Reducing uncertainty in projections of extinction risk from climate change

No abstract is available for this paper.

• Publication year

  2005

• Venue

  Global Ecology and Biogeography

• Publication date

  2005-06-13

• Fields of study

  Biology, Environmental Science

• Identifiers
  DOI 10.1111/J.1466-822X.2005.00182.X
• External record

  Open on Semantic Scholar

• Source metadata

  Semantic Scholar

• No claims are published for this paper.

• No concepts are published for this paper.

• Equilibrium of species’ distributions with climate

  2005cited by this paper
• Validation of species–climate impact models under climate change

  2005cited by this paper
• Conservation Biogeography: assessment and prospect

  2005cited by this paper
• Would climate change drive species out of reserves? An assessment of existing reserve‐selection methods

  2004cited by this paper
• Extinction risk from climate change

  2004cited by this paper
• Limited filling of the potential range in European tree species

  2004cited by this paper
• The impact of climate change on birds: Impact of climate change on birds

  2004cited by this paper
• Biodiversity conservation: Uncertainty in predictions of extinction risk

  2004cited by this paper
• Patterns and uncertainties of species' range shifts under climate change

  2004influential reference
• Tentative probabilistic temperature scenarios for northern Europe

  2004cited by this paper
• Bioclimate envelope models: what they detect and what they hide

  2004cited by this paper
• Potential impact of climatic change on the distribution of forest herbs in Europe

  2004cited by this paper
• BIOMOD – optimizing predictions of species distributions and projecting potential future shifts under global change

  2003influential reference
• Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are bioclimate envelope models useful?

  2003cited by this paper
• Vulnerability of South African animal taxa to climate change

  2002cited by this paper
• Assessing effects of forecasted climate change on the diversity and distribution of European higher plants for 2050

  2002cited by this paper
• Dynamics of extinction and the selection of nature reserves

  2002cited by this paper
• Assessing the vulnerability of species richness to anthropogenic climate change in a biodiversity hotspot

  2002cited by this paper
• Predicting distributions of Mexican birds using ecological niche modelling methods

  2002cited by this paper
• Modelling potential impacts of climate change on the bioclimatic envelope of species in Britain and Ireland

  2002cited by this paper
• Testing for Forecast Consensus

  2001cited by this paper
• Consensus predictions of membrane protein topology

  2000cited by this paper
• Bird diversity and environmental gradients in Britain: a test of the species–energy hypothesis

  2000cited by this paper
• Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change

  2000cited by this paper
• Representing Twentieth-Century Space-Time Climate Variability. Part II: Development of 1901-96 Monthly Grids of Terrestrial Surface Climate

  2000cited by this paper
• The GARP modelling system: problems and solutions to automated spatial prediction

  1999cited by this paper
• Birds extend their ranges northwards

  1999cited by this paper
• Analysis of multiblock and hierarchical PCA and PLS models

  1998cited by this paper
• Using Common Principal Components for Comparing GCM Simulations

  1998cited by this paper
• PREDICTING ABUNDANCE OF 80 TREE SPECIES FOLLOWING CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE EASTERN UNITED STATES

  1998cited by this paper
• A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models

  1997influential reference
• Pattern recognition and neural networks

  1996cited by this paper
• Validating models of ecosystem response to global change

  1996cited by this paper
• The effects of fragmentation and disturbance of rainforest on ground‐dwelling small mammals on the Robertson Plateau, New South Wales, Australia

  1996cited by this paper
• Special Paper: Modelling Present and Potential Future Ranges of Some European Higher Plants Using Climate Response Surfaces

  1995cited by this paper
• Verification, Validation, and Confirmation of Numerical Models in the Earth Sciences

  1994cited by this paper
• The new atlas of breeding birds in Britain and Ireland 1988-1991

  1993cited by this paper
• Modelling the Environmental Niche of Plants: Implications for Plant Community Response to Elevated CO2 Levels.

  1992cited by this paper
• The uses and abuses of ‘consensus’ forecasts

  1992cited by this paper
• To combine or not to combine? Issues of combining forecasts

  1992cited by this paper
• Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography

  1989cited by this paper
• Consensus forecasts: tyranny of the majority?

