Probability Information in Risk Communication: A Review of the Research Literature

No abstract is available for this paper.

• Publication year

  2009

• Venue

  Risk Analysis

• Publication date

  2009-02-01

• Fields of study

  Medicine, Business, Engineering, Environmental Science

• Identifiers
  DOI 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2008.01137.xPMID 19000070
• External record

  Open on Semantic Scholar

• Source metadata

  Semantic Scholar, PubMed

• No claims are published for this paper.

• No concepts are published for this paper.

• White Paper on Risk Governance: Towards and Integrative Approach

  2009influential reference
• A randomized comparison of patients’ understanding of number needed to treat and other common risk reduction formats

  2007influential reference
• The Role of the Affect and Availability Heuristics in Risk Communication

  2006influential reference
• Risk avoidance: Graphs versus numbers

  2006influential reference
• What's Time Got to Do with It? Inattention to Duration in Interpretation of Survival Graphs

  2005cited by this paper
• Risk Perception: Using Conditional Versus General Base Rates for Risk Communication1

  2005influential reference
• Facts and Fears: Understanding Perceived Risk

  2005cited by this paper
• Risk communication in the clinical consultation.

  2005cited by this paper
• The Greater Ability of Graphical Versus Numerical Displays to Increase Risk Avoidance Involves a Common Mechanism

  2005influential reference
• “A 30% Chance of Rain Tomorrow”: How Does the Public Understand Probabilistic Weather Forecasts?

  2005cited by this paper
• Translating evidence-based information into effective risk communication: current challenges and opportunities.

  2005cited by this paper
• Preferences for different methods of communicating information regarding adjuvant chemotherapy for breast cancer

  2005influential reference
• Motivation Influences the Underestimation of Cumulative Risk

  2005cited by this paper
• Over the counter medicines and the need for immediate action: a further evaluation of European Commission recommended wordings for communicating risk.

  2004influential reference
• The Effect of Numerical Statements of Risk on Trust and Comfort with Hypothetical Physician Risk Communication

  2004cited by this paper
• Tailored Computer-Based Cancer Risk Communication: Correcting Colorectal Cancer Risk Perception

  2004cited by this paper
• Risk Comparisons, Conflict, and Risk Acceptability Claims

  2004cited by this paper
• Risk, Communication and Health Psychology

  2004cited by this paper
• BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making

  2004cited by this paper
• Communicating evidence for participatory decision making.

  2004cited by this paper
• Older people’s understanding of cumulative risks when provided with annual stroke risk information

  2004cited by this paper
• Intended Message Versus Message Received in Hypothetical Physician Risk Communications: Exploring the Gap

  2004cited by this paper
• Comparison of two methods of presenting risk information to patients about the side effects of medicines

  2004cited by this paper
• You say "probable" and I say "likely": improving interpersonal communication with verbal probability phrases.

  2004cited by this paper
• The social amplification of risk and the hazard sequence: the October 1995 oral contraceptive pill scare

  2003cited by this paper
• Evaluation of a visual risk communication tool: effects on knowledge and perception of blood transfusion risk

  2003cited by this paper
• How Do Individuals Apply Risk Information When Choosing Among Health Care Interventions?

  2003influential reference
• Personalised risk communication for informed decision making about entering screening programs.

  2003cited by this paper
• Are Some Risk Comparisons More Effective Under Conflict?: A Replication and Extension of Roth et al.

  2003cited by this paper
• Development of a Public Participation and Communication Protocol for Establishing Fish Consumption Advisories

  2003cited by this paper
• Adjuvant chemotherapy for breast cancer: how presentation of recurrence risk influences decision-making.

  2003influential reference
• Risk communication strategies: state of the art and effectiveness in the context of cancer genetic services

  2003cited by this paper
• Strategies to help patients understand risks

  2003cited by this paper
• Reckoning with risk: learning to live with uncertainty

  2003cited by this paper
• A randomized comparison of patients’ understanding of number needed to treat and other common risk reduction formats

  2003cited by this paper
• Representation facilitates reasoning: what natural frequencies are and what they are not.

