The fate of Amazonian ecosystems over the coming century arising from changes in climate, atmospheric CO2, and land use

No abstract is available for this paper.

• Publication year

  2015

• Venue

  Global Change Biology

• Publication date

  2015-07-01

• Fields of study

  Medicine, Environmental Science

• Identifiers
  DOI 10.1111/gcb.12903PMID 25704051
• External record

  Open on Semantic Scholar

• Source metadata

  Semantic Scholar, PubMed

• No claims are published for this paper.

• No concepts are published for this paper.

• Abrupt increases in Amazonian tree mortality due to drought–fire interactions

  2014cited by this paper
• Mechanisms of water supply and vegetation demand govern the seasonality and magnitude of evapotranspiration in Amazonia and Cerrado

  2014influential reference
• Confronting model predictions of carbon fluxes with measurements of Amazon forests subjected to experimental drought.

  2013cited by this paper
• Overview of the large-scale biosphere–atmosphere experiment in Amazonia data model intercomparison project (LBA-DMIP)

  2013cited by this paper
• Simulated resilience of tropical rainforests to CO2-induced climate change

  2013cited by this paper
• Inter-annual variability of carbon and water fluxes in Amazonian forest, Cerrado and pasture sites, as simulated by terrestrial biosphere models

  2013cited by this paper
• Experiment aims to steep rainforest in carbon dioxide

  2013cited by this paper
• Sensitivity of tropical carbon to climate change constrained by carbon dioxide variability

  2013cited by this paper
• Amplification of wet and dry month occurrence over tropical land regions in response to global warming

  2012cited by this paper
• Challenges for Low-Carbon Agriculture and Forest Conservation in Brazil

  2012cited by this paper
• Land conversion in Amazonia and Northern South America : influences on regional hydrology and ecosystem response

  2012cited by this paper
• Estimated carbon dioxide emissions from tropical deforestation improved by carbon-density maps

  2012cited by this paper
• The Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES), model description – Part 2: Carbon fluxes and vegetation dynamics

  2011cited by this paper
• Benchmark map of forest carbon stocks in tropical regions across three continents

  2011cited by this paper
• Global Resilience of Tropical Forest and Savanna to Critical Transitions

  2011cited by this paper
• Increasing liana abundance and biomass in tropical forests: emerging patterns and putative mechanisms.

  2011cited by this paper
• Quantifying Environmental Drivers of Future Tropical Forest Extent

  2011cited by this paper
• The 2010 Amazon Drought

  2011cited by this paper
• The Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES), model description – Part 1: Energy and water fluxes

  2011cited by this paper
• Bias correction of monthly precipitation and temperature fields from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change AR4 models using equidistant quantile matching

  2010cited by this paper
• Effect of smoke on subcanopy shaded light, canopy temperature, and carbon dioxide uptake in an Amazon rainforest

  2010cited by this paper
• Effects of Amazon and Central Brazil deforestation scenarios on the duration of the dry season in the arc of deforestation

  2010cited by this paper
• Effect of 7 yr of experimental drought on vegetation dynamics and biomass storage of an eastern Amazonian rainforest.

  2010cited by this paper
• Seasonal and interannual variability of climate and vegetation indices across the Amazon

  2010cited by this paper
• Variations in chemical and physical properties of Amazon forest soils in relation to their genesis

  2010cited by this paper
• The influence of vegetation, fire spread and fire behaviour on biomass burning and trace gas emissions: results from a process-based model

  2010cited by this paper
• Introduction: Elevation gradients in the tropics: laboratories for ecosystem ecology and global change research

  2010cited by this paper
• Multiple mechanisms of Amazonian forest biomass losses in three dynamic global vegetation models under climate change.

  2010cited by this paper
• Re-assessment of plant carbon dynamics at the Duke free-air CO(2) enrichment site: interactions of atmospheric [CO(2)] with nitrogen and water availability over stand development.

