North American megadroughts in the Common Era: reconstructions and simulations

No abstract is available for this paper.

• Publication year

  2016

• Venue

  Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change

• Publication date

  2016-03-29

• Fields of study

  Geology, Geography, Environmental Science, History

• Identifiers
  DOI 10.1002/wcc.394
• External record

  Open on Semantic Scholar

• Source metadata

  Semantic Scholar

• No claims are published for this paper.

• No concepts are published for this paper.

• Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections

  2016cited by this paper
• The role of ENSO and PDO in variability of winter precipitation over North America from twenty first century CMIP5 projections

  2016cited by this paper
• Response of closed basin lakes to interannual climate variability

  2016cited by this paper
• Rainfall variability and predictability issues for North America

  2016cited by this paper
• University of Nebraska-Lincoln DigitalCommons @ University of Nebraska-Lincoln Papers in Natural Resources Natural Resources , School of 2014 Land cover changes and their biogeophysical effects on climate

  2016cited by this paper
• Winter‐to‐summer precipitation phasing in southwestern North America: A multicentury perspective from paleoclimatic model‐data comparisons

  2015cited by this paper
• Medieval warming initiated exceptionally large wildfire outbreaks in the Rocky Mountains

  2015cited by this paper
• Cahokia’s emergence and decline coincided with shifts of flood frequency on the Mississippi River

  2015cited by this paper
• Stochastically Generated North American Megadroughts

  2015influential reference
• On the assessment of aridity with changes in atmospheric CO2

  2015cited by this paper
• Water-use efficiency and transpiration across European forests during the Anthropocene

  2015cited by this paper
• Uncertainty in the response of transpiration to CO2 and implications for climate change

  2015cited by this paper
• Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change

  2015cited by this paper
• A Link between the Hiatus in Global Warming and North American Drought

  2015influential reference
• Bridging Past and Future Climate across Paleoclimatic Reconstructions, Observations, and Models: A Hydroclimate Case Study*

  2015cited by this paper
• Unprecedented 21st century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains

  2015influential reference
• North American Pancontinental Droughts in Model Simulations of the Last Millennium

  2015cited by this paper
• Tropical Pacific and Northern Hemisphere influences on the coherence of Pacific Decadal Oscillation reconstructions

  2015cited by this paper
• Fragility of reconstructed temperature patterns over the Common Era: Implications for model evaluation

  2015cited by this paper
• Decadal predictability of soil water, vegetation, and wildfire frequency over North America

  2015cited by this paper
• A multi-model and multi-index evaluation of drought characteristics in the 21st century

  2015cited by this paper
• Commonly Used Drought Indices as Indicators of Soil Moisture in China

  2015cited by this paper
• Causes of the 2011–14 California Drought

  2015cited by this paper
• Contribution of anthropogenic warming to California drought during 2012–2014

  2015cited by this paper
• Vegetation response to southern California drought during the Medieval Climate Anomaly and early Little Ice Age (AD 800–1600)

  2015cited by this paper
• Soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012

  2015cited by this paper
• Pervasive drought legacies in forest ecosystems and their implications for carbon cycle models

  2015cited by this paper
• Anthropogenic warming has increased drought risk in California

  2015cited by this paper
• Are Simulated Megadroughts in the North American Southwest Forced

  2015influential reference
• Assessing the Risk of Persistent Drought Using Climate Model Simulations and Paleoclimate Data

  2014influential reference
• Dynamical and Thermodynamical Causes of Large-Scale Changes in the Hydrological Cycle over North America in Response to Global Warming *

  2014cited by this paper
• Large wildfire trends in the western United States, 1984–2011

  2014cited by this paper
• Terrestrial and Inland Water Systems

  2014cited by this paper
• Global warming and 21st century drying

  2014influential reference
• A Mechanism for Land–Atmosphere Feedback Involving Planetary Wave Structures

  2014cited by this paper
• Imprint of the Atlantic multi-decadal oscillation and Pacific decadal oscillation on southwestern US climate: past, present, and future

  2014cited by this paper
• Scaling Potential Evapotranspiration with Greenhouse Warming

  2014cited by this paper
• Emergent constraints on climate‐carbon cycle feedbacks in the CMIP5 Earth system models

  2014cited by this paper
• On the Role of SST Forcing in the 2011 and 2012 Extreme U.S. Heat and Drought: A Study in Contrasts

  2014cited by this paper
• Pan-Continental Droughts in North America over the Last Millennium

  2014cited by this paper
• Pacific interdecadal variability driven by tropical–extratropical interactions

  2014cited by this paper
• Causes and Predictability of the 2012 Great Plains Drought

  2014cited by this paper
• The worst North American drought year of the last millennium: 1934

  2014cited by this paper
• How unusual is the 2012–2014 California drought?

