Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit

No abstract is available for this paper.

• Publication year

  2002

• Venue

  Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology)

• Publication date

  2002-10-01

• Fields of study

  Mathematics, Computer Science

• Identifiers
  DOI 10.1111/1467-9868.00353
• External record

  Open on Semantic Scholar

• Source metadata

  Semantic Scholar

• No claims are published for this paper.

• No concepts are published for this paper.

• Mixture models, latent variables and partitioned importance sampling

  2004cited by this paper
• Model selection and multimodel inference : a practical information-theoretic approach

  2003cited by this paper
• Inequalities between expected marginal log‐likelihoods, with implications for likelihood‐based model complexity and comparison measures

  2003cited by this paper
• Choosing a Model Selection Strategy

  2003cited by this paper
• Discussion to "Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit" by Spiegelhalter, D.J., Best, N.G., Carlin, B.P., and van der Linde, A.

  2002cited by this paper
• Forward search added-variable t-tests and the effect of masked outliers on model selection

  2002cited by this paper
• Perfect Sampling for Point Process Cluster Modelling

  2002cited by this paper
• Bayesian Model Assessment and Comparison Using Cross-Validation Predictive Densities

  2002cited by this paper
• Generalized Linear Models

  2002influential reference
• Intrinsic Estimation

  2002cited by this paper
• Stochastic Optimization: a Review

  2002cited by this paper
• Hidden Markov Models and Disease Mapping

  2002cited by this paper
• Cluster Modelling for Disease Rate Mapping

  2002cited by this paper
• Counting degrees of freedom in hierarchical and other richly-parameterised models

  2001influential reference
• Model Selection and Inference: A Practical Information-Theoretic Approach

  2001cited by this paper
• Bayesian varying-coefficient models using adaptive regression splines

  2001cited by this paper
• Bayesian analyses of longitudinal binary data using Markov regression models of unknown order

  2001cited by this paper
• Modelling and analysing correlated non-normal data

  2001cited by this paper
• Hierarchical generalised linear models: A synthesis of generalised linear models, random-effect models and structured dispersions

  2001influential reference
• Bayesian measures of model omplexity and t

  2001cited by this paper
• Shrinkage Estimators for Covariance Matrices

  2001cited by this paper
• On the Bayesian analysis of population size

  2001cited by this paper
• Probabilistic Networks and Expert Systems

  2001cited by this paper
• Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods for Computing Bayes Factors

  2001cited by this paper
• Nested Hypothesis Testing: The Bayesian Reference Criterion

  2001cited by this paper
• Bayesian model assessment and selection using expected utilities

  2001influential reference
• Comparing hierarchical models for spatio-temporally misaligned data using the deviance information criterion.

  2000cited by this paper
• A Case Study of Stochastic Optimization in Health Policy: Problem Formulation and Preliminary Results

  2000cited by this paper
• Reference Bayesian Methods for Generalized Linear Mixed Models

  2000influential reference
• Bayesian Information Criterion for Censored Survival Models

  2000cited by this paper
• Cluster modelling of disease incidence via RJMCMC methods: a comparative evaluation. Reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo.

  2000cited by this paper
• Reference priors for shrinkage and smoothing parameters

  2000cited by this paper
• MCMC Methods for Computing Bayes Factors: A Comparative Review

  2000cited by this paper
• Conditional categorical response models with application to treatment of acute myocardial infarction

  2000cited by this paper
• Model Selection and Inference

  2000influential reference
• Proportional hazards models: a latent competing risk approach

  2000cited by this paper
• Robust Diagnostic Regression Analysis

  2000influential reference
• Model selection and inference : a practical information-theoretic approach

  2000influential reference
• Computational and Inferential Difficulties with Mixture Posterior Distributions

  2000cited by this paper
• On efficient probability forecasting systems

  1999cited by this paper
• A Robust Bayesian Look at the Theory of Precise Measurement

  1999cited by this paper
• The Bayesian analysis of a pivotal pharmacokinetic study

  1999cited by this paper
• Nonconjugate Bayesian Estimation of Covariance Matrices and its Use in Hierarchical Models

  1999cited by this paper
• Bayesian Inference for Prevalence in Longitudinal Two‐Phase Studies

  1999cited by this paper
• Asymptotic behavior of Bayes estimates under possibly incorrect models