  2002cited by this paper
• The role of translations of verbal into numerical probability expressions in risk management: a meta-analysis

  2002cited by this paper
• Effect of Framing as Gain versus Loss on Understanding and Hypothetical Treatment Choices: Survival and Mortality Curves

  2002cited by this paper
• Frequency or Probability? A Qualitative Study of Risk Communication Formats Used in Health Care

  2001influential reference
• New Tool for Presenting Risk in Obstetrics and Gynecology

  2001cited by this paper
• Women's understanding of a “normal smear test result”: experimental questionnaire based study

  2001cited by this paper
• Identifying patient preferences for communicating risk estimates: A descriptive pilot study

  2001influential reference
• Seeking Information About a Risky Medicine: Effects of Risk-Taking Tendency and Accountability

  2001cited by this paper
• Using survival curve comparisons to inform patient decision making

  2001cited by this paper
• Patients' responses to risk information about the benefits of treating hypertension.

  2001influential reference
• Solving probabilistic and statistical problems: a matter of information structure and question form.

  2001influential reference
• Risk perception and communication: recent developments and implications for anaesthesia

  2001cited by this paper
• Numbers or words? A randomized controlled trial of presenting screen negative results to pregnant women

  2000cited by this paper
• The Directionality of Verbal Probability Expressions: Effects on Decisions, Predictions, and Probabilistic Reasoning.

  1999influential reference
• Patients' understanding of medical risks: implications for genetic counseling.

  1999cited by this paper
• The visual communication of risk.

  1999cited by this paper
• What does it mean to understand a risk? Evaluating risk comprehension.

  1999cited by this paper
• Treating people with information: an analysis and review of approaches to communicating health risk information.

  1999cited by this paper
• Heuristic-Systematic Information Processing and Risk Judgment

  1999cited by this paper
• How Patients' Preferences for Risk Information Influence Treatment Choice in a Case of High Risk and High Therapeutic Uncertainty

  1999cited by this paper
• The Relative Contributions of Injury Severity and Likelihood Information on Hazard-Risk Judgments and Warning Compliance

  1999influential reference
• Judgments of risk and probability: the role of frequentistic information

  1999cited by this paper
• Evaluating Risk Communication: Examining Target Audience Perceptions About Four Presentation Formats for Fish Consumption Health Advisory Information

  1998cited by this paper
• Lay views on uncertainty in environmental health risk assessment

  1998cited by this paper
• Communicating foodborne disease risk.

  1997cited by this paper
• Informed consent: putting risks into perspective.

  1997cited by this paper
• When a 12.86% Mortality is More Dangerous than 24.14%: Implications for Risk Communication

  1997cited by this paper
• Effects of numerical and graphical displays on professed risk-taking behavior.

  1997influential reference
• Judging Cumulative Risk1

  1997cited by this paper
• Multiple Factors that Determine Performance with Tables and Graphs

  1997cited by this paper
• Risk perception and communication unplugged: twenty years of process.

  1995influential reference
• How to Improve Bayesian Reasoning Without Instruction: Frequency Formats

  1995influential reference
• High risk or low: how location on a "risk ladder" affects perceived risk.

  1994influential reference
• Risk communication: absolute versus relative expressions of low-probability risks

  1994influential reference
• The framing effect of relative and absolute risk

  1993cited by this paper
• What Do We Know About Making Risk Comparisons

  1990cited by this paper
• Chernobyl: four years later: attitudes, risk management and communication

  1990cited by this paper
• How do parents of babies interpret qualitative expressions of probability?

  1990influential reference
• Verbal versus numerical probabilities: Efficiency, biases, and the preference paradox☆

  1990cited by this paper
• What Should We Know About Making Risk Comparisons?1

  1990cited by this paper
• Contextual effects in the interpretations of probability words: Perceived base rate and severity of events.

  1990influential reference
• Risk Communication and the Value of Information: Radon as a Case Study

  1990cited by this paper
• Quantitative meanings of verbal probability expressions.

  1989cited by this paper
• Relative importance of scenario information and frequency information in the judgment of risk

  1989influential reference
• Heuristic and systematic information processing within and beyond the persuasion context.