  2014cited by this paper
• The Continuum of Hydroclimate Variability in Western North America during the Last Millennium

  2013cited by this paper
• Combined effects of warming and elevated CO2 on the impact of drought in grassland species

  2013cited by this paper
• Impact of land surface conditions on 2004 North American monsoon in GCM experiments

  2013cited by this paper
• Hydrological consequences of declining land use and elevated CO2 in alpine grassland

  2013cited by this paper
• Anatomy of an Extreme Event

  2013cited by this paper
• Projections of Declining Surface-Water Availability for the Southwestern United States

  2013cited by this paper
• Temperature as a potent driver of regional forest drought stress and tree mortality

  2013influential reference
• Last Millennium Climate and Its Variability in CCSM4

  2013influential reference
• Evaluation of Land Surface Models in Reproducing Satellite Derived Leaf Area Index over the High-Latitude Northern Hemisphere. Part II: Earth System Models

  2013cited by this paper
• North American monsoon precipitation reconstructed from tree‐ring latewood

  2013cited by this paper
• Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling

  2013cited by this paper
• Consistency of the multi-model CMIP5/PMIP3-past1000 ensemble

  2013influential reference
• Terrestrial water fluxes dominated by transpiration

  2013cited by this paper
• Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections

  2013cited by this paper
• Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models

  2013cited by this paper
• Hydrological droughts in the 21st century, hotspots and uncertainties from a global multimodel ensemble experiment

  2013cited by this paper
• Megadroughts in southwestern North America in ECHO-G millennial simulations and their comparison to proxy drought reconstructions

  2013cited by this paper
• Impact of CO2 fertilization on maximum foliage cover across the globe's warm, arid environments

  2013cited by this paper
• Stationarity of the tropical pacific teleconnection to North America in CMIP5/PMIP3 model simulations

  2013cited by this paper
• Forest water use and water use efficiency at elevated CO2: a model‐data intercomparison at two contrasting temperate forest FACE sites

  2013cited by this paper
• Holocene variability in hydrology, vegetation, fire, and eolian activity in the Nebraska Sand Hills, USA

  2013cited by this paper
• Future carbon dioxide concentration decreases canopy evapotranspiration and soil water depletion by field‐grown maize

  2013cited by this paper
• Long-term perspective on wildfires in the western USA

  2012cited by this paper
• Simulated impact of vegetation on climate across the North American monsoon region in CCSM3.5

  2012cited by this paper
• Climate change impact on available water resources obtained using multiple global climate and hydrology models

  2012cited by this paper
• The amplitude of decadal to multidecadal variability in precipitation simulated by state‐of‐the‐art climate models

  2012influential reference
• Sensitivity and response of Bhutanese glaciers to atmospheric warming

  2012cited by this paper
• Banded vegetation‐dune development during the Medieval Warm Period and 20th century, Chihuahuan Desert, New Mexico, USA

  2012cited by this paper
• Intensification of North American Megadroughts through Surface and Dust Aerosol Forcing

  2012influential reference
• The role of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on medieval drought in North America: Synthesizing results from proxy data and climate models

  2012cited by this paper
• Reduction in carbon uptake during turn of the century drought in western North America

  2012influential reference
• An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design

  2012cited by this paper
• Robust future precipitation declines in CMIP5 largely reflect the poleward expansion of model subtropical dry zones

  2012cited by this paper
• 1,500 year quantitative reconstruction of winter precipitation in the Pacific Northwest

  2012cited by this paper
• Key role of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation in 20th century drought and wet periods over the Great Plains

