Climate refugia: joint inference from fossil records, species distribution models and phylogeography.

No abstract is available for this paper.

• Publication year

  2014

• Venue

  New Phytologist

• Publication date

  2014-10-01

• Fields of study

  Biology, Medicine, Environmental Science

• Identifiers
  DOI 10.1111/nph.12929PMID 25039238
• External record

  Open on Semantic Scholar

• Source metadata

  Semantic Scholar, PubMed

• No claims are published for this paper.

• No concepts are published for this paper.

• Climate model benchmarking with glacial and mid-Holocene climates

  2014cited by this paper
• Integrating multiple lines of evidence into historical biogeography hypothesis testing: a Bison bison case study

  2014cited by this paper
• Topo‐climatic microrefugia explain the persistence of a rare endemic plant in the Alps during the last 21 millennia

  2014cited by this paper
• Ecological niche models in phylogeographic studies: applications, advances and precautions

  2014cited by this paper
• The influence of interspecific interactions on species range expansion rates

  2014cited by this paper
• The potential of stomata analysis in conifers to estimate presence of conifer trees: examples from the Alps

  2014cited by this paper
• Challenges in the presentation and analysis of plant-macrofossil stratigraphical data

  2014cited by this paper
• Microclimate modelling at macro scales: a test of a general microclimate model integrated with gridded continental‐scale soil and weather data

  2014cited by this paper
• Cryptic no more: soil macrofossils uncover Pleistocene forest microrefugia within a periglacial desert.

  2014cited by this paper
• Using the palaeontological record of Microtus to test species distribution models and reveal responses to climate change

  2013cited by this paper
• Palaeoenvironment in northern Norway between 22.2 and 14.5 cal. ka BP

  2013cited by this paper
• From Card Catalogs to Computers: Databases in Vertebrate Paleontology

  2013cited by this paper
• ISSUE The ice age ecologist: testing methods for reserve prioritization during the last global warming

  2013cited by this paper
• A road map for integrating eco-evolutionary processes into biodiversity models.

  2013cited by this paper
• The past ecology of Abies alba provides new perspectives on future responses of silver fir forests to global warming

  2013cited by this paper
• Evaluating forest refugial models using species distribution models, model filling and inclusion: a case study with 14 Brazilian species

  2013cited by this paper
• Climate or migration: what limited European beech post‐glacial colonization?

  2013cited by this paper
• The evolutionary time machine: using dormant propagules to forecast how populations can adapt to changing environments.

  2013cited by this paper
• Climate refugia: from the Last Glacial Maximum to the twenty-first century.

  2013cited by this paper
• Cryptic or mystic? Glacial tree refugia in northern Europe.

  2013influential reference
• The shaping of genetic variation in edge-of-range populations under past and future climate change

  2013cited by this paper
• Biogeographic histories and genetic diversity of western North American tree species: implications for climate change

  2013cited by this paper
• Stronger spatial genetic structure in recolonized areas than in refugia in the European beech

  2013cited by this paper
• Early to Middle Pleistocene dynamics of plant and mammal communities in South West Europe

  2013cited by this paper
• Modeling plant species distributions under future climates: how fine scale do climate projections need to be?

  2013cited by this paper
• Post‐glacial dispersal, rather than in situ glacial survival, best explains the disjunct distribution of the Lusitanian plant species Daboecia cantabrica (Ericaceae)

  2013cited by this paper
• Tree Migration-Rates: Narrowing the Gap between Inferred Post-Glacial Rates and Projected Rates

  2013cited by this paper
• The climate velocity of the contiguous United States during the 20th century

  2013cited by this paper
• The Future of Species Under Climate Change: Resilience or Decline?

  2013cited by this paper
• Modeling the climatic drivers of spatial patterns in vegetation composition since the Last Glacial Maximum

  2013cited by this paper
• Space can substitute for time in predicting climate-change effects on biodiversity

  2013cited by this paper
• Adapted conservation measures are required to save the Iberian lynx in a changing climate

  2013cited by this paper
• Demographic history and the low genetic diversity in Dipteryx alata (Fabaceae) from Brazilian Neotropical savannas

  2013cited by this paper
• Climate Change and the Past, Present, and Future of Biotic Interactions

  2013cited by this paper
• The role of biotic interactions in shaping distributions and realised assemblages of species: implications for species distribution modelling

  2012cited by this paper
• Phylogeographic Ancestral Inference Using the Coalescent Model on Haplotype Trees

  2012cited by this paper
• Glacial Survival of Boreal Trees in Northern Scandinavia

  2012cited by this paper
• Paleoecoinformatics: applying geohistorical data to ecological questions.

