via Sparse Identification Neural Ordinary Differential Equations

  2025cites this paper
• Science at Risk: The Urgent Need for Institutional Support of Long-Term Ecological and Evolutionary Research in an Era of Data Manipulation and Disinformation

  2025cites this paper
• Tree resistance outweighs climatic drivers in governing extreme growth suppression

  2025cites this paper
• Body size, nutritional state and endocrine state are associated with calving probability in a long‐lived marine species

  2025cites this paper
• Global Stability and Tipping Point Prediction in a Coral-Algae Model Using Landscape-Flux Theory

  2025cites this paper
• Fluctuation-variable correlation as early warning signals of non-equilibrium critical transitions

  2025cites this paper
• Does restoration of degraded grasslands follow the theory of multiple stable states?

  2025cites this paper
• The combined effects of multiple stressors in an endangered, long‐lived species: Lessons learned and ways forward

  2025cites this paper
• Early warning signals for regime shifts in gene transcription regulatory systems: Relaxation time within the perspective of stochastic resonance

  2025cites this paper
• Forecasting extinction risk for future-proof conservation decisions.

  2025cites this paper
• Are the alternative ecosystem states produced by positive fire-flammability feedbacks reversible?

  2025cites this paper
• Monitoring vegetation patterns and their drivers to infer resilience: Automated detection of vegetation and megaherbivores from drone imagery using deep learning

  2024cites this paper
• Rethinking extinction “crises”: The case of Asian songbird trade

  2024cites this paper
• Decreasing resistance as an early warning signal of forest declines in the Qilian Mountains

  2024cites this paper
• Effective detection of early warning signal with power spectrum in climate change system

  2024cites this paper
• Early warning signals of complex critical transitions in deterministic dynamics

  2024cites this paper
• Marked interannual variability in the relative dominance of phytoplankton over submerged macrophytes rather than regime shifts in a shallow eutrophic lake: Evidence from long-term observations

  2024cites this paper
• Assessing spatiotemporal change in coral reef social-ecological systems.

  2024cites this paper
• Nonequilibrium dynamics in conservation biology: Scales, attractors and critical points

  2024cites this paper
• Application of early warning signs to physiological contexts: a comparison of multivariate indices in patients on long-term hemodialysis

  2024cites this paper
• Early warning signals observed in motor activity preceding mood state change in bipolar disorder

  2024cites this paper
• Early warning indicators capture catastrophic transitions driven by explicit rates of environmental change.

  2024cites this paper
• Declining pronghorn (Antilocapra americana) population productivity caused by woody encroachment and oil and gas development

  2024cites this paper
• Catastrophic bifurcation in the dynamics of a threatened bird community triggered by a planetary-scale environmental perturbation

  2024cites this paper
• Landscape quantifies the intermediate state and transition dynamics in ecological networks

  2024cites this paper
• Tipping point detection and early warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems

  2024cites this paper
• Detecting Early Warning Signals of Financial Crisis in Spatial Endogenous Credit Modelusing Patch-Size Distribution

  2023cites this paper
• Flagged observation analyses as a tool for scoping and communication in integrated ecosystem assessments

  2023cites this paper
• Understanding Change in Benthic Marine Systems.

  2023cites this paper
• Early warning for spatial ecological system: Fractal dimension and deep learning

  2023cites this paper
• ewstools: A Python package for early warning signals of bifurcations in time series data

  2023cites this paper
• The collapse and re-establishment of stability regulate the gradual transition of bacterial communities from macrophyte: to phytoplankton-dominated types in a large eutrophic lake.

  2023cites this paper
• Early warning signals of changing resilience in the biogeochemistry and biology of a northern hardwood forest

  2023cites this paper
• Spatio-temporal species distribution models reveal dynamic indicators for ecosystem-based fisheries management

  2023cites this paper
• A predictive timeline of wildlife population collapse

  2023cites this paper
• Using the dynamics of productivity and precipitation-use efficiency to detect state transitions in Eurasian grasslands

  2023cites this paper
• EWSmethods: an R package to forecast tipping points at the community level using early warning signals, resilience measures, and machine learning models

  2023cites this paper
• Eutrophication decreases ecological resilience by reducing species diversity and altering functional traits of submerged macrophytes

  2023influential citation
• Tipping time in a stochastic Leslie predator–prey model

  2023cites this paper
• Photo-acclimatory thresholds anticipate sudden shifts in seagrass ecosystem state under reduced light conditions.

  2022cites this paper
• Resilience of Working Agricultural Landscapes

  2022cites this paper
• Nutrient limitation can explain a rapid transition to synchrony in an upwelling‐driven diatom community

  2022cites this paper
• Spatiotemporal variability in Swedish lake ecosystems

  2022cites this paper
• Survival of the Resilient: An Exploration of Tipping Cascades with Positive Change By ABHISHEK MALLELA DISSERTATION Submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY

  2022cites this paper
• Probabilistic Multivariate Early Warning Signals

  2022cites this paper
• How early can an upcoming critical transition be detected?