  2011cited by this paper
• Drought variability in the Pacific Northwest from a 6,000-yr lake sediment record

  2011cited by this paper
• Global characteristics of pluvial and dry multi‐year episodes, with emphasis on megadroughts

  2011cited by this paper
• A Tree-Ring Reconstruction of the Salinity Gradient in the Northern Estuary of San Francisco Bay

  2011cited by this paper
• Support for global climate reorganization during the “Medieval Climate Anomaly”

  2011cited by this paper
• Sensitivity of the North American monsoon to antecedent Rocky Mountain snowpack

  2011cited by this paper
• North American Tree Rings, Climatic Extremes, and Social Disasters

  2011cited by this paper
• Major Mesoamerican droughts of the past millennium

  2011cited by this paper
• Second century megadrought in the Rio Grande headwaters, Colorado: How unusual was medieval drought?

  2011cited by this paper
• Greenhouse warming and the 21st century hydroclimate of southwestern North America

  2010cited by this paper
• Forced and unforced variability of twentieth century North American droughts and pluvials

  2010cited by this paper
• Megadroughts in North America: placing IPCC projections of hydroclimatic change in a long‐term palaeoclimate context

  2010influential reference
• Regional Precipitation Trends: Distinguishing Natural Variability from Anthropogenic Forcing

  2010cited by this paper
• Megadroughts and late Holocene dune activation at the eastern margin of the Great Plains, north-central Kansas, USA

  2010cited by this paper
• Investigating soil moisture-climate interactions in a changing climate: A review

  2010cited by this paper
• A 1,200-year perspective of 21st century drought in southwestern North America

  2010cited by this paper
• Mechanisms of Tropical Atlantic SST Influence on North American Precipitation Variability

  2010influential reference
• The Meteorological Significance of False Rings in Eastern Redcedar (Juniperus virginiana L.) from the Southern Great Plains, U.S.A

  2010cited by this paper
• Climate Change and Water in Southwestern North America Special Feature: Future dryness in the southwest US and the hydrology of the early 21st century drought

  2010cited by this paper
• Importance of carbon dioxide physiological forcing to future climate change

  2010cited by this paper
• Distinct causes for two principal U.S. droughts of the 20th century

  2009cited by this paper
• Effects of initial soil moisture on rainfall generation and subsequent hydrologic response during the North American monsoon.

  2009cited by this paper

• Sensibilidad climática y resiliencia de Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.) Franco ante eventos de sequía

  2026cites this paper
• Drought response and anthropogenic impacts as recorded in a high desert terminal lake, northern Great Basin USA, during the last millennium

  2026cites this paper
• Joint probabilistic estimates of temperature and precipitation from tree ring-based reconstructions of the last millennium

  2026cites this paper
• Testing Machine Learning and Traditional Models for Tree-Ring-Based scPDSI Streamflow Reconstruction: A 1500-Year Record of the French Broad River, Tennessee, USA

  2025cites this paper
• Dust-producing weather patterns of the North American Great Plains

  2025cites this paper
• Drought: A critical review of different perspectives under changing climate.

  2025cites this paper
• Multi‐Millennial Context for Post‐Colonial Hydroecological Change in Great Salt Lake

  2025cites this paper
• Coeval Holocene Stalagmites Record Multi‐Centennial Climate Variability and Drought in the Northern Rocky Mountains, USA

  2025cites this paper
• Cognizable rare historical droughts: Knowledge framework and future insights

  2025cites this paper
• Chlorins and sea surface temperature in the transitional zone of the northeastern Pacific Ocean during the last 1350 years

  2025cites this paper
• Dendrochronological research in Mexico: A bibliometric analysis

  2025influential citation
• Life Histories and Conservation Matters of Stiriini (Noctuidae: Stiriinae) from the American Southwest

  2025cites this paper
• Bridging Information From Paleo‐Hydrological and Climate Model Ensembles to Assess Long Term Hydrological Drought Hazard

  2025cites this paper
• The first global multi-timescale daily SPEI dataset from 1982 to 2021

  2024cites this paper
• A multi-centennial drought reconstruction from tree-rings reveals a growing threat to Christmas Island’s water resources

  2024cites this paper
• Which droughts are becoming more frequent? A copula entropy analysis on the return period of droughts in Europe

  2024cites this paper
• Dominant atmospheric circulation patterns associated with the rapid intensification of summer flash droughts in Eastern China.

