Revisiting projected shifts in the climate envelopes of North American trees using updated general circulation models

No abstract is available for this paper.

• Publication year

  2011

• Venue

  Global Change Biology

• Publication date

  2011-08-01

• Fields of study

  Environmental Science

• Identifiers
  DOI 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02413.x
• External record

  Open on Semantic Scholar

• Source metadata

  Semantic Scholar

• No claims are published for this paper.

• No concepts are published for this paper.

• The Community Climate System Model Version 4

  2011influential reference
• Representing and using scenarios for responding to climate change

  2010cited by this paper
• Uncertainty in ensemble forecasting of species distribution

  2010cited by this paper
• BioMove – an integrated platform simulating the dynamic response of species to environmental change

  2010cited by this paper
• Increased mortality can promote evolutionary adaptation of forest trees to climate change.

  2010cited by this paper
• Beta diversity: synthesis and a guide for the perplexed

  2010cited by this paper
• Climate projections and their impact on policy and practice

  2010cited by this paper
• More knowledge, less certainty

  2010cited by this paper
• Earth science: The climate machine

  2010cited by this paper
• The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions

  2009cited by this paper
• An Atlas on Global Water Cycle : Based on the IPCC AR4 Climate Models

  2009cited by this paper
• An indicator of tree migration in forests of the eastern United States

  2009cited by this paper
• The velocity of climate change

  2009cited by this paper
• Potential effects of climate change on ecosystem distribution in Alberta

  2009influential reference
• How Well Do Coupled Models Simulate Today's Climate?

  2008cited by this paper
• A Review of Uncertainties in Global Temperature Projections over the Twenty-First Century

  2008influential reference
• Adaptation, migration or extirpation: climate change outcomes for tree populations

  2008cited by this paper
• Plant Phenology And Distribution In Relation To Recent Climate Change

  2008cited by this paper
• Rapid shifts in plant distribution with recent climate change

  2008cited by this paper
• Why Is Climate Sensitivity So Unpredictable?

  2007cited by this paper
• How reliable are climate models?

  2007cited by this paper
• Climate Change and Moving Species: Furthering the Debate on Assisted Colonization

  2007cited by this paper
• A Framework for Debate of Assisted Migration in an Era of Climate Change

  2007cited by this paper
• THE WCRP CMIP3 Multimodel Dataset: A New Era in Climate Change Research

  2007cited by this paper
• Ensemble forecasting of species distributions.

  2007cited by this paper
• Climate change 2007 : the physical science basis : contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

  2007cited by this paper
• Beyond Traditional Hardiness Zones: Using Climate Envelopes to Map Plant Range Limits

  2007cited by this paper
• An Analysis of the Warm-Season Diurnal Cycle over the Continental United States and Northern Mexico in General Circulation Models

  2007cited by this paper
• Potential Impacts of Climate Change on the Distribution of North American Trees

  2007cited by this paper
• A Changing Climate for Prediction

  2007cited by this paper
• How Does Climate Change Affect Biodiversity?

  2006cited by this paper
• Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions

  2006cited by this paper
• The Community Climate System Model Version 3 (CCSM3)

  2006cited by this paper
• Potential effects of climate change on ecosystem and tree species distribution in British Columbia.

  2006cited by this paper
• Predicting Potential Changes in Suitable Habitat and Distribution by 2100 for Tree Species of the Eastern United States

  2005cited by this paper
• MOLECULAR INDICATORS OF TREE MIGRATION CAPACITY UNDER RAPID CLIMATE CHANGE

  2005cited by this paper
• Predicting species distributions: use of climatic parameters in BIOCLIM and its impact on predictions of species’ current and future distributions

  2005cited by this paper
• Bioclimate envelope models: what they detect and what they hide

  2004influential reference
• Polar amplification of climate change in coupled models

  2003cited by this paper
• Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are bioclimate envelope models useful?

  2003cited by this paper
• The land surface climatology of the community land model coupled to the NCAR community climate model

  2002cited by this paper
• Plant water relations at elevated CO2 -- implications for water-limited environments.