  2010cited by this paper
• Estimating the risk of Amazonian forest dieback.

  2010cited by this paper
• Trends in the sources and sinks of carbon dioxide

  2009cited by this paper
• Mechanistic scaling of ecosystem function and dynamics in space and time: Ecosystem Demography model version 2

  2009cited by this paper
• Exploring the likelihood and mechanism of a climate-change-induced dieback of the Amazon rainforest

  2009cited by this paper
• Increasing carbon storage in intact African tropical forests

  2009cited by this paper
• Leaf phosphorus influences the photosynthesis–nitrogen relation: a cross-biome analysis of 314 species

  2009cited by this paper
• Drought Sensitivity of the Amazon Rainforest

  2009cited by this paper
• Estimates of fire emissions from an active deforestation region in the southern Amazon based on satellite data and biogeochemical modelling

  2008cited by this paper
• Climate Change, Deforestation, and the Fate of the Amazon

  2008cited by this paper
• Global characterization of fire activity: toward defining fire regimes from Earth observation data

  2008cited by this paper
• The changing Amazon forest

  2008cited by this paper
• Effects of rising temperatures and [CO2] on the physiology of tropical forest trees

  2008cited by this paper
• Fire risk in Amazonia due to climate change in the HadCM3 climate model: Potential interactions with deforestation

  2008cited by this paper
• CO2 fertilization in temperate FACE experiments not representative of boreal and tropical forests

  2008cited by this paper
• Spatial patterns and fire response of recent Amazonian droughts

  2007influential reference
• Mortality of large trees and lianas following experimental drought in an Amazon forest.

  2007cited by this paper
• Climate models and their evaluation

  2007cited by this paper
• Influence of carbon‐nitrogen cycle coupling on land model response to CO2 fertilization and climate variability

  2007cited by this paper
• Sensitivity of pan-Arctic terrestrial net primary productivity simulations to daily surface meteorology from NCEP-NCAR and ERA-40 reanalyses

  2007cited by this paper
• Amazon Forests Green-Up During 2005 Drought

  2007cited by this paper
• Development of a 50-Year High-Resolution Global Dataset of Meteorological Forcings for Land Surface Modeling

  2006cited by this paper
• The underpinnings of land‐use history: three centuries of global gridded land‐use transitions, wood‐harvest activity, and resulting secondary lands

  2006cited by this paper
• Globalization of the Amazon Soy and Beef Industries: Opportunities for Conservation

  2006cited by this paper
• The regional variation of aboveground live biomass in old‐growth Amazonian forests

  2006cited by this paper
• Modelling conservation in the Amazon basin

  2006cited by this paper
• The contributions of land‐use change, CO2 fertilization, and climate variability to the Eastern US carbon sink

  2006cited by this paper
• Forest response to elevated CO2 is conserved across a broad range of productivity.

  2005cited by this paper
• Pattern and process in Amazon tree turnover, 1976-2001.

  2004cited by this paper
• Increasing biomass in Amazonian forest plots.

  2004cited by this paper
• Eight glacial cycles from an Antarctic ice core

  2004cited by this paper
• Amazonian forest dieback under climate-carbon cycle projections for the 21st century

  2004cited by this paper
• The role of ecosystem-atmosphere interactions in simulated Amazonian precipitation decrease and forest dieback under global climate warming

  2004cited by this paper
• Amazon drought and its implications for forest flammability and tree growth : a basin-wide analysis

  2004cited by this paper
• Contrasting simulated past and future responses of the Amazonian forest to atmospheric change.

  2004cited by this paper
• Identifying adaptive genetic divergence among populations from genome scans

  2004cited by this paper
• Through enhanced tree dynamics carbon dioxide enrichment may cause tropical forests to lose carbon.