  1987cited by this paper
• Averages of Forecasts: Some Empirical Results

  1983cited by this paper
• The Atlas of Breeding Birds in Britain and Ireland

  1980cited by this paper
• On Subjective Probability Forecasting

  1963cited by this paper

• Towards a climate-resilient conservation network in Portugal

  2025cites this paper
• Global multi-ensemble approach for assessing the invasion potential of tropical fire ant in South Korea

  2025cites this paper
• Environmental fluctuations trigger faster evolution and turnover

  2025cites this paper
• Impacts of global climate change on the spatial range of insects distributed across the Pacific Ocean

  2025cites this paper
• Predictions of Future Insect Distributions Under Climate Change

  2025cites this paper
• Habitat Suitability Modeling: A Tool for Restoring Butternut, Juglans cinerea L., in the Eastern United States

  2025cites this paper
• Land Cover Constrains Range Shifts in Northern Iberian Bird Species Under Climate Change Scenarios

  2025cites this paper
• Invasive alien mammals pose zoonotic risks to human health in Europe

  2025cites this paper
• Spatial clustering analysis combined with ensemble modeling identified potential coastal conservation hotspots of White-eyed gulls in the Red Sea

  2025cites this paper
• The vulnerability of endemic vertebrates in Sri Lanka to climate change

  2025cites this paper
• SDM- and GIS-Based Prediction of Citrus Suitability in Southern Italy: Evaluating the Influence of Local Versus Global Climate Datasets

  2025cites this paper
• Beyond temperature: predictive modelling of range shifts in benthic peracarids across the northern North Pacific under future climate scenarios

  2025cites this paper
• Refined gap analysis for biodiversity conservation under climate change

  2025cites this paper
• Spatially‐nested hierarchical species distribution models to overcome niche truncation in national‐scale studies

  2024cites this paper
• A Study on the Genetic Variations and Germination Characteristics of Rhododendron sobayakiense to Prepare for Climate Change Threat

  2024cites this paper
• Prediction of Potential Habitat of Monochamus alternatus Based on Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Scenarios

  2024cites this paper
• climetrics: an R package to quantify multiple dimensions of climate change

  2024cites this paper
• Habitat suitability and distribution patterns of Rouget's rail (Rougetius rougetii Guérin‐méneville, 1843) in Ethiopia

  2024cites this paper
• Using an ensemble approach to predict habitat of Dusky Grouse ( Dendragapus obscurus ) in Montana, USA

  2024cites this paper
• Ecological niche modelling: a global assessment based on bibliometric analysis

  2024cites this paper
• Potential Distribution Projections for Senegalia senegal (L.) Britton under Climate Change Scenarios

  2024cites this paper
• Climate correlates of bluetongue incidence in southern Portugal

  2024cites this paper
• Predicting the effect of climate change on the spatiotemporal distribution of two endangered plant species, Silene leucophylla Boiss. and Silene schimperiana Boiss., using machine learning, in Saint Catherine Protected Area, Egypt

  2024cites this paper
• Analyzing the Distribution Patterns of Endemic Quercus vulcanica (Boiss. et Heldr. ex) Kotschy in Türkiye Under Climate Change Using Ensemble Modeling

  2024cites this paper
• Range contractions, fragmentation, species extirpations, and extinctions of commercially valuable molluscs in the Mediterranean Sea—a climate warming hotspot

  2023cites this paper
• High-Resolution Bioclimatic Variables in Mt. Jirisan and Hallasan under Climate Change Scenario

  2023cites this paper
• Predicting fundamental climate niches of forest trees based on species occurrence data

  2023cites this paper
• Assessing the climate change impact on the habitat suitability of the range-restricted bird species (Catreus wallichii) in the Indian Himalayan ecosystem

  2023cites this paper
• Plant-Based Proteins and Mind-Sets Underlying Concerns

  2023cites this paper
• Species distributions models may predict accurately future distributions but poorly how distributions change: A critical perspective on model validation

  2023cites this paper
• Using neural ordinary differential equations to predict complex ecological dynamics from population density data

  2023cites this paper
• Impact of climate changes in the suitable areas for Coffea arabica L. production in Mozambique: Agroforestry as an alternative management system to strengthen crop sustainability

  2023cites this paper
• Species Distribution Models as Tools for Community Empowerment and Informed Decision Making in Colombia’s Chocó Pacific Coast Fisheries

