Beyond the Usual Prediction Accuracy Metrics: Reporting Results for Clinical Decision Making

No abstract is available for this paper.

• Publication year

  2012

• Venue

  Annals of Internal Medicine

• Publication date

  2012-08-21

• Fields of study

  Medicine

• Identifiers
  DOI 10.7326/0003-4819-157-4-201208210-00014PMID 22910942
• External record

  Open on Semantic Scholar

• Source metadata

  Semantic Scholar, PubMed

• No claims are published for this paper.

• No concepts are published for this paper.

• Predictive Accuracy of the Liverpool Lung Project Risk Model

  2013cited by this paper
• Predictive Accuracy of the Liverpool Lung Project Risk Model for Stratifying Patients for Computed Tomography Screening for Lung Cancer

  2012cited by this paper
• Assessing the Performance of Prediction Models: A Framework for Traditional and Novel Measures

  2010cited by this paper
• Estimation and Comparison of Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves

  2009cited by this paper
• Putting risk prediction in perspective: relative utility curves.

  2009cited by this paper
• The need for reorientation toward cost‐effective prediction: Comments on ‘Evaluating the added predictive ability of a new marker: From area under the ROC curve to reclassification and beyond’ by Pencina et al., Statistics in Medicine (DOI: 10.1002/sim.2929)

  2008cited by this paper
• The need for reorientation toward cost‐effective prediction: Comments on ‘Evaluating the added predictive ability of a new marker: From area under the ROC curve to reclassification and beyond’ by M. J. Pencina et al., Statistics in Medicine (DOI: 10.1002/sim.2929)

  2008cited by this paper
• Bmc Medical Informatics and Decision Making Extensions to Decision Curve Analysis, a Novel Method for Evaluating Diagnostic Tests, Prediction Models and Molecular Markers

  2008cited by this paper
• Decision Curve Analysis: A Novel Method for Evaluating Prediction Models

  2006cited by this paper
• Limitations of the odds ratio in gauging the performance of a diagnostic, prognostic, or screening marker.

  2004cited by this paper
• Decision Making in Health and Medicine: Integrating Evidence and Values

  2002cited by this paper
• The threshold approach to clinical decision making.

  1980cited by this paper

• Applying decision curve analysis to evaluate a patient-centered opioid prescribing strategy among patients with laparoscopic cholecystectomy in the US.

  2026cites this paper
• A multicenter hemodynamics-based nomogram predicting incomplete occlusion of intracranial aneurysms treated with pipeline embolization device.

  2026cites this paper
• Development and Validation of an Extra Spindle Pole Bodies–like 1–Based Diagnostic and Prognostic Model for Hepatitis B Virus–Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Retrospective Cohort Study

  2025cites this paper
• Addressing Missingness in Predictive Models That Use Electronic Health Record Data.

  2025cites this paper
• Validation and refinement of the ninth edition ypN descriptor in patients with non-small cell lung cancer receiving neoadjuvant therapy.

  2025cites this paper
• The actual performance of ML/AI models in predicting radiation-induced toxicity in head and neck cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

  2025cites this paper
• Development and validation of a dynamic nomogram for acute kidney injury prediction in ICU patients with acute heart failure

  2025cites this paper
• A multimodal deep learning model for cervical pre-cancers and cancers prediction: Development and internal validation study

  2025cites this paper
• Decision from Suboptimal Classifiers: Excess Risk Pre- and Post-Calibration

  2025cites this paper
• Impact of Genetic Risk Factors on Coronary Heart Disease Risk Across the Age Spectrum in Three Major Race/Ethnicity Groups in the United States

  2025cites this paper
• Clinical impact of the Kidney Failure Risk Equation for vascular access planning

  2024cites this paper
• Development and Validation of Clinical-Radiomics Nomogram for Preoperative Prediction of Central Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma.

  2024cites this paper
• Development and External Validation of Models to Predict Persistent Hypoxemic Respiratory Failure for Clinical Trial Enrichment*

  2024cites this paper
• Evaluation of clinical prediction models (part 2): how to undertake an external validation study

  2024cites this paper
• Using anti-Müllerian hormone to predict premature ovarian insufficiency: a retrospective cross-sectional study

  2024cites this paper
• Calibration, Clinical Utility and Specificity of Clinical Decision Support Tools in Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

  2024cites this paper
• Preoperative Prediction of Occult Level V Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: Development and Validation of a Radiomics-Driven Nomogram Model.

  2024cites this paper
• Development and validation of a dynamic nomogram for short-term survival in acute heart failure patients with acute kidney injury upon ICU admission

  2024cites this paper
• Development and validation of a web-based nomogram for acute kidney injury in acute non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding patients

  2024cites this paper
• Machine learning algorithm for predicting seizure control after temporal lobe resection using peri-ictal electroencephalography

  2024cites this paper
• Multitask machine learning-based tumor-associated collagen signatures predict peritoneal recurrence and disease-free survival in gastric cancer

  2024cites this paper
• CT-based whole lung radiomics nomogram for identification of PRISm from non-COPD subjects

  2024cites this paper
• Optimising the use of colonoscopy to improve risk stratification for colorectal cancer in symptomatic patients: A decision-curve analysis

  2024cites this paper
• Development and validation of a nomogram for prediction of recovery from moderate-severe xerostomia post-radiotherapy in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients.