  2004cited by this paper
• The economic cost of the use of fire in the Amazon

  2004cited by this paper
• Impact of bias correction to reanalysis products on simulations of North American soil moisture and hydrological fluxes

  2003cited by this paper
• Fire science for rainforests

  2003cited by this paper
• Developments in the MOSES 2 land-surface model for PILPS 2e

  2003cited by this paper
• The MODIS fire products

  2002cited by this paper
• Description of the "TRIFFID" Dynamic Global Vegetation Model

  2001cited by this paper
• Testing the performance of a dynamic global ecosystem model: Water balance, carbon balance, and vegetation structure

  2000cited by this paper
• Improvement of water balance in land surface schemes by random cascade disaggregation of rainfall.

  2000cited by this paper
• Annual fluxes of carbon from deforestation and regrowth in the Brazilian Amazon

  2000cited by this paper
• The impact of new land surface physics on the GCM simulation of climate and climate sensitivity

  1999cited by this paper
• Tropical Forests in a Co2-Rich World

  1998cited by this paper
• CO2 effects on the water budget of grassland microcosm communities

  1997cited by this paper
• An integrated biosphere model of land surface processes

  1996cited by this paper
• A critical appraisal of a combined stomatal‐photosynthesis model for C3 plants

  1995cited by this paper
• On the response of the tropical atmosphere to large-scale deforestation

  1993cited by this paper
• On the response of the tropical atmosphere tio large‐scale deforestation

  1993cited by this paper
• Coupled Photosynthesis-Stomatal Conductance Model for Leaves of C4 Plants

  1992cited by this paper
• Effect of CO2‐enrichnient on seedling physiology and growth of two tropical tree species

  1985cited by this paper
• Effect of CO2-enrichment on seedling physiology and growth of two tropical tree species [Pentaclethra macroloba, stomatal conductance, CO2-concentration, water use efficiency]

  1985cited by this paper
• A biochemical model of photosynthetic CO2 assimilation in leaves of C3 species

  1980cited by this paper
• Empirical equations for some soil hydraulic properties

  1978cited by this paper
• Evaporation

  1941cited by this paper
• A METHOD FOR SCALING VEGETATION DYNAMICS: THE ECOSYSTEM DEMOGRAPHY MODEL (ED)

  year unknowncited by this paper

• Growth and wood anatomical properties of Acacia auriculiformis A.Cunn. ex Benth. planted under varied climatic conditions in Karnataka

  2026cites this paper
• Tropical Montane Cloud Forests Have High Resilience to Five Years of Severe Soil Drought

  2026cites this paper
• An improved statistical bias correction method for Global Climate Model (GCM) precipitation projection: A case study on the CMCC-CM2-SR5 model projection in China’s Huaihe River Basin

  2025cites this paper
• Climate change impacts on morpho-anatomical traits, physiological processes and survival strategies of plants: a comprehensive review

  2025cites this paper
• Trade‐Offs and Synergies Between Climate Change Mitigation, Biodiversity Preservation, and Agro‐Economic Development Across Future Land‐Use Scenarios in Brazil

  2025cites this paper
• Bias correction methods for simulated precipitation in the Brazilian Legal Amazon

  2025cites this paper
• Relationships between plant hyperdominance in abundance and biomass in old agricultural landscapes in Eastern Amazonia

  2025influential citation
• A review on the effect of climate change on wood anatomical characters

  2025cites this paper
• The impacts of elevated CO2 on forest growth, mortality, and recovery in the Amazon rainforest

  2024cites this paper
• Contrasting carbon cycle responses to dry (2015 El Niño) and wet (2008 La Niña) extreme events at an Amazon tropical forest

  2024cites this paper
• Os eventos extremos como instrumentos de informação na gestão dos recursos hídricos

  2024cites this paper
• Emergent constraints on future Amazon climate change-induced carbon loss using past global warming trends

  2024cites this paper
• An assessment of the present hydroclimatic regime of the Madeira River basin using climate and hydrological models

  2023cites this paper
• Progress and Hotspots of Research on Land-Use Carbon Emissions: A Global Perspective