  2012cited by this paper
• Using ecological niche modelling to evaluate niche stability in deep time

  2012cited by this paper
• Forecasting species ranges by statistical estimation of ecological niches and spatial population dynamics

  2012cited by this paper
• CONCERTED VERSUS INDEPENDENT EVOLUTION AND THE SEARCH FOR MULTIPLE REFUGIA: COMPARATIVE PHYLOGEOGRAPHY OF FOUR FOREST BEETLES

  2012cited by this paper
• Failure to migrate: lack of tree range expansion in response to climate change

  2012cited by this paper
• Comment on “Glacial Survival of Boreal Trees in Northern Scandinavia”

  2012cited by this paper
• Footprints in time: comparative quantitative trait loci mapping of the pitcher-plant mosquito, Wyeomyia smithii

  2012cited by this paper
• Impacts of changing climate and land use on vegetation dynamics in a Mediterranean ecosystem: insights from paleoecology and dynamic modeling

  2012cited by this paper
• Extinction debt of high-mountain plants under twenty-first-century climate change

  2012cited by this paper
• Strengths and Weaknesses

  2012cited by this paper
• Incorporating climate change into systematic conservation planning

  2012cited by this paper
• Predicting species responses to climate change: demography and climate microrefugia in California valley oak (Quercus lobata)

  2012cited by this paper
• Climate Change Refugia for Biodiversity in the Klamath-Siskiyou Ecoregion

  2012cited by this paper
• Refugia: identifying and understanding safe havens for biodiversity under climate change

  2012cited by this paper
• DNA from soil mirrors plant taxonomic and growth form diversity.

  2012cited by this paper
• Towards novel approaches to modelling biotic interactions in multispecies assemblages at large spatial extents

  2012cited by this paper
• Naturalists, Natural History, and the Nature of Biological Diversity

  2012cited by this paper
• Parameter and uncertainty estimation for process‐oriented population and distribution models: data, statistics and the niche

  2012cited by this paper
• Spatially explicit models of dynamic histories: examination of the genetic consequences of Pleistocene glaciation and recent climate change on the American Pika

  2012cited by this paper
• No‐analog climates and shifting realized niches during the late quaternary: implications for 21st‐century predictions by species distribution models

  2012cited by this paper
• Predicting present and future intra-specific genetic structure through niche hindcasting across 24 millennia.

  2012cited by this paper
• Evaluation of climate models using palaeoclimatic data

  2012cited by this paper
• Species distribution models to estimate the deforested area of Picea crassifolia in arid region recently protected: Qilian Mts. National Natural Reserve (China)

  2012cited by this paper
• Uses and misuses of bioclimatic envelope modeling.

  2012cited by this paper
• A novel approach to quantify and locate potential microrefugia using topoclimate, climate stability, and isolation from the matrix

  2012cited by this paper
• Thermal Regime of a Cold Air Trap in Central Pennsylvania, USA: the Trough Creek Ice Mine

  2012cited by this paper
• How to understand species’ niches and range dynamics: a demographic research agenda for biogeography

  2012cited by this paper
• Height-growth response to climatic changes differs among populations of Douglas-fir: a novel analysis of historic data.

  2012cited by this paper
• Palaeodistribution modelling and genetic evidence highlight differential post‐glacial range shifts of a rain forest conifer distributed across a latitudinal gradient

  2012cited by this paper
• Representation of flora and vegetation in Quaternary fossil assemblages: known and unknown knowns and unknowns

  2012cited by this paper
• A climatic basis for microrefugia: the influence of terrain on climate

  2011influential reference
• Multiple lines of evidence for demographic and range expansion of a temperate species (Hyla sarda) during the last glaciation

  2011cited by this paper
• Exploring pollen percentage threshold values as an indication for the regional presence of major European trees

  2011cited by this paper
• Species-specific responses of Late Quaternary megafauna to climate and humans

  2011cited by this paper
• Strengths and Weaknesses of Quantitative Climate Reconstructions Based on Late-Quaternary Biological Proxies

  2011cited by this paper
• Rethinking species' ability to cope with rapid climate change

  2011cited by this paper
• Improving assessment and modelling of climate change impacts on global terrestrial biodiversity.