  1989cited by this paper
• Presentation and content: The use of base rates as a continuous variable.

  1988cited by this paper
• Verbal probabilities: Ambiguous, context-dependent, or both?

  1988influential reference
• Communicating Scientific Information About Health and Environmental Risks: Problems and Opportunities from a Social and Behavioral Perspective

  1987influential reference
• Improving risk communication.

  1986influential reference
• Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.

  1984cited by this paper
• Risk Assessment in the Federal Government: Managing the Process

  1983cited by this paper
• Judgment under uncertainty: Facts versus fears: Understanding perceived risk

  1982cited by this paper
• Lay Foibles and Expert Fables in Judgments about Risk

  1982cited by this paper
• PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCE Research Article Numeracy and Decision Making

  year unknowncited by this paper

• Risk Communication in Healthcare: The Management of Misunderstandings

  2026cites this paper
• Analysis of the Cognitive Mechanism of Social Anxiety in Science and Engineering College Students with Low Tolerance of Uncertainty

  2025cites this paper
• Psychological insights for judging expertise and implications for adversarial legal contexts

  2025cites this paper
• An uncertainty‐based risk perspective on risk perception and communication: Opportunities for new empirical‐based research

  2025cites this paper
• Are you understanding what I am saying? The critical importance of communication competency in epidemiology

  2025cites this paper
• You've Been Framed: The Impact of Risk and Time Framings on Contraceptive Preferences in a Discrete Choice Experiment

  2025cites this paper
• A Taxonomy for Quantification of Norwegian Probability Phrases.

  2025cites this paper
• The aging behavior and service time estimation of photovoltaic backsheets based on artificially accelerated aging and outdoor aging

  2025cites this paper
• The Role of Probability Information and Choice Complexity in Demand for Crop Insurance under Climate Change

  2025cites this paper
• Posting environmental risk: Communicating with numerical and nonnumerical messaging across information modalities

  2025cites this paper
• How do young women approaching screening age interpret the NHS cervical screening leaflet? A mixed methods study of identifying interpretation difficulties, barriers, facilitators, and leaflet interpretation, engagement and future screening behaviour

  2024cites this paper
• Risk Perception to Preparedness: 2011 Pre- and Post-Great Tōhoku Japan Earthquake

  2024cites this paper
• A hierarchical analysis of social perceptions of energy system risks

  2024cites this paper
• Risk and Uncertainty Communication in Deployed AI-based Clinical Decision Support Systems: A scoping review

  2024cites this paper
• Laypersons' understanding of statistical concepts commonly used in prescription drug promotion: A review of the research literature.

  2024cites this paper
• Exploring public preferences for alcohol risk communication

  2024cites this paper
• The Effects of Numerical Evidence and Message Framing in Communicating Vaccine Efficacy

  2024cites this paper
• How GPs communicate the urgent suspected cancer referral pathway to patients: a qualitative study of GP–patient consultations

  2024cites this paper
• Spatial distribution of wildfire threat in the far north: exposure assessment in boreal communities

  2024cites this paper
• How Inclusive Are Patient Decision Aids for People with Limited Health Literacy? An Analysis of Understandability Criteria and the Communication about Options and Probabilities

  2024cites this paper
• Presenting predictions and performance of probabilistic models for clinical decision support in trauma care

  2024cites this paper
• The 8 billion milestone: Risk perceptions of global population growth among UK and US residents

  2024cites this paper
• A measure of information value for risk

  2024influential citation
• Do Numerical Probabilities Promote Informed Stated Preference Responses Under Inherent Outcome Uncertainty? Insight from a Coastal Adaptation Choice Experiment

  2024cites this paper
• Assessing the effectiveness of HIV/STI risk communication displays among Melbourne Sexual Health Centre attendees: a cross-sectional, observational and vignette-based study

  2024cites this paper
• Pregnancy Planning and Genetic Testing: Exploring Advantages, and Challenges

  2024cites this paper
• Probability of minority inclusion is underestimated

  2024cites this paper
• It is, uh, very likely? The impact of prosodic uncertainty cues on the perception and interpretation of spoken verbal probability phrases