  2002cited by this paper
• Estimated migration rates under scenarios of global climate change

  2002cited by this paper
• The CSIRO Mk3 climate system model

  2002cited by this paper
• Potential Changes in the Distributions of Western North America Tree and Shrub Taxa under Future Climate Scenarios

  2001cited by this paper
• Canada’s plant hardiness zones revisited using modern climate interpolation techniques

  2001cited by this paper
• Climate change 2001 : the scientific basis

  2001cited by this paper
• Special report on emissions scenarios

  2000cited by this paper
• PREDICTING ABUNDANCE OF 80 TREE SPECIES FOLLOWING CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE EASTERN UNITED STATES

  1998cited by this paper
• Making mistakes when predicting shifts in species range in response to global warming

  1998cited by this paper
• Making mistakes.

  1996cited by this paper
• Climate and plant distribution

  1987cited by this paper
• Atlas of United States trees.

  1971cited by this paper

• Enjeux contemporains en forêt tempérée au Québec — Partie 4 : Les changements climatiques

  2026cites this paper
• Contemporary Issues in Québec’s Temperate Forest — Part 4: Climate Change

  2026cites this paper
• Post-fire recovery is modulated by the position in the realized climatic niche in three Mediterranean tree species

  2026cites this paper
• How much of the forest sink is passive? Case of the United States

  2026cites this paper
• What makes a forest growth model climate-sensitive? An examination of statistical and silvicultural model needs under climate change

  2025cites this paper
• Stochastic framework reveals the controls of forest treatment – peakflow causal relations in rain environment

  2025cites this paper
• Quantifying the individual and combined influence of climate change, land cover transition, and internal climate variability on the hydrology of a snow-dominated forested watershed

  2025cites this paper
• General circulation models performance: A comprehensive review of applied approaches, recognized issues and possible future directions

  2025cites this paper
• Over the limit: Consequences of gray squirrel personality on the shifting range limits of oak and hickory species

  2025cites this paper
• Identifying climatically-compatible seedlots for the eastern US: building the predictive tools and knowledge to enable forest assisted migration

  2024cites this paper
• Increase in young forests, more than climate change may accelerate future colonization of temperate tree species in mixedwood boreal stands

  2024cites this paper
• Interactions between climate, soil and competition drive tree growth in Quebec forests

  2024cites this paper
• Local adaptation shapes functional traits and resource allocation in black spruce

  2023cites this paper
• Provenance trials in the service of forestry assisted migration: A review of North American field trials and experiments

  2023cites this paper
• Climate‐driven shifts in leaf senescence are greater for boreal species than temperate species in the Acadian Forest region in contrast to leaf emergence shifts

  2023cites this paper
• Climate change risks and vulnerabilities during mining exploration, operations, and reclamation: A regional approach for the mining sector in Québec, Canada

  2022cites this paper
• The principle of space-for-time substitution in predicting Picea spp. biomass change under climate shifts

  2022cites this paper
• CO2 elevation and soil warming reduce cold hardiness of jack pine under photoperiods of seed origin and latitudes of potential migration

  2021cites this paper
• Finding common ground: Toward comparable indicators of adaptive capacity of tree species to a changing climate

  2021cites this paper
• Uncertainty in the modelled mortality of two tree species (Fraxinus) under novel climatic regimes

  2021cites this paper
• Unravelling potential northward migration pathways for tree species under climate change

  2021cites this paper
• Critical seed transfer distances for selected tree species in eastern North America

  2021cites this paper
• An ecological approach to climate change-informed tree species selection for reforestation

  2021cites this paper
• Assessing the Vulnerability of Military Installations in the Coterminous United States to Potential Biome Shifts Resulting from Rapid Climate Change

  2020cites this paper
• Photoperiod and CO2 elevation influence morphological and physiological responses to drought in trembling aspen: implications to climate change-induced migration.