  2011cited by this paper
• Applications of species distribution modeling to paleobiology

  2011cited by this paper
• Shifting zonal patterns of the southern boreal forest in eastern Canada associated with changing fire regime during the Holocene

  2011cited by this paper
• Targeted protection and restoration to conserve tropical biodiversity in a warming world

  2011cited by this paper
• Changes in Climatic Water Balance Drive Downhill Shifts in Plant Species’ Optimum Elevations

  2011cited by this paper
• Novel approach.

  2011influential reference
• Seeing the forest for the trees: statistical phylogeography in a changing world.

  2011cited by this paper
• On metapopulations and microrefugia: palaeoecological insights

  2011cited by this paper
• Reliability of macrofossils in woodrat (Neotoma) middens for detecting low-density tree populations

  2011cited by this paper
• Climate Sensitivity Estimated from Temperature Reconstructions of the Last Glacial Maximum

  2011cited by this paper
• Accounting for uncertainty when mapping species distributions: The need for maps of ignorance

  2011cited by this paper
• Conservation paleobiology: putting the dead to work.

  2011cited by this paper
• Reconciling phylogeography and ecological niche models for New Zealand beetles: Looking beyond glacial refugia.

  2011cited by this paper
• Pollen-based continental climate reconstructions at 6 and 21 ka: a global synthesis

  2011cited by this paper
• Holocene vegetation and climate histories in the eastern Tibetan Plateau: controls by insolation-driven temperature or monsoon-derived precipitation changes?

  2011cited by this paper
• Empirical downscaling of daily minimum air temperature at very fine resolutions in complex terrain

  2011cited by this paper
• Using species distribution models in paleobiogeography: A matter of data, predictors and concepts

  2011cited by this paper
• Beyond Predictions: Biodiversity Conservation in a Changing Climate

  2011cited by this paper
• Climate Relicts: Past, Present, Future

  2011cited by this paper
• Forecasting the future of biodiversity: a test of single- and multi-species models for ants in North America

  2011cited by this paper
• Genome-wide genetic marker discovery and genotyping using next-generation sequencing

  2011cited by this paper
• The Influence of Late Quaternary Climate-Change Velocity on Species Endemism

  2011cited by this paper
• Integrating statistical genetic and geospatial methods brings new power to phylogeography.

  2011cited by this paper
• Fine‐resolution (25 m) topoclimatic grids of near‐surface (5 cm) extreme temperatures and humidities across various habitats in a large (200 × 300 km) and diverse region

  2011cited by this paper
• Modeling topographic influences on fuel moisture and fire danger in complex terrain to improve wildland fire management decision support

  2011cited by this paper
• Biotic attrition from tropical forests correcting for truncated temperature niches

  2010cited by this paper
• Climatic water deficit, tree species ranges, and climate change in Yosemite National Park

  2010cited by this paper

• Conservation planning for riverine biodiversity under changing climate: use of models

  2026cites this paper
• Millennial-scale climatic and cultural impacts on vegetation and fire at the southern edge of the Rocky Mountains, USA

  2026cites this paper
• Bioclimatic drivers and niche Thresholds: Decoupling the habitat suitability dynamics of Phoebe zhennan

  2026cites this paper
• Spatiotemporal Diversification of Forest Understorey Species Reveals the Existence of Multiple Pleistocene Forest Refugia in Central Europe

  2025cites this paper
• A Historical Misstep: Niche Shift to Specialisation Is Pushing Insular Ginger Towards an Evolutionary Dead End

  2025cites this paper
• Chasing the Niche: Escaping Climate Change Threats in Place, Time, and Space

  2025cites this paper
• Identifying climate‐change refugia for species management and conservation in the Pacific Northwest