  1998cited by this paper
• Analysis of multivariate probit models

  1998cited by this paper
• On Measuring and Correcting the Effects of Data Mining and Model Selection

  1998influential reference
• Model choice: A minimum posterior predictive loss approach

  1998cited by this paper
• Bayesian Wavelet Analysis with a Model Complexity Prior

  1998cited by this paper
• The direct use of likelihood for significance testing

  1997influential reference
• Bayes and Empirical Bayes Methods for Data Analysis

  1997cited by this paper
• Commentary on the paper by Murray Aitkin, and on discussion by Mervyn Stone

  1997cited by this paper
• Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice

  1997cited by this paper
• AN ASYMPTOTIC THEORY FOR LINEAR MODEL SELECTION

  1997cited by this paper
• Hierarchical Generalized Linear Models

  1996influential reference
• Generalised information criteria in model selection

  1996cited by this paper
• POSTERIOR PREDICTIVE ASSESSMENT OF MODEL FITNESS VIA REALIZED DISCREPANCIES

  1996cited by this paper
• BAYES AND EMPIRICAL BAYES METHODS FOR DATA ANALYSIS

  1996cited by this paper
• Model Determination using sampling-based methods

  1996cited by this paper
• Pattern recognition and neural networks

  1996influential reference
• Bayes factors and model uncertainty

  1995influential reference
• Probable networks and plausible predictions - a review of practical Bayesian methods for supervised neural networks

  1995cited by this paper
• Predictive Model Selection

  1995cited by this paper
• Splines from a Bayesian point of view

  1995cited by this paper
• Parameterizations for Natural Exponential Families with Quadratic Variance Functions

  1994cited by this paper
• Bayesian Model Choice: Asymptotics and Exact Calculations

  1994cited by this paper
• Summary of the

  1994cited by this paper
• Model Selection and Accounting for Model Uncertainty in Graphical Models Using Occam's Window

  1994cited by this paper
• Network information criterion-determining the number of hidden units for an artificial neural network model

  1994cited by this paper
• Approximate inference in generalized linear mixed models

  1993influential reference
• A likelihood-based method for analysing longitudinal binary responses

  1993influential reference
• Experts in uncertainty

  1993influential reference
• Random-effects models, for longitudinal data using Gibbs sampling.

  1993cited by this paper
• Bayesian Interpolation

  1992cited by this paper
• Performing likelihood ratio tests with multiply-imputed data sets

  1992cited by this paper
• Prequential data analysis

  1992cited by this paper
• Model Determination Using Predictive Distributions with Implementation via Sampling-Based Methods

  1992cited by this paper
• Robust Bayesian credible intervals and prior ignorance

  1991cited by this paper
• Fisherian Inference in Likelihood and Prequential Frames of Reference

  1991cited by this paper
• Generalized linear models with random e ects: a Gibbs sampling approach

  1991cited by this paper
• The Effective Number of Parameters: An Analysis of Generalization and Regularization in Nonlinear Learning Systems

  1991cited by this paper
• Local computations with probabilities on graphical structures and their application to expert systems

  1990cited by this paper
• Generalized Linear Models, 2nd Edn.

  1990cited by this paper
• Spline Models for Observational Data

  1990cited by this paper
• Perturbed periodogram estimates of variance

  1990cited by this paper
• On scale mixtures of normal distributions

  1987cited by this paper
• Empirical Bayes estimates of age-standardized relative risks for use in disease mapping.

  1987cited by this paper
• How Biased is the Apparent Error Rate of a Prediction Rule

  1986influential reference
• Diagnostics for penalized least-squares estimators

  1986cited by this paper
• Generalized Additive Models

  1986influential reference
• Diagnostics for Smoothing Splines

  1985cited by this paper
• Generalized Linear Models

  1984cited by this paper
• Spectral Analysis and Time Series

  1983cited by this paper
• Bayesian "Confidence Intervals" for the Cross-validated Smoothing Spline

  1983cited by this paper
• Random-effects models for longitudinal data.

  1982cited by this paper
• A Statistic for Allocating C p to Individual Cases

  1981cited by this paper
• A Note on Generalized

  1980cited by this paper
• A note on the generalized information criterion for choice of a model

  1980cited by this paper
• Expected Information as Expected Utility

  1979influential reference
• Information Criteria for Choice of Regression Models: A Comment

  1979cited by this paper

• Evaluation of four molecular detection assays for the diagnosis of Chlamydia pecorum infection in Victorian koalas (Phascolarctos cinereus) using Bayesian latent class analysis.