  2024cites this paper
• “No more COVID-19 messages via social media, please”: the mediating role of COVID-19 message fatigue between information overload, message avoidance, and behavioral intention

  2023cites this paper
• Evolution of Tourism Risk Communication: A Bibliometric Analysis and Meta-Analysis of the Antecedents of Communicating Risk to Tourists

  2023cites this paper
• Communication of Statistics and Evidence in Times of Crisis

  2023cites this paper
• Decoupling Judgment and Decision Making: A Tale of Two Tails

  2023cites this paper
• The Effects of Vaccine Efficacy Information on Vaccination Intentions Through Perceived Response Efficacy and Hope

  2023cites this paper
• Implicit understandings and trust in the doctor-patient relationship: a philosophy of language analysis of pre-operative evaluations

  2023cites this paper
• Using information provision and interactive risk maps to motivate testing for radon

  2023cites this paper
• The Impact of Video-Based Educational Materials with Voiceovers on Preferences for Glucose Monitoring Technology in Patients with Diabetes: A Randomised Study

  2023cites this paper
• Behaviourally-informed household communications increase uptake of radon tests in a randomised controlled trial

  2023cites this paper
• How Visual Design of Severe Weather Outlooks Can Affect Communication and Decision-Making

  2023cites this paper
• Assumptions, uncertainty, and catastrophic/existential risk: National risk assessments need improved methods and stakeholder engagement

  2023cites this paper
• Bibliometric mapping of the trends and contributions of scientific publications to risk and crisis communication regarding South America

  2023cites this paper
• The Effect of Anticipated Regret on Flu Vaccination Campaigns

  2023cites this paper
• The influence of COVID-19 Mortality Rate Formats on Emotional Reactions, Risk perception, and self-protective Behavioral Intentions

  2023influential citation
• Understanding representations of uncertainty, an eye-tracking study – Part 2: The effect of expertise

  2023cites this paper
• Communication of benefits and harms in shared decision making with patients with limited health literacy: A systematic review of risk communication strategies.

  2023cites this paper
• Conservation intensification under risk: An assessment of adoption, additionality, and farmer preferences

  2023cites this paper
• Probability or time: Effect of presentation format on continuous risky decisions

  2023cites this paper
• How People Use Statistics

  2023cites this paper
• Framing effects in disaster risk communication: the case of coastal erosion in the United States

  2023cites this paper
• An appropriate verbal probability lexicon for communicating surgical risks is unlikely to exist.

  2022cites this paper
• ? A Cross-Language Study of How People Verbalize Probabilities in Icon Array Visualizations

  2022cites this paper
• What Influences Citizen Forecasts? The Effects of Information, Elite Cues, and Social Cues

  2022cites this paper
• Comparing quantitative probability of occurrence to a risk matrix approach: A study of chlorine residual data.

  2022cites this paper
• Communication, perception, and use of personalized side-effect risks in prostate cancer treatment-decision making: An observational and interview study.

  2022cites this paper
• Preferences for a polygenic test to estimate cancer risk in a general Australian population.

  2022cites this paper
• A Virtual Counselor for Breast Cancer Genetic Counseling: Adaptive Pedagogy Leads to Greater Knowledge Gain

  2022cites this paper
• Earthquake probability in the National Seismic Hazard Maps for Japan and people’s risk perceptions: the search for more effective expression

  2022cites this paper
• Does It Matter How You Ask? Assessing the Impact of Failure or Effectiveness Framing on Preferences for Antibiotic Treatments in a Discrete Choice Experiment

  2022cites this paper
• Effects of message delivery on cross-cultural biosecurity compliance: Insights from experimental simulations

  2022cites this paper
• Does It Matter How You Ask? Assessing the Impact of Failure or Effectiveness Framing on Preferences for Antibiotic Treatments in a Discrete Choice Experiment

  2022cites this paper
• Improving fire risk communication between authorities and micro‐entrepreneurs: A mental models study of Ghanaian central market fires

  2022cites this paper
• Evaluating the Association Between Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Reduction and Relative and Absolute Effects of Statin Treatment: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

  2022cites this paper
• Communicating Probability Information in Weather Forecasts: Findings and Recommendations from a Living Systematic Review of the Research Literature

  2022cites this paper
• Initial Stage of the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Perspective on Health Risk Communications in the Restaurant Industry

  2022cites this paper
• Assessing strategic, tactical, and operational decision-making and risk in a livestock production chain through experimental simulation platforms

  2022cites this paper
• "Will it work for me?" Developing patient-friendly graphical displays of posttraumatic stress disorder treatment effectiveness.