  2025cites this paper
• Topography, climate, land cover, and biodiversity: Explaining endemic richness and management implications on a Mediterranean island

  2025cites this paper
• Climate change and conservation strategies for the Anhui musk deer: habitat suitability and climate refuges in the Dabie Mountains

  2025cites this paper
• Genetic diversity and phylogeography of the circumboreal peatland violets (Viola epipsila‐V. palustris complex, Violaceae) as inferred from non‐coding nuclear and chloroplast DNA regions

  2025cites this paper
• Intraspecific genetic diversity matters: Genetic lineages of Solanum elaeagnifolium show contrasting responses to climate change across time

  2025cites this paper
• Relationship between the location of Pleistocene refugia and geographic and environmental centrality in a plant-pollinator mutualism from Patagonia.

  2025cites this paper
• What environmental features give rise to thermal refuges? A systematic review

  2025cites this paper
• Paleobiogeographic insights gained from ecological niche models: progress and continued challenges

  2025cites this paper
• Global variability in LGM cooling amongst paleoclimate datasets affects biome reconstructions in mountains

  2025cites this paper
• Global Climate Convergence from 1980 to 2022 Led to Significant Increase in Vegetation Productivity

  2025cites this paper
• Landscape reconstructions for Europe during the late Last Glacial (60–20 ka BP): a pollen-based REVEALS approach

  2025cites this paper
• A fossil-informed pattern of body size increase and local extinction in Basiceros dirt ants (Hymenoptera: Formicidae).

  2025cites this paper
• Contrasting genetic diversity and ecological niche modelling of the montane grass mouse Akodon montensis in the south of the Atlantic Forest

  2025cites this paper
• ‘Chimes of resilience’: what makes forest trees genetically resilient?

  2025cites this paper
• MaxEnt Modeling and Effects of Climate Change on Shifts in Habitat Suitability for Sorbus alnifolia in China

  2025cites this paper
• Towards a comprehensive view on evolutionary refugia in West African rainforests

  2025cites this paper
• Whole genome data demonstrate that episodic population expansion and secondary contact shaped population genetic structure in the North American water vole (Microtus richardsoni)

  2025cites this paper
• Genetic structure and conservation implications of Lancea tibetica (Mazaceae), a traditional Tibetan medicinal plant endemic to the Qinghai- Tibet Plateau

  2025cites this paper
• Topography, climate, land cover, and biodiversity: Explaining endemic richness on a Mediterranean island with machine learning

  2025cites this paper
• Climate change predicts Quaternary extinctions and extant genetic diversity in a threatened Australian lizard.

  2025cites this paper
• Refugial isolation and ecological niche differentiation promote genetic divergence of Oresitrophe and Mukdenia in Northeast Asia.

  2025cites this paper
• Phylogeography and Population Demography of Parrotia subaequalis, a Hamamelidaceous Tertiary Relict ‘Living Fossil’ Tree Endemic to East Asia Refugia: Implications from Molecular Data and Ecological Niche Modeling

  2025cites this paper
• Pleistocene Climate Changes and Lineage Diversification of Sphenarium Grasshoppers (Orthoptera: Pyrgomorphidae)

  2025cites this paper
• How prevalent were nunataks as glacial refugia in the Alps? Insights from range hindcasting of the nival flora

  2025cites this paper
• Phylogeography of Scarturus williamsi and Climate Change Impacts: Genetic Diversity and Projected Habitat Loss in Anatolia

  2025cites this paper
• Biogeography of Therorhodion in Northeast Asia and Western North America Emphasising Their Past and Future Expansion

  2025cites this paper
• Environmental fluctuations trigger faster evolution and turnover

  2025cites this paper
• Climate-driven niche dynamics of endangered Castanopsis argentea and C. tungurrut in Indonesia

  2025cites this paper
• Heterogeneous evolutionary history defines the rear edge of the North American herb Campanula americana

  2025cites this paper
• Going back for the future: Incorporating Pleistocene fossil records of saiga antelope into habitat suitability models

  2024cites this paper
• The role of dispersal limitation in the forest biome shifts of Europe in the last 18,000 years

  2024cites this paper
• Protecting breeding sites: a critical goal for the conservation of the golden eagle in Mexico under global change scenarios

  2024cites this paper
• Ensemble species distribution modeling and multilocus phylogeography provide insight into the spatial genetic patterns and distribution dynamics of a keystone forest species, Quercus glauca

  2024cites this paper
• Restoring spatiotemporal variability to enhance the capacity for dispersal-limited species to track climate change.