  2020cites this paper
• Lower cost and more feasible options to restore forest cover in the contiguous United States for climate mitigation

  2020cites this paper
• Disentangling mechanisms of early succession following harvest: Implications for climate change adaptation in Canada’s boreal-temperate forests

  2020cites this paper
• Using a Trait-Based Approach to Compare Tree Species Sensitivity to Climate Change Stressors in Eastern Canada and Inform Adaptation Practices

  2020cites this paper
• Sustainability of Canada’s forestry sector may be compromised by impending climate change

  2020cites this paper
• Exploring genomic variation associated with drought stress in Picea mariana populations

  2020cites this paper
• Projected effects of climate change on the distribution and abundance of breeding waterfowl in Eastern Canada

  2020cites this paper
• CO2 Elevation and Photoperiods North of Seed Origin Change Autumn and Spring Phenology as Well as Cold Hardiness in Boreal White Birch

  2020cites this paper
• Vanishing islands in the sky? A comparison of correlation‐ and mechanism‐based forecasts of range dynamics for montane salamanders under climate change

  2020cites this paper
• Contrasting Root System Structure and Belowground Interactions between Black Spruce (Picea mariana (Mill.) B.S.P) and Trembling Aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx) in Boreal Mixedwoods of Eastern Canada

  2020cites this paper
• Boreal forests will be more severely affected by projected anthropogenic climate forcing than mixedwood and northern hardwood forests in eastern Canada

  2020cites this paper
• Combining US and Canadian forest inventories to assess habitat suitability and migration potential of 25 tree species under climate change

  2020cites this paper
• Long‐term mammal and nocturnal bird trends are influenced by vegetation type, weather and climate in temperate woodlands

  2020cites this paper
• A changing climate is snuffing out post‐fire recovery in montane forests

  2020cites this paper
• Northward migration of trembling aspen will increase growth but reduce resistance to drought-induced xylem cavitation

  2019cites this paper
• Spatially explicit climate change projections for the recovery planning of threatened species: The Bicknell's Thrush (Catharus Bicknelli) as a case study

  2019cites this paper
• Will tree colonisation increase the risks of serious performance loss of engineered covers under climate change in Québec, Canada?

  2019cites this paper
• Potential Economic Impacts of the Asian Longhorned Beetle (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) in Eastern Canada

  2019cites this paper
• Managing Forests for Both Downstream and Downwind Water

  2019cites this paper
• Harvesting interacts with climate change to affect future habitat quality of a focal species in eastern Canada’s boreal forest

  2018cites this paper
• Putting Climate Adaptation on the Map: Developing Spatial Management Strategies for Whitebark Pine in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem

  2018cites this paper
• Weather effects on birds of different size are mediated by long‐term climate and vegetation type in endangered temperate woodlands

  2018cites this paper
• Re-examining breeding zones of white spruce in northwestern Ontario, Canada

  2018cites this paper
• Macrorefugia for North American trees and songbirds: Climatic limiting factors and multi‐scale topographic influences

  2018cites this paper
• Tree vulnerability to climate change: improving exposure‐based assessments using traits as indicators of sensitivity

  2018cites this paper
• Jack pine becomes more vulnerable to cavitation with increasing latitudes under doubled [CO2]

  2018cites this paper
• Jack pine becomes more vulnerable to cavitation with increasing latitudes under doubled CO 2 concentration

  2018cites this paper
• Rhizosphere microbial response to predicted vegetation shifts and changes in rhizodeposition in boreal forest soils

  2018cites this paper
• Effects of projected climate change on vegetation in the Blue Mountains ecoregion, USA

  2017cites this paper
• The contrasting effects of short-term climate change on the early recruitment of tree species

  2017cites this paper
• Climate-Smart Approaches to Managing Forests

  2017cites this paper
• Climate change impacts on forest landscapes along the Canadian southern boreal forest transition zone

  2017cites this paper
• Climate and competition affect growth and survival of transplanted sugar maple seedlings along a 1700‐km gradient

  2017cites this paper
• Incorporating Uncertainty into Projections of Landscape Change

  2017cites this paper
• Climate-driven shifts in sediment chemistry enhance methane production in northern lakes

  2017cites this paper
• Changes in mean forest age in Canada’s forests could limit future increases in area burned but compromise potential harvestable conifer volumes