  2024cites this paper
• Assessing decadal- to centennial-scale nonstationary variability in meteorological drought trends

  2024cites this paper
• Holocene evolution of parabolic dunes, White River Badlands, South Dakota, USA, revealed by high-resolution mapping

  2023cites this paper
• Understanding the Contributions of Paleo‐Informed Natural Variability and Climate Changes to Hydroclimate Extremes in the San Joaquin Valley of California

  2023cites this paper
• Future risk of decadal megadrought events over eastern China based on IPO-constrained precipitation

  2023cites this paper
• ScholarWorks ScholarWorks

  2023cites this paper
• Flash Drought and Its Characteristics in Northeastern South America during 2004–2022 Using Satellite-Based Products

  2023cites this paper
• Mortality thresholds of juvenile trees to drought and heatwaves: implications for forest regeneration across a landscape gradient

  2023cites this paper
• Droughts and Deficits The Global Impact of Droughts on Economic Growth

  2023cites this paper
• Historical rainfall data in northern Italy predict larger meteorological drought hazard than climate projections

  2023cites this paper
• Parabolic dune distribution, morphology and activity during the last 20 000 years: A global overview

  2023cites this paper
• Can we reliably detect adaptive responses of hunter-gatherers to past climate change? Examining the impact of Mid-Holocene drought on Archaic settlement in the Basin-Plateau Region of North America

  2023cites this paper
• Future exposure of forest ecosystems to multi‐year drought in the United States

  2023cites this paper
• Late Quaternary fluvial and aeolian depositional environments for the western Red River, Southern Great Plains, USA

  2023cites this paper
• Association and driving factors of meteorological drought and agricultural drought in Ningxia, Northwest China

  2023cites this paper
• A global transition to flash droughts under climate change

  2023cites this paper
• Agricultural Intensification, Regional Differentiation, and Incipient Village Formation: Early Formative Period Patterning in the San Carlos Safford Area, Southeastern Arizona

  2023cites this paper
• Temporal and geographic extent of the late Holocene dry period in the central Great Basin, USA

  2023cites this paper
• A multi-proxy lake-sediment record of middle through late Holocene hydroclimate change in southern British Columbia, Canada

  2022cites this paper
• An ancient Thick-billed Parrot (Rhynchopsitta pachyrhyncha) from southeastern New Mexico with a review of archaeological occurrences in the American Southwest

  2022cites this paper
• Megadroughts in the Common Era and the Anthropocene

  2022cites this paper
• Southwestern United States drought of the 21st century presages drier conditions into the future

  2022cites this paper
• Climate and the Radial Growth of Conifers in Borderland Natural Areas of Texas and Northern Mexico

  2022cites this paper
• A synoptic bridge linking sea salt aerosol concentrations in East Antarctic snowfall to Australian rainfall

  2022cites this paper
• Droughts and Mega-Droughts

  2022influential citation
• Climatic backdrop for Pueblo cultural development in the southwestern United States

  2022cites this paper
• Impacts of Climate Change on Global Meteorological Multi-Year Droughts Using the Last Millennium Simulation as a Baseline

  2022cites this paper
• Dendroclimatology in Latin America: A Review of the State of the Art

  2022cites this paper
• Exceptional heat and atmospheric dryness amplified losses of primary production during the 2020 U.S. Southwest hot drought

  2022cites this paper
• Quantitatively defining megadrought based on drought events in central Chile

  2022cites this paper
• Megadrought: A Series of Unfortunate La Niña Events?