  2022cites this paper
• Alternative stable state and its evaluation in wetland reconstruction based on landscape design.

  2022cites this paper
• Integrating machine learning, remote sensing and citizen science to create an early warning system for biodiversity

  2022cites this paper
• Changing Box–Cox transformation parameter as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change

  2022cites this paper
• Shrub-soil interaction and its feedbacks to vegetation patterns in Alxa plateau in NW China

  2022cites this paper
• Effects of diversity on thermal niche variation in bird communities under climate change

  2022cites this paper
• Systematic analysis and optimization of early warning signals for critical transitions using distribution data

  2022cites this paper
• Timeline to collapse

  2022influential citation
• Corridor quality affects net movement, size of dispersers, and population growth in experimental microcosms

  2021cites this paper
• Stocking alien carp leads to regime shifts in native fish populations: Evidence from long-term observation and ecological modeling of a Chinese reservoir

  2021cites this paper
• The futility of long-term predictions in bipolar disorder: mood fluctuations are the result of deterministic chaotic processes

  2021cites this paper
• Operationalising the concept of ecosystem collapse for 1 conservation practice 2

  2021cites this paper
• Tipping Cascades in a Multi-patch System with Noise and Spatial Coupling

  2021cites this paper
• Ecosystem coupling: A unifying framework to understand the functioning and recovery of ecosystems

  2021cites this paper
• A Science Agenda to Inform Natural Resource Management Decisions in an Era of Ecological Transformation

  2021cites this paper
• Regime Shifts and Tipping Points

  2021cites this paper
• Early warning signals of regime shifts for aquatic systems: Can experiments help to bridge the gap between theory and real-world application?

  2021cites this paper
• The coupled socio-ecohydrological evolution of river systems: Towards an integrative perspective of river systems in the 21st century.

  2021cites this paper
• Scientific foundations for an ecosystem goal, milestones and indicators for the post-2020 global biodiversity framework

  2021cites this paper
• Thermodynamic analysis of an ecologically restored plant community:Number of species

  2021cites this paper
• Phase transitions in biology: from bird flocks to population dynamics

  2021cites this paper
• Early warning signals for critical transitions in complex systems

  2021cites this paper
• Density dependence can obscure nonlethal effects of disturbance on life history of medium-sized cetaceans

  2021cites this paper
• Probabilistic early warning signals

  2021cites this paper
• Shifts in soil microbial stoichiometry and metabolic quotient provide evidence for a critical tipping point at 1% soil organic carbon in an agricultural post-mining chronosequence

  2021cites this paper
• Analytical Investigation of the Chaotic Dynamics of a Two-Dimensional Lotka–Volterra System with a Seasonality Factor

  2021cites this paper
• & Shan, I. (2021). Corridor quality affects net movement, size of dispersers, and population growth in experimental microcosms. Oecologia, 195(2), 547-556.

  2021cites this paper
• When and Where We Can Expect to See Early Warning Signals in Multispecies Systems Approaching Tipping Points: Insights from Theory

  2021cites this paper
• Machine learning methods trained on simple models can predict critical transitions in complex natural systems

  2021cites this paper
• Early warning indicators of population collapse in a seasonal environment.

  2021cites this paper
• Operationalising the concept of ecosystem collapse for conservation practice

  2021cites this paper
• Modifying connectivity to promote state change reversal: the importance of geomorphic context and plant–soil feedbacks

  2020cites this paper
• Towards a comparative framework of demographic resilience

  2020cites this paper
• Demographic traits improve predictions of spatiotemporal changes in community resilience to drought

  2020cites this paper
• Long‐term empirical evidence, early warning signals and multiple drivers of regime shifts in a lake ecosystem

  2020cites this paper
• Disentangling the dynamical underpinnings of differences in SARS-CoV-2 pathology using within-host ecological models

  2020cites this paper
• Putting Evolution to Work

  2020cites this paper
• The Ecosystem Resilience Concept Applied to Hydrogeological Systems: A General Approach

  2020cites this paper
• Small-scale switch in cover–perimeter relationships of patches indicates shift of dominant species during grassland degradation

  2020cites this paper
• Detecting and distinguishing tipping points using spectral early warning signals

  2020cites this paper
• Cumulative stressors reduce the self‐regulating capacity of coastal ecosystems

  2020cites this paper
• The Major Metaphors of Evolution: Darwinism Then and Now

  2020cites this paper
• Using paleo-archives to safeguard biodiversity under climate change

  2020cites this paper
• Network resilience

  2020cites this paper
• Secrete to beat the heat

  2020cites this paper
• Manipulating the strength of organism–environment feedback increases nonlinearity and apparent hysteresis of ecosystem response to environmental change

  2020cites this paper
• Early warning signals of population productivity regime shifts in global fisheries

  2020cites this paper
• Climate change induced socio-economic tipping points: review and stakeholder consultation for policy relevant research

  2020cites this paper