  2026cites this paper
• Modelo VAR integrado con volatilidad estocástica multivariada y errores de cola pesada

  2026cites this paper
• Coastal restoration entails carbon‐biodiversity trade‐offs where upslope invasive plants harm mangrove trees but benefit their seedlings

  2026cites this paper
• Measuring Neural Network Complexity via Effective Degrees of Freedom

  2026cites this paper
• Bayesian spatial and spatio-temporal modeling of Dengue transmission in Bandung: a comparative study of INLA and MCMC approaches

  2026cites this paper
• Bayesian Network Meta‐Analysis With One or Two Continuous Outcomes Measured at Multiple Time Points Using Gaussian Random Walks With Drift

  2026cites this paper
• Efficiency Analysis and Bayesian Neural Networks

  2026cites this paper
• Bayesian Reliability Inference for Non‐Linear Degradation Accelerated by Non‐Arrhenius Mechanism With Application on O‐Rings

  2026cites this paper
• Hotspots in the heat: Bayesian spatial modeling of Southern Bluefin Tuna larvae in a warming Argo Basin

  2026cites this paper
• Spatiotemporal patterns and clustering of prostate cancer incidence in China: a Bayesian modeling study of cancer registry data.

  2026cites this paper
• Multi-Parameter Estimation of Prevalence (MPEP): A Bayesian modelling approach to estimate the prevalence of opioid dependence

  2026cites this paper
• Structural Equation Modeling of Genetic and Residual Covariance Matrices for Multiple-Trait Evaluation in Beef Cattle

  2026cites this paper
• A closed form solution for Bayesian analysis of a simple linear mixed model

  2026cites this paper
• Copula-based models for spatially dependent cylindrical data

  2026cites this paper
• Comparison of antidepressant deprescribing strategies in individuals with clinically remitted depression: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.

  2026cites this paper
• The contribution of genetic and environmental influences underlying disordered eating to exposure to weight-conscious peers

  2026cites this paper
• Bound Dark Energy: Particle Physics model in alignment with recent DESI cosmological measurements

  2026cites this paper
• Spatial and spatiotemporal pattern of stroke relative risk in Ghana using Bayesian modelling approach.

  2026cites this paper
• Frequent presymptomatic household transmission of influenza A but not influenza B virus

  2026influential citation
• A flexible model for thermal performance curves.

  2026cites this paper
• Uncertainty in functional response model selection limits ecological interpretation of results in an experimental system

  2026cites this paper
• Temporal dynamics of effort discounting: The roles of cognitive load and depression.

  2026cites this paper
• Directional spatial individual level models of infectious disease transmission

  2026cites this paper
• Compensatory Health Beliefs as a Double-Edged Sword: A Dual-Path Model of Licensing and Cognitive Erosion in Multiple Health Behaviors.

  2026cites this paper
• Bayesian hierarchical modeling of oil toxicity in fish early life stages: Supporting oil-spill risk assessments in data-scarce situations.

  2026cites this paper
• Assessing Congestion Spillover Effects of Freeway Crash Induced All Lane Closure Incidents: A Bayesian Copula-Based Approach

  2026cites this paper
• A Novel Method of Estimating Gamma-Ray Burst Peak Energies beyond the Swift/BAT Limit

  2026cites this paper
• Multistate mark–recapture modeling reveals Brown Trout movements during thermal refuge use

  2026cites this paper
• Observational constraints on viscous cosmology in f(T, L) gravity

  2026cites this paper
• Prediction of stand-level growing stock by using a spatial regression model in an Austrian protection forest

  2026cites this paper
• Language and cognition revisited: Labels alter post-sensory processing in visual and auditory categorization

  2026cites this paper
• Navigating uncertainty: the role of college students' cognitive styles and uncertainty intolerance in learning rate from a Bayesian inference perspective

  2026cites this paper
• Efficient Bayesian variable selection with reversible jump MCMC in imaging genetics: an application to schizophrenia

  2026cites this paper
• Doxazosin versus tamsulosin for the treatment of male lower urinary tract symptoms associated with benign prostatic hyperplasia (LUTS/BPH): systematic literature review and network meta-analysis

  2026cites this paper
• Comparative efficacy and safety of post-TKI treatments for advanced EGFR-mutant non-small-cell lung cancer: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.