  2024cites this paper
• Across two phylogeographic breaks: Quaternary evolutionary history of a mountain aspen (Populus rotundifolia) in the Hengduan Mountains

  2024cites this paper
• The uneven distribution of refugial endemics across the European Alps suggests a threefold role of climate in speciation of refugial populations

  2024cites this paper
• Identification of fossil juniper seeds from Rancho La Brea (California, USA): drought and extirpation in the Late Pleistocene

  2024cites this paper
• Climate-driven distribution shifts of Iranian amphibians and identification of refugia and hotspots for effective conservation

  2024cites this paper
• Deep plastid phylogeographic divergence of beaked hickory (Carya sinensis) calls for transboundary conservation in a biodiversity hotspot

  2024cites this paper
• Mapping endemic freshwater fish richness to identify high‐priority areas for conservation: An ecoregion approach

  2024cites this paper
• Advancing terrestrial ecology by improving cross-temporal research and collaboration

  2024cites this paper
• Alpine travellers in the Carpathians: The story of two rock‐dwelling snails told by genes and fossils

  2024cites this paper
• Decametric-scale buffering of climate extremes in forest understory within a riparian microrefugia: the key role of microtopography

  2024cites this paper
• Evaluating the impact of historical climate and early human groups in the Araucaria Forest of eastern South America

  2024cites this paper
• Genetically- and environmentally-dependent processes drive interspecific and intraspecific divergence in the Chinese relict endemic genus Dipteronia

  2024cites this paper
• Employing scientific evidence through synthetic indices to support management and conservation policies for an endangered tree of the Gran Chaco

  2024cites this paper
• Increased habitat availability as revealed by LiDAR contributes to the tropicalization of a subtropical butterfly community

  2024cites this paper
• Population Genomics Reveals Demographic History and Climate Adaptation in Japanese Arabidopsis halleri

  2024cites this paper
• Late Pleistocene glacial expansion of a low-latitude species Magnolia insignis: Megafossil evidence and species distribution modeling

  2024cites this paper
• Medicinal plants meet modern biodiversity science.

  2024cites this paper
• Hydrothermal and eco-environmental evolution on the southeastern Chinese Loess Plateau since the last deglaciation: evidence from terrestrial mollusk records

  2024cites this paper
• Genetic structure of ten Artemia populations from China: cumulative effects of ancient geological events, climatic changes, and human activities

  2024cites this paper
• Environmental suitability throughout the late quaternary explains population genetic diversity.

  2024cites this paper
• Consequence of habitat specificity: a rising risk of habitat loss for endemic and sub-endemic woody species under climate change in the Hyrcanian ecoregion

  2024influential citation
• Identifying climate change refugia for South American biodiversity

  2023cites this paper
• Big data help to define climate change challenges for the typical Mediterranean species Cistus ladanifer L.

  2023cites this paper
• Virtual excavation and analysis of the early Neanderthal cranium from Altamura (Italy)

  2023cites this paper
• A range‐wide postglacial history of Swiss stone pine based on molecular markers and palaeoecological evidence

  2023influential citation
• Phylogeography and introgression between Pinus kesiya and Pinus yunnanensis in Southeast Asia

  2023cites this paper
• Projected Effects of Climate Change on Species Range of Pantala flavescens, a Wandering Glider Dragonfly

  2023cites this paper
• Evolutionary history of Castanea sativa in the Caucasus driven by Middle and Late Pleistocene paleoenvironmental changes

  2023cites this paper
• Geographic distribution pattern and ecological niche differentiation of endangered Opisthopappus in Taihang Mountains

  2023cites this paper
• Late Quaternary history of Siberian stone pine as revealed by genetic and paleoecological data

  2023cites this paper
• Phylogeography within the Peromyscus maniculatus species group: Understanding past distribution of genetic diversity and areas of refugia in western North America.