  2023cites this paper
• Species Distribution Models as Tools for Community Empowerment and Informed Decision Making in Colombia’s Choc ó Pacific Coast Fisheries

  2023cites this paper
• Combining genetic and environmental data to map and model regions of provenance for silver fir (Abies alba Mill.) in Italy

  2023cites this paper
• How future climate and tree distribution changes shape the biodiversity of macrofungi across Europe

  2023cites this paper
• Habitat suitability mapping of the Indian giant flying squirrel (Petaurista philippensis Elliot, 1839) in India with ensemble modeling

  2022cites this paper
• Phylogeography and colonization pattern of subendemic round-leaved oxeye daisy from the Dinarides to the Carpathians

  2022cites this paper
• Background sampling for multi-scale ensemble habitat selection modeling: Does the number of points matter?

  2022cites this paper
• Feature extraction and classification of climate change risks: a bibliometric analysis

  2022cites this paper
• The predictive performance of process‐explicit range change models remains largely untested

  2022cites this paper
• Sustainable hydroelectric power project planning under socio-economic and environmental concerns using Index based approach

  2022cites this paper
• The Potential Global Climate Suitability of Kiwifruit Bacterial Canker Disease (Pseudomonas syringae pv. actinidiae (Psa)) Using Three Modelling Approaches: CLIMEX, Maxent and Multimodel Framework

  2022cites this paper
• Distribution models calibrated with independent field data predict two million ancient and veteran trees in England

  2022cites this paper
• Genetic Lineage Distribution Modeling to Predict Epidemics of a Conifer Disease

  2022cites this paper
• Coupling genetic structure analysis and ecological-niche modeling in Kersting’s groundnut in West Africa

  2022cites this paper
• Review of Distribution Modeling in Ant (Hymenoptera: Formicidae) Biogeographic Studies

  2022cites this paper
• Prediction of climate change effects on the potential distribution of cycad blue butterfly (Luthrodes pandava) in South Korea

  2022cites this paper
• Catchment‐scale applications of hydraulic habitat models: Climate change effects on fish

  2022cites this paper
• Development of a prey-predator species distribution model for a large piscivorous fish: A case study for Japanese Spanish mackerel Scomberomorus niphonius and Japanese anchovy Engraulis japonicus

  2022cites this paper
• The fall of the summer truffle: Recurring hot, dry summers result in declining fruitbody production of Tuber aestivum in Central Europe

  2022cites this paper
• RESPONSES OF IRISH VEGETATION TO FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE

  2022cites this paper
• Potential for invasion of traded birds under climate and land‐cover change

  2022cites this paper
• Regional variation in responses of a vulnerable bird species to land‐use and climate change

  2022cites this paper
• Understanding the summer roosting habitat selection of the greater mouse-tailed bat (Rhinopoma microphyllum) and the small mouse-tailed bat (Rhinopoma muscatellum) in Iran

  2022cites this paper
• Identifying the natural reserve area of Cistanche salsa under the effects of multiple host plants and climate change conditions using a maximum entropy model in Xinjiang, China

  2022cites this paper
• Assessment of Habitat Suitability for Common Cockles in the Ria the Aveiro Lagoon Under Average and Projected Environmental Conditions

  2022cites this paper
• Past and future potential range changes in one of the last large vertebrates of the Australian continent, the emu Dromaius novaehollandiae

  2021cites this paper
• Expanding or shrinking? range shifts in wild ungulates under climate change in Pamir-Karakoram mountains, Pakistan

  2021cites this paper
• Modelling invasive alien plant distribution: A literature review of concepts and bibliometric analysis

  2021cites this paper
• Potential distributions of invasive vertebrates in the Iberian Peninsula under projected changes in climate extreme events

  2021cites this paper
• Long-term changes in populations of rainforest birds in the Australia Wet Tropics bioregion: A climate-driven biodiversity emergency

  2021cites this paper
• Off to new shores: Climate niche expansion in invasive mosquitofish (Gambusia spp.)

