Physiologically grounded metrics of model skill: a case study estimating heat stress in intertidal populations

N. Kish,B. Helmuth,D. S. Wethey

Published 2016 in Conservation Physiology

ABSTRACT

Models of biological responses to climate change often use environmental variables measured at large scales, which are only indirect drivers of organism physiology and survival. We used skill scores based on physiology to assess the performance of several biophysical models. While all models had similar levels of overall accuracy using more traditional model skill metrics, their ability to predict stress levels differed.

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