  2022cites this paper
• Effects of temporal framing and hazard experience on receptivity to hurricane risk messages: A survey of U.S. Gulf Coast residents

  2022cites this paper
• Actionable and understandable? Evidence-based recommendations for the design of (multi-)hazard warning messages

  2022cites this paper
• Information effects on lay tradeoffs between national regulatory costs and benefits

  2022cites this paper
• Kommunikation von Risiken: Warum ist sie schwierig und wie kann sie gelingen

  2022cites this paper
• Smart City Planning with Geomatic Modeling of Lahar Evacuation Routes in the Northern Populated Area of Cotopaxi Volcano, Ecuador

  2022cites this paper
• Are some narratives better than others?: The impact of different narrative forms on adolescents’ intentions to text and drive

  2022cites this paper
• "Am I Private and If So, how Many?" - Using Risk Communication Formats for Making Differential Privacy Understandable

  2022influential citation
• Am I Private and If So, how Many?: Communicating Privacy Guarantees of Differential Privacy with Risk Communication Formats

  2022cites this paper
• The role of perceived risk on dishonest decision making during a pandemic

  2022cites this paper
• Tsunami risk communication and management: Contemporary gaps and challenges

  2022cites this paper
• Trend effects on perceived avalanche hazard

  2022cites this paper
• Creating effective flood warnings: A framework from a critical review

  2021cites this paper
• The Impact of Algorithmic Risk Assessments on Human Predictions and its Analysis via Crowdsourcing Studies

  2021cites this paper
• Impact of COVID-19 forecast visualizations on pandemic risk perceptions

  2021cites this paper
• It’s Not All Doom and Gloom:

  2021cites this paper
• Risk preferences and risk perception affect the acceptance of digital contact tracing

  2021cites this paper
• Imprecision and Preferences in Interpretation of Verbal Probabilities in Health: a Systematic Review

  2021cites this paper
• Exploring Cancer Survivor Needs and Preferences for Communicating Personalized Cancer Statistics From Registry Data: Qualitative Multimethod Study

  2021cites this paper
• Which Type of Statistical Uncertainty Helps Evidence-Based Policymaking? An Insight from a Survey Experiment in Ireland

  2021cites this paper
• Depression and HIV viral nonsuppression among people engaged in HIV care in an urban clinic, 2014–2019

  2021cites this paper
• Message Delivery Strategy Influences Willingness to Comply With Biosecurity

  2021cites this paper
• Communicating future climate projections of precipitation change

  2021cites this paper
• Automating Cancer Genetic Counseling with an Adaptive Pedagogical Agent

  2021cites this paper
• Truncating Bar Graphs Persistently Misleads Viewers

  2021cites this paper
• Antimicrobial-resistant bacteria in food: which behaviour change strategies increase consumers’ risk awareness and preventive food-handling behaviour?

  2021cites this paper
• How good are medical students at communicating risk? An implementation study at three German medical schools.

  2021cites this paper
• A cumulative prospect theory explanation of gamblers cashing-out

  2021cites this paper
• Systematic Reviews Should Consider Effects From Both the Population and the Individual Perspective.

  2021cites this paper
• A comparative analysis on risk communication between international and Chinese literature from the perspective of knowledge domain visualization

  2021cites this paper
• AJPH202033097_Verbeek 820..825

  2021cites this paper
• The Power and Peril of Precise vs. Round Health Message Interventions to Increase Stair Use

  2021cites this paper
• Effects of Communicating Prevalence Information about Two Common Health Conditions

  2021cites this paper
• Journal of Applied Research in Memory and Cognition

  2021cites this paper
• Joint versus separate evaluation modes

  2021cites this paper
• Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP

  2021influential citation