  2023cites this paper
• Integrating Different Data Sources Using a Bayesian Hierarchical Model to Unveil Glacial Refugia

  2023influential citation
• Lire le passé forestier dans un bourbier : histoire écologique et dynamique contemporaine d’une population marginale nordique d’érable rouge (Acer rubrum)

  2023cites this paper
• CLIMATE REFUGIA FOR NEOTROPICAL SNAKES: IMPLICATIONS OF MICROHABITAT USE AND DIET SPECIALIZATION

  2023cites this paper
• Elevational Goldilocks zone underlies the exceptional diversity of a large lizard radiation (Liolaemus; Liolaemidae).

  2023cites this paper
• Altitudinal shifting of major forest tree species in Italian mountains under climate change

  2023cites this paper
• Another essential dimension of priorities: spatial heterogeneity and temporal stability of climate refugia

  2023cites this paper
• Topographic depressions can provide climate and resource microrefugia for biodiversity

  2023cites this paper
• Molecular phylogeography and historical demography of a widespread herbaceous species from eastern North America, Podophyllum peltatum.

  2023cites this paper
• Phylogeographic and Paleoclimatic Modelling Tools Improve Our Understanding of the Biogeographic History of Hierophis viridiflavus (Colubridae)

  2023cites this paper
• Local adaptation and demographic history of vulnerable conifer Cephalotaxus oliveri in southern China

  2023cites this paper
• Mountains as refugia in the Dry Chaco: phylogeography and species distribution modelling of the southernmost chilli pepper, Capsicum chacoense Hunz. (Solanaceae)

  2023cites this paper
• Current distribution of two species of Chinese macaques (Macaca arctoides and Macaca thibetana) and the possible influence of climate change on future distribution

  2023cites this paper
• Evolutionary Processes Shaping Postglacial Gene Pools of High-Altitude Forests: Evidence from the Endemic Eucalypts of Tasmania

  2023cites this paper
• Mitochondrial phylogeography and molecular evolution of the rhodopsin visual pigment in troglobitic populations of Astyanax mexicanus (De Filippi, 1853)

  2023cites this paper
• Historical, temporal and geographic dynamism of the interaction between Agave and Leptonycteris nectar-feeding bats.

  2023cites this paper
• Revealing the long-term trend of the global-scale Ginkgo biloba distribution and the impact of future climate change based on the ensemble modeling

  2023cites this paper
• Lakes cannot burn and buried charcoals cannot fly: Reconciling lake- versus soil-based reconstructions of past forest dynamics

  2023cites this paper
• The LGM refugia of deciduous oak and distribution development since the LGM in China

  2022cites this paper
• 中国落叶栎类末次冰盛期避难所及冰后期分布变化

  2022cites this paper
• Inferring past refugia and range dynamics through the integration of fossil, niche modelling and genomic data

  2022cites this paper
• Diploid chromosome-level reference genome and population genomic analyses provide insights into Gypenoside biosynthesis and demographic evolution of Gynostemma pentaphyllum (Cucurbitaceae)

  2022cites this paper
• Using gridCoal to assess whether standard population genetic theory holds in the presence of spatio‐temporal heterogeneity in population size

  2022cites this paper
• Restoring local climate refugia to enhance the capacity for dispersal-limited species to track climate change

  2022cites this paper
• Modeling and Prediction of the Species’ Range of Neurobasis chinensis (Linnaeus, 1758) under Climate Change

  2022influential citation
• Birds adapted to cold conditions show greater changes in range size related to past climatic oscillations than temperate birds

  2022cites this paper
• Reptile richness and genetic divergence patterns were shaped by current and past climate in and around the Irano‐Anatolian global biodiversity hotspot: Implications for conservation

  2022cites this paper
• Human‐mediated eco‐evolutionary processes of the herbivorous insect Hyalopterus arundiniformis during the Holocene

  2022cites this paper
• Trends in weather conditions favor generalist over specialist species in rear‐edge alpine bird communities

  2022cites this paper
• Potential late glacial maximum refugial areas of Alaska-Yukon postglacial migrant plants

  2022influential citation
• Aridification‐driven evolution of a migratory fish revealed by niche modelling and coalescence simulations

  2022cites this paper