  2023cites this paper
• Spatial and Temporal Variations of the Precipitation Structure in Jiangsu Province from 1960 to 2020 and Its Potential Climate-Driving Factors

  2023cites this paper
• Water use efficiency at multi-time scales and its response to episodic drought and wet periods in a typical subtropical evergreen forest of Southeast China

  2023cites this paper
• Spatiotemporal Variation of Extreme Precipitation in the Lixia River Basin, China, between 1960 and 2019 under Global Warming, Atmospheric Circulation, and Local Effects

  2023cites this paper
• Would Forest Regrowth Compensate for Climate Change in the Amazon Basin?

  2022cites this paper
• How drought events during the last century have impacted biomass carbon in Amazonian rainforests

  2022cites this paper
• Future Hurricanes Will Increase Palm Abundance and Decrease Aboveground Biomass in a Tropical Forest

  2022cites this paper
• Dynamic Global Vegetation Models: Searching for the balance between demographic process representation and computational tractability

  2022cites this paper
• Circulation Patterns and Associated Rainfall Over South Tropical South America: GCMs Evaluation During the Dry‐To‐Wet Transition Season

  2022cites this paper
• Contributions of competition on Larix kaempferi tree-ring growth were higher than long-term climate in China

  2022cites this paper
• Impact of Ice-Storms and Subsequent Salvage Logging on the Productivity of Cunninghamia lanceolata (Chinese Fir) Forests

  2022cites this paper
• Terrestrial Ecosystem Modeling with IBIS: Progress and Future Vision

  2022cites this paper
• Supplementary material to "The Impact of Hurricane Disturbances on a Tropical Forest: Implementing a Palm Plant Functional Type and Hurricane Disturbance Module in ED2-HuDi V1.0"

  2022cites this paper
• Effect of tree demography and flexible root water uptake for modeling the carbon and water cycles of Amazonia

  2022cites this paper
• Fires Drive Long-Term Environmental Degradation in the Amazon Basin

  2022cites this paper
• Changes in Global Vegetation Distribution and Carbon Fluxes in Response to Global Warming: Simulated Results from IAP-DGVM in CAS-ESM2

  2022cites this paper
• Assessment of CMIP6 Performance and Projected Temperature and Precipitation Changes Over South America

  2021cites this paper
• The Novel Microwave Temperature Vegetation Drought Index (MTVDI) Captures Canopy Seasonality across Amazonian Tropical Evergreen Forests

  2021cites this paper
• Trait-Based Modeling of Terrestrial Ecosystems: Advances and Challenges Under Global Change

  2021cites this paper
• Performance of the ecosystem demography model (EDv2.2) in simulating gross primary production capacity and activity in a dryland study area

  2021cites this paper
• Is foliar fertilization essential for high soybean yields?

  2021cites this paper
• Impacts of the 2012–2015 Californian drought on carbon, water and energy fluxes in the Californian Sierras: Results from an imaging spectrometry‐constrained terrestrial biosphere model

  2021cites this paper
• Response of Amazonian forests to mid‐Holocene drought: A model‐data comparison

  2021cites this paper
• Spatiotemporal changes of precipitation extremes in Bangladesh during 1987–2017 and their connections with climate changes, climate oscillations, and monsoon dynamics

  2021cites this paper
• Avaliação dos Impactos das Mudanças na Cobertura da Terra e Cenário de Emissões (RCP 8.5) no Balanço de água na Bacia do Rio Madeira

  2020cites this paper
• The Central Amazon Biomass Sink Under Current and Future Atmospheric CO2: Predictions From Big‐Leaf and Demographic Vegetation Models

  2020influential citation
• STRUCTURE AND BIOMASS ANALYSIS OF URBAN VEGETATION IN SQUARES OF SANTA CECÍLIA DISTRICT, SÃO PAULO, SP

  2020cites this paper
• Rootzone storage capacity reveals drought coping strategies along rainforest-savanna transitions