  2021cites this paper
• Climatic change and extinction risk of two globally threatened Ethiopian endemic bird species

  2021cites this paper
• Evaluating the invasion risk of longhorn crazy ants (Paratrechina longicornis) in South Korea using spatial distribution model

  2021cites this paper
• Simulating the effects of thinning and species mixing on stands of oak (Quercus petraea (Matt.) Liebl./Quercus robur L.) and pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) across Europe

  2021cites this paper
• Uncertainty in the modelled mortality of two tree species (Fraxinus) under novel climatic regimes

  2021cites this paper
• Cautions in weighting individual ecological niche models in ensemble forecasting

  2021cites this paper
• Assessment of Potential Climate Change Impacts on Montane Forests in the Peruvian Andes: Implications for Conservation Prioritization

  2021cites this paper
• Phenology dictates the impact of climate change on geographic distributions of six co‐occurring North American grasshoppers

  2021cites this paper
• Demographic Attritions, Elevational Refugia, and the Resilience of Insect Populations to Projected Global Warming*

  2021cites this paper
• Geographic Distribution Shift of Invasive Plant Austroeupatorium inulifolium in the Future Climate Projection

  2021cites this paper
• Will Ferulago glareosa Kandemir and Hedge (Apiaceae) be extinct in the near future?

  2020cites this paper
• Potential risks of Tithonia diversifolia in Yunnan Province under climate change

  2020cites this paper
• A global assessment of human influence on niche shifts and risk predictions of bird invasions

  2020cites this paper
• Research and Management Practices for Conservation of the Persian Leopard in Iran

  2020cites this paper
• Is 15% restoration sufficient to safeguard the habitats of boreal red-listed mire plant species?

  2020cites this paper
• A comparison between Ensemble and MaxEnt species distribution modelling approaches for conservation: A case study with Egyptian medicinal plants

  2020cites this paper
• Climate change effects on marine protected areas: Projected decline of benthic species in the North Sea.

  2020cites this paper
• Alnus glutinosa (Betulaceae) in South Africa: invasive potential and management options

  2020cites this paper
• Potential Distribution of Goldenrod (Solidago altissima L.) during Climate Change in South Korea

  2020cites this paper
• Adaptation of plasticity to projected maximum temperatures and across climatically defined bioregions

  2020cites this paper
• Genetic diversity within the Iranian spiny-tailed lizards and predicting species distribution in climate change conditions

  2020cites this paper
• The hazard and unsureness of reducing habitat ranges in response to climate warming for 91 amphibian species in China

  2020cites this paper
• Potential distribution patterns of scorpions in north-eastern Brazil under scenarios of future climate change

  2020cites this paper
• Ecological Niche Models Reveal Climate Change Effect on Biogeographical Regions: The Iberian Peninsula as a Case Study

  2020cites this paper
• Lack of evidence of a Pleistocene migratory switch in current bird long‐distance migrants between Eurasia and Africa

  2020cites this paper
• Dry and wet miombo woodlands of south-central Africa respond differently to climate change

  2020influential citation
• Countrywide Distribution Modelling of the Persian Leopard Potential Habitats on a Regional Basis in Iran

  2020cites this paper
• The potential impact of climate change on the distribution pattern of Eusideroxylon zwageri (Bornean Ironwood) in Kalimantan, Indonesia

  2020cites this paper
• Climate change shifts in habitat suitability and phenology of huckleberry (Vaccinium membranaceum)

  2020cites this paper
• Climate change at the landscape scale: predicting fine-grained spatial Climate change at the landscape scale: predicting fine-grained spatial heterogeneity in warming and potential refugia for vegetation heterogeneity in warming and potential refugia for vegetation

  2020influential citation
• Bioclimatic variables from precipitation and temperature records vs. remote sensing-based bioclimatic variables: Which side can perform better in species distribution modeling?

  2020cites this paper
• Human–black bear interactions in Northern Mexico

  2020cites this paper
• Limitations of Species Distribution Models Based on Available Climate Change Data: A Case Study in the Azorean Forest

  2019cites this paper
• Ignoring biotic interactions overestimates climate change effects: The potential response of the spotted nutcracker to changes in climate and resource plants

  2019cites this paper
• Testing the ability of species distribution models to infer variable importance

  2019cites this paper
• A comparison of macroecological and stacked species distribution models to predict future global terrestrial vertebrate richness

  2019cites this paper
• Kongsfjorden as Harbinger of the Future Arctic: Knowns, Unknowns and Research Priorities

  2019cites this paper
• A Conservation Framework for Hen Harriers in the United Kingdom

  2019cites this paper