  2022cites this paper
• Rapid intensification of the emerging southwestern North American megadrought in 2020–2021

  2022cites this paper
• A multi-stakeholder participatory methodology to facilitate socio-ecological climate change vulnerability–adaptation–resilience strategies: application of the Q Method

  2022cites this paper
• ENSO-driven coupled megadroughts in North and South America over the last millennium

  2021cites this paper
• Potential causes of megadroughts in North China in the preindustrial period from the teleconnection perspective

  2021cites this paper
• Intrinsic Century‐Scale Variability in Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures and Their Influence on Western US Hydroclimate

  2021cites this paper
• Placing the east-west North American aridity gradient in a multi-century context

  2021cites this paper
• The Yellow River Basin

  2021cites this paper
• Uncertainties, Limits, and Benefits of Climate Change Mitigation for Soil Moisture Drought in Southwestern North America

  2021cites this paper
• The Colorado River Basin

  2021cites this paper
• A 900-year record of effective moisture in the Laurentian Great Lakes region

  2021cites this paper
• Continental interior parabolic dunes as a potential proxy for past climates

  2021cites this paper
• The Rio Grande / Río Bravo Basin

  2021cites this paper
• Global Climate Change and the Rivers

  2021cites this paper
• River Basin Management and Irrigation

  2021cites this paper
• The São Francisco River Basin

  2021cites this paper
• The Limarí River Basin

  2021cites this paper
• Introduction

  2021cites this paper
• The Jucar River Basin

  2021cites this paper
• Better Basin Management with Stakeholder Participation

  2021cites this paper
• “Intelligent” Water Transfers

  2021cites this paper
• Sustainability of Engineered Rivers In Arid Lands

  2021cites this paper
• Reservoirs

  2021cites this paper
• A dataset of tree-ring-based regional precipitation reconstruction in the United States during the last millennium

  2021cites this paper
• Declining Environmental Flows

  2021cites this paper
• The Nile River Basin

  2021cites this paper
• Depletion of Groundwater

  2021cites this paper
• Endangered Food Security

  2021cites this paper
• Conclusion

  2021cites this paper
• The West Pacific Gradient tracks ENSO and zonal Pacific sea surface temperature gradient during the last Millennium

  2021cites this paper
• A typology of drought decision making: Synthesizing across cases to understand drought preparedness and response actions

  2021cites this paper
• A pseudoproxy assessment of why climate field reconstruction methods perform the way they do in time and space

  2021cites this paper
• Hydroclimatic and cultural instability in northeastern North America during the last millennium

  2021influential citation
• Spatial variation of hydroclimate in north-eastern North America during the last millennium

  2021cites this paper
• Will land use land cover change drive atmospheric conditions to become more conducive to wildfires in the United States?

  2021cites this paper
• The Murray–Darling River Basin

  2021cites this paper
• Dendroclimatology in Latin America, State of the Art and Contributions for Understanding Climate Variation

  2020cites this paper
• Multivariate Climate Field Reconstructions Using Tree Rings for the Northeastern United States

  2020cites this paper
• Assessment of PMIP3 model simulations of megadroughts over the eastern China during the last millennium

  2020influential citation
• On the essentials of drought in a changing climate

  2020cites this paper
• Large contribution from anthropogenic warming to an emerging North American megadrought

  2020cites this paper
• Anthropogenic megadrought

  2020cites this paper
• Using Blue Intensity from drought-sensitive Pinus sylvestris in Fennoscandia to improve reconstruction of past hydroclimate variability

  2020cites this paper
• Inland Dunes of North America

  2020cites this paper
• Palaeoclimate perspectives on the Indian Ocean Dipole

  2020cites this paper
• The Central and Southern Great Plains

  2020cites this paper
• Atmospheric dynamics drive most interannual U.S. droughts over the last millennium

  2020cites this paper
• How Do Volcanic Eruptions Influence Decadal Megadroughts over Eastern China?

  2020cites this paper
• A century of observations reveals increasing likelihood of continental-scale compound dry-hot extremes

  2020cites this paper
• Resource risk and stability in the zooarchaeological record: the case of Pueblo fishing in the Middle Rio Grande, New Mexico

  2020cites this paper
• Unfamiliar Territory: Emerging Themes for Ecological Drought Research and Management

  2020cites this paper
• Late-Holocene hydroclimate inferences for the northern Great Basin from Little Lake, Elko County, Nevada, USA

  2020cites this paper
• Dynamics of the Mediterranean droughts from 850 to 2099 CE in the Community Earth System Model

  2020cites this paper
• Paleoclimate Constraints on the Spatiotemporal Character of Past and Future Droughts

  2020cites this paper