  2020cites this paper
• Analysis and Projection of Land-Use/Land-Cover Dynamics through Scenario-Based Simulations Using the CA-Markov Model: A Case Study in Guanting Reservoir Basin, China

  2020cites this paper
• Climate and land‐use change will lead to a faunal “savannization” on tropical rainforests

  2020cites this paper
• Impacts of Degradation on Water, Energy, and Carbon Cycling of the Amazon Tropical Forests

  2020cites this paper
• Environmental Scenario Analysis on Natural and Social-Ecological Systems: A Review of Methods, Approaches and Applications

  2020cites this paper
• Hygric Niches for Tropical Endotherms.

  2020cites this paper
• Impacts of climate change and deforestation on hydropower planning in the Brazilian Amazon

  2020cites this paper
• Evaluation of the physiological alterations in Ceratophyllum demersum L along a diurnally changing solar irradiance gradient

  2020cites this paper
• COMPARATIVE VESSEL TRAITS OF MACARANGA GIGANTEA AND VATICA DULITENSIS FROM MALAYSIAN BORNEO

  2020cites this paper
• Policy forum: Shifting cultivation and agroforestry in the Amazon: Premises for REDD+

  2020cites this paper
• Evapotranspiration in the Amazon: spatial patterns, seasonality, and recent trends in observations, reanalysis, and climate models

  2020cites this paper
• A comprehensive assessment framework for quantifying climatic and anthropogenic contributions to streamflow changes: A case study in a typical semi-arid North China basin

  2020cites this paper
• Energy and CO2 Fluxes over Native Fields of Southern Brazil through Multi-Objective Calibration of INLAND Model

  2020cites this paper
• Changes in precipitation extremes in the Yangtze River Basin during 1960-2019 and the association with global warming, ENSO, and local effects.

  2020cites this paper
• The biophysics, ecology, and biogeochemistry of functionally diverse, vertically and horizontally heterogeneous ecosystems: the Ecosystem Demography model, version 2.2 – Part 1: Model description

  2019cites this paper
• Effect of the importance of tree demography and flexible root water uptake for modelling the carbon and water cycles of Amazonia

  2019cites this paper
• Bryophyte stable isotope composition, diversity and biomass define tropical montane cloud forest extent

  2019cites this paper
• The biophysics, ecology, and biogeochemistry of functionally diverse, vertically- and horizontally-heterogeneous ecosystems: the Ecosystem Demography Model, version 2.2 — Part 1: Model description

  2019cites this paper
• Regression‐based regionalization for bias correction of temperature and precipitation

  2019cites this paper
• Ground observation-based analysis of soil moisture spatiotemporal variability across a humid to semi-humid transitional zone in China

  2019cites this paper
• Impacts of fire, climate and land-use change on terrestrial ecosystems

  2019influential citation
• Multimodel Analysis of Future Land Use and Climate Change Impacts on Ecosystem Functioning

  2019cites this paper
• The Ecosystem Demography Model , version 2 . 2-Part 1 : Model description

  2019cites this paper
• Recalculating route: dispersal constraints will drive the redistribution of Amazon primates in the Anthropocene

  2019cites this paper
• Retos en la gestión de los recursos en áreas protegidas, gobernanza y extractivismo en zona del Yaigojé-Apaporis, Amazonía colombiana

  2019cites this paper
• Deforestation Dynamics in the Nova Bonal Sustainable Development Project, Acre, Brazil

  2019cites this paper
• Land–atmosphere interactions in the tropics – a review

  2019cites this paper
• Different ways to die in a changing world: Consequences of climate change for tree species performance and survival through an ecophysiological perspective

  2019cites this paper
• Developing and optimizing shrub parameters representing sagebrush (Artemisia spp.) ecosystems in the northern Great Basin using the Ecosystem Demography (EDv2.2) model