  2017cites this paper
• Incorporating uncertainty into forest management planning: Timber harvest, wildfire and climate change in the boreal forest

  2017cites this paper
• Complex Challenges of Maintaining Whitebark Pine in Greater Yellowstone under Climate Change: A Call for Innovative Research, Management, and Policy Approaches

  2016cites this paper
• Rapid latitudinal range expansion at cold limits unlikely for temperate understory forest plants

  2016cites this paper
• Morphological Response of Jack Pine to the Interactive Effects of Carbon Dioxide, Soil Temperature and Photoperiod

  2016cites this paper
• Traits to stay, traits to move: a review of functional traits to assess sensitivity and adaptive capacity of temperate and boreal trees to climate change

  2016cites this paper
• Anticipating climate-induced changes to forest cover in Ontario and the implications for future bioenergy development

  2016influential citation
• Planted forests and invasive alien trees in Europe: A Code for managing existing and future plantings to mitigate the risk of negative impacts from invasions

  2016cites this paper
• Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Vegetation for National Parks in the Eastern United States

  2016cites this paper
• Local-scale drought adaptation of ponderosa pine seedlings at habitat ecotones

  2016cites this paper
• Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Tree Species and Biome Types in the Northern Rocky Mountains

  2016cites this paper
• Should climate change make us think more about the economics of forest management

  2015cites this paper
• Mitigating risks of future wildfires by management of the forest composition: an analysis of the offsetting potential through boreal Canada

  2015cites this paper
• Facteurs environnementaux influençant la croissance et la régénération du bouleau jaune (betula alleghaniensis britton) près de sa limite nordique de répartition.

  2015cites this paper
• A Brief Description of the VINCERA Project; Vulnerability and Impacts of North American Forests to Climate Change

  2015cites this paper
• Disturbance legacies and paludification mediate the ecological impact of an intensifying wildfire regime in the Clay Belt boreal forest of eastern North America

  2015cites this paper
• Afin d’évaluer les facteurs environnementaux contrôlant la distribution du bouleau jaune

  2015cites this paper
• Which tree species and biome types are most vulnerable to climate change in the US Northern Rocky Mountains

  2015cites this paper
• Past and projected future changes in moisture conditions in the Canadian boreal forest

  2014cites this paper
• Change and Evolution in the Plant Hardiness Zones of Canada

  2014cites this paper
• The Supply of Switchgrass and Miscanthus in Ontario

  2014influential citation
• The Legacy of Episodic Climatic Events in Shaping Temperate, Broadleaf Forests

  2014cites this paper
• Simulating impacts of water stress on woody biomass in the southern boreal region of western Canada using a dynamic vegetation model

  2014cites this paper
• Climate Change and Forest Herbs of Temperate Deciduous Forests

  2014cites this paper
• Shifting with climate? Evidence for recent changes in tree species distribution at high latitudes

  2014cites this paper
• The subtle role of climate change on population genetic structure in Canada lynx

  2014cites this paper
• Vegetation limits the impact of a warm climate on boreal wildfires.

  2013cites this paper
• Forest ecosystems: Vegetation, disturbance, and economics: Chapter 5

  2013cites this paper
• Challenges in modelling the abundance of 105 tree species in eastern North America using climate, edaphic, and topographic variables

  2013cites this paper
• Anticipating the consequences of climate change for Canada’s boreal forest ecosystems1

  2013cites this paper
• Incorporating climate change into pest risk models for forest pathogens: a role for cold stress in an era of global warming?

  2013cites this paper
• Potential changes in forest composition could reduce impacts of climate change on boreal wildfires.

  2013cites this paper
• Title: The subtle role of climate change on population genetic structure in Canada lynx Running Title: role of climate in lynx genetic structure

  2013cites this paper
• Effects of climatic variability and change on forest ecosystems: a comprehensive science synthesis for the U.S. forest sector.

  2012cites this paper
• Placing Forestry in the Assisted Migration Debate

  2012cites this paper
• The implementation of assisted migrationin Canadian forests

  2011cites this paper