  2026cites this paper
• Gravitationally-induced matter creation cosmology with power-law decaying vacuum energy

  2026cites this paper
• Efficacy of non-invasive neuromodulation technologies in improving cognitive function and activities of daily living in patients with Alzheimer’s disease, Parkinson’s disease, and stroke: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

  2026cites this paper
• Unbiased random effects estimation in generalized linear mixed models via likelihood-based boosting

  2026cites this paper
• Bayesian Forecasting for a Logistic Mixture Double Autoregressive Model

  2026cites this paper
• Sample size dependence of Occam’s razor in human decision-making

  2026cites this paper
• Biologic Treatments in Adolescents With Moderate-to-Severe Atopic Dermatitis: A Systematic Literature Review and Network Meta-analysis.

  2026cites this paper
• The human dorsal anterior cingulate facilitates acceptance of unfair offers and regulates inequity aversion

  2026cites this paper
• Group-level phenotypes are idiosyncratic yet unpredictable over development in a clonal fish

  2026cites this paper
• A Non‐Parametric Framework for Correlation Functions on Product Metric Spaces

  2026cites this paper
• The myth of quick conflict-based road safety analysis: Limits of short-term conflict data in collision risk prediction.

  2026cites this paper
• Spatiotemporal epidemiology, geographic hotspots, and risk factor associations of drug-resistant tuberculosis incidence in Indonesia: a Bayesian hierarchical modelling approach

  2026cites this paper
• Flexible spatial regression for overdispersed bounded count data with distributional heterogeneity

  2026cites this paper
• Bayesian inference for non-Gaussian simultaneous autoregressive models with missing data

  2026cites this paper
• Geopolitical risks and the dual dynamics of global inflation: Regime dependence and uncertainty

  2026cites this paper
• Impacts of Social Environments on Neighborhood Depression Incidence: Fully Accounting for Spatial Effects.

  2026cites this paper
• Five-decade global expansion of Staphylococcus argenteus ST2250 shapes antimicrobial resistance dynamics

  2026cites this paper
• An Adaptable Bayesian Quantile‐Based Regression Framework for Asymmetric Data Structures and Extreme Points

  2026cites this paper
• Use of a nested bivariate binomial distribution in presence of covariates applied to a Brazilian soccer league data

  2026cites this paper
• Efficacy and Safety of Once-Weekly IcoSema Versus Once-Daily IDegLira in People with Type 2 Diabetes: Systematic Literature Review and Network Meta-analysis.

  2026cites this paper
• Comparative efficacy of open endarterectomy versus endovascular treatments in common femoral artery stenocclusive disease: A Bayesian hierarchical meta-analysis.

  2026cites this paper
• Mineral nitrogen input modulates the methane mitigation potential of biochar in rice systems: based on meta-analysis and field experiment demonstration

  2026cites this paper
• Revisiting the post-resolution positivity effect in conflict tasks: Meta-analytic and behavioral evidence for context-dependent affective valence of conflict resolution

  2026cites this paper
• Morphological variance in cave and surface populations of Asellus aquaticus challenges the fluctuating selection and greater male variability hypotheses

  2026cites this paper
• Comparative Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Multiple First-Line Treatments for HER2-Negative Unresectable Advanced or Recurrent Gastric Cancer in Japan.

  2026cites this paper
• Kosmulator: A Python framework for cosmological inference with MCMC

  2026cites this paper
• JAMES BUTTLE REVIEW: A Synthesis of Riparian Plant Water Use Over Two Decades in North American Drylands

  2026cites this paper
• Computational and neural correlates of Gain-loss differences in intertemporal choice.

  2026cites this paper
• Neighborhood disadvantage and social cohesion as contextual determinants of inequalities in intimate partner violence risk across city neighborhoods

  2026cites this paper
• Functional response predicts invasiveness but not trophic impact

  2026cites this paper
• Testing the b-CPL dynamical dark energy model with recent cosmological data

  2026cites this paper
• The Importance of Nonsense Errors: Estimating the Rate and Implications of Drop-Off Errors during Protein Synthesis

  2026cites this paper
• Development of Updated Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) Curves Using Bias-Corrected IMERG Satellite Data for Urban Flood Management at the Bohicon Synoptic Station, Benin

  2026cites this paper
• Upadacitinib Leads in Efficacy: A Bayesian Network Meta-Analysis of Four JAK Inhibitors in Moderate-To-Severe Atopic Dermatitis.