  2019cites this paper
• Tropical carbon sink accelerated by symbiotic dinitrogen fixation

  2019cites this paper
• The importance of physiological, structural and trait responses to drought stress in driving spatial and temporal variation in GPP across Amazon forests

  2019cites this paper
• The Sensitivity of North American Terrestrial Carbon Fluxes to Spatial and Temporal Variation in Soil Moisture: An Analysis Using Radar‐Derived Estimates of Root‐Zone Soil Moisture

  2019cites this paper
• The Effects of Phosphorus Cycle Dynamics on Carbon Sources and Sinks in the Amazon Region: A Modeling Study Using ELM v1

  2019cites this paper
• The Importance of Physiological, Structural and Trait

  2019cites this paper
• Future Climate and Land Use Change Impacts on River Flows in the Tapajós Basin in the Brazilian Amazon

  2019cites this paper
• Recent progress in understanding climate thresholds

  2018cites this paper
• Changes in Wood Biomass and Crop Yields in Response to Projected CO2, O3, Nitrogen Deposition, and Climate

  2018cites this paper
• Variation in hydroclimate sustains tropical forest biomass and promotes functional diversity.

  2018cites this paper
• Limiting the high impacts of Amazon forest dieback with no-regrets science and policy action

  2018cites this paper
• The impacts of recent drought on fire, forest loss, and regional smoke emissions in lowland Bolivia

  2018cites this paper
• A generic pixel-to-point comparison for simulated large-scale ecosystem properties and ground-based observations: an example from the Amazon region

  2018cites this paper
• Ecosystem heterogeneity and diversity mitigate Amazon forest resilience to frequent extreme droughts.

  2018influential citation
• Optimizing shrub parameters to estimate gross primary production of the sagebrush ecosystem using the Ecosystem Demography (EDv2.2) model

  2018cites this paper
• Page Proof Instructions and Queries

  2018cites this paper
• Advancing ecohydrology in the changing tropics: Perspectives from early career scientists

  2018cites this paper
• Disturbance and Vegetation Dynamics in Earth System Models: Workshop Report

  2018cites this paper
• Decoupling the effects of deforestation and climate variability in the Tapajós river basin in the Brazilian Amazon

  2018cites this paper
• Vegetation demographics in Earth System Models: A review of progress and priorities

  2018cites this paper
• Analysis of drought and vulnerability in the North Darfur region of Sudan

  2018cites this paper
• Influence of flood dynamics on forest carbon stocks, litterfall seasonality and net primary productivity in amazonian várzea forests

  2018cites this paper
• Coupling the terrestrial hydrology model with biogeochemistry to the integrated LAND surface model: Amazon Basin applications

  2018cites this paper
• Do you think that DGVM models might increase resolution by using remote sensing data in order to improve spatial variability? Such as MODIS GPP/NPP at 1km. Response: The resolution of DGVMs is always defined by the resolution

  2018cites this paper
• The impacts of recent drought in lowland Bolivia on fire, forest loss and regional smoke emissions

  2018cites this paper
• Regional prediction of rainfall change : an energy budget approach

  2017cites this paper
• Reciclagem de Precipitação e Desflorestamento na Amazônia: Um Estudo de Modelagem Numérica

  2017cites this paper
• Current and future patterns of fire-induced forest degradation in Amazonia

  2017cites this paper
• Technical note: A hydrological routing scheme for the Ecosystem Demography model (ED2+R) tested in the Tapajós River basin in the Brazilian Amazon

  2017influential citation
• Understanding Plant Water Stress and the Terrestrial Carbon Cycle in Tropical Ecosystems: the Roles of Plant Hydraulics, Phenology, and Competition

  2017cites this paper
• Unravelling the drivers of short- and long-term variability in the Amazon hydrological cycle using tree-ring oxygen isotopes

  2017cites this paper
• Bias Correction of Climate Modeled Temperature and Precipitation Using Artificial Neural Networks

  2017cites this paper