  2026cites this paper
• A Sequential Response Model With Growth Parameters for Process Data in Complex Problem Solving

  2026cites this paper
• A systematic review of the applications of mixture IRT models

  2026cites this paper
• A Hierarchical Bayesian Framework for Spatially Varying Coefficient Models With Copula‐Based Dependence

  2026cites this paper
• Relative accuracy of point-of-care tests to rule-in heartworm infection in clinically suspected dogs using Bayesian latent class modelling.

  2026cites this paper
• Bayesian hierarchical cognitive modeling with the EMC2 package

  2026cites this paper
• An Evidence Accumulation Model Analysis of Prior Probability and Spatial Attention Biases

  2026cites this paper
• Advances in spatial integer-valued time series modeling

  2026cites this paper
• Effects of combined resistance and plyometric training modalities on vertical jump and sprint: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

  2026cites this paper
• Global-local shrinkage priors for modeling random effects in multivariate spatial small area estimation

  2026cites this paper
• Bayesian Variable Selection With l1$$ {l}_1 $$ ‐Ball for Spatially Partly Interval‐Censored Data

  2026cites this paper
• The impact of entrepreneur’s insomnia on psychological capital

  2026cites this paper
• Efficacy and Safety of Different Neoadjuvant Treatment Regimens in Locally Advanced Squamous Head and Neck Cancer

  2026cites this paper
• Dynamic Occupancy, Temporal Activity and Distribution Pattern of The Sulawesi Palm Civet (Macrogalidia musschenbroekii) in Bogani Nani Wartabone National Park

  2026influential citation
• Too Hot, Too Wet: Bayesian Spatial Modeling of Climate‐Driven Salmonella Risk in New South Wales, Australia, 1991–2022

  2026influential citation
• Bayesian semi-parametric spatial modeling of dispersed count data with INLA: applications in public health and climate risk

  2026cites this paper
• Acute effects of Δ9-tetrahydrocannabinol on computational measures of neurocognitive processes are related to recent cannabis use among adolescents and young adults.

  2025cites this paper
• Probing beyond: The impact of model size and prior informativeness on Bayesian SEM fit indices

  2025cites this paper
• Prevalence and determinants of insecticide-treated net ownership among women of reproductive age in Nigeria: a mixed-effect insight from the 2021 malaria indicator survey

  2025cites this paper
• Indices of neighborhood disadvantage and individual cancer control behaviors among African American adults

  2025cites this paper
• Online Bayesian Variable Selection and Bayesian Model Averaging for Streaming Data

  2025cites this paper
• Modeling Within- and Between-Person Differences in the Use of the Middle Category in Likert Scales

  2025cites this paper
• The relationship between milk urea nitrogen content and urinary nitrogen excretion as determined in 4 Swiss dairy breeds.

  2025cites this paper
• Comparison of the Efficacy and Safety of Disease‐Modifying Antirheumatic Drugs Combination Therapies: A Systematic Review and Network Meta‐Analysis

  2025cites this paper
• Long-term effectiveness of intra-articular injectables in patients with knee osteoarthritis: a systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis

  2025cites this paper
• Mostly harmless econometrics? Statistical paradigms in the ‘top five’ from 2000 to 2018

  2025cites this paper
• Bayesian Variable Selection in Dynamic Item Response Theory Models

  2025influential citation
• From Development to Validation: Exploring the Efficiency of Numetrive, a Computerized Adaptive Assessment of Numerical Reasoning

  2025cites this paper
• Genetic Evaluation of Barrel Racing Performance in Quarter Horses

  2025cites this paper
• Bayesian spatio-temporal modelling for infectious disease outbreak detection.

  2025cites this paper
• Macroevolutionary divergence of gene expression driven by selection on protein abundance.

  2025cites this paper
• A general dynamic learning model framework for cognitive diagnosis

  2025cites this paper
• Generalized Ordinal Regression Models for Seismic Fragility Analysis

  2025influential citation