  2023cites this paper
• Development and validation of prognostic nomogram for cirrhotic patients with acute kidney injury upon ICU admission

  2023cites this paper
• Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD): Explanation and Elaboration. Translation into Russian

  2023cites this paper
• A Predictive Model to Estimate Immunogenicity after Receipt of SARS-CoV-2 Vaccines in People with Gastrointestinal Cancer

  2023cites this paper
• Decision curve analysis: confidence intervals and hypothesis testing for net benefit

  2023cites this paper
• An artificial intelligence approach for predicting death or organ failure after hospitalization for COVID-19: development of a novel risk prediction tool and comparisons with ISARIC-4C, CURB-65, qSOFA, and MEWS scoring systems

  2023cites this paper
• Are the MIA and MSKCC nomograms useful in selecting patients with melanoma for sentinel lymph node biopsy?

  2023cites this paper
• Assessing the net benefit of machine learning models in the presence of resource constraints

  2023cites this paper
• The Use of Prognostic Models in Allogeneic Transplants: A Perspective Guide for Clinicians and Investigators.

  2023cites this paper
• Fibroblast growth factor 21 is an independent predictor of prevalent and incident obstructive sleep apnea

  2023cites this paper
• Decision-Making under Miscalibration

  2022cites this paper
• Application of a nomogram to radiomics labels in the treatment prediction scheme for lumbar disc herniation

  2022cites this paper
• A diagnostic prediction model for hypertension in Han and Yugur population from the China National Health Survey (CNHS)

  2022cites this paper
• Validation of a Deep Learning–Based Model to Predict Lung Cancer Risk Using Chest Radiographs and Electronic Medical Record Data

  2022cites this paper
• Incidence and Prognosis Nomogram of Small Solitary Lung Cancer (≤2 cm) With Extra-Thoracic Metastasis at Initial Diagnosis:A Population-Based Study

  2022cites this paper
• Nomogram to Predict Recurrence and Guide a Pragmatic Surveillance Strategy After Resection of Hepatoid Adenocarcinoma of the Stomach: A Retrospective Multicenter Study

  2022cites this paper
• Development and validation of a model for predicting the risk of brain arteriovenous malformation rupture based on three-dimensional morphological features

  2022cites this paper
• Stability of clinical prediction models developed using statistical or machine learning methods

  2022cites this paper
• Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD): Explanation and Elaboration. Russian translation

  2022cites this paper
• Development and validation of novel multimorbidity indices for older adults

  2022cites this paper
• Assessing Performance and Clinical Usefulness in Prediction Models With Survival Outcomes: Practical Guidance for Cox Proportional Hazards Models

  2022cites this paper
• Full Blood Count Trends for Colorectal Cancer Detection in Primary Care: Development and Validation of a Dynamic Prediction Model

  2022cites this paper
• Prediction of 90-Day Local Complications in Patients After Total Knee Arthroplasty: A Nomogram With External Validation

  2022cites this paper
• Utility of a Model for Predicting the Risk of Sentinel Lymph Node Metastasis in Patients With Cutaneous Melanoma.

  2022cites this paper
• A model of multiple tumor marker for lymph node metastasis assessment in colorectal cancer: a retrospective study

  2022cites this paper
• A novel risk-predicted nomogram for sepsis associated-acute kidney injury among critically ill patients

  2021cites this paper
• Leveraging Decision Curve Analysis to Improve Clinical Application of Surgical Risk Calculators.

  2021cites this paper
• Can prognostic factors for indirect muscle injuries in elite football (soccer) players be identified using data from preseason screening? An exploratory analysis using routinely collected periodic health examination records

  2021influential citation
• Decision curve analysis to evaluate the clinical benefit of prediction models.

  2021cites this paper
• A Predictive Nomogram for Red Blood Cell Transfusion in Pheochromocytoma Surgery: A Study on Improving the Preoperative Management of Pheochromocytoma

  2021cites this paper
• Development and Validation of a Nomogram Based on Motoric Cognitive Risk Syndrome for Cognitive Impairment

  2021cites this paper
• Competing endogenous RNA network identifies mRNA biomarkers for overall survival of lung adenocarcinoma: two novel on-line precision medicine predictive tools

  2021cites this paper
• A Nomogram for Predicting Risk of Thromboembolism in Gastric Cancer Patients Receiving Chemotherapy

  2021cites this paper
• Integrative nomogram of intratumoral, peritumoral, and lymph node radiomic features for prediction of lymph node metastasis in cT1N0M0 lung adenocarcinomas

  2021cites this paper
• Minimum sample size for external validation of a clinical prediction model with a binary outcome

  2021cites this paper
• Radiomics Nomogram for Identifying Sub-1 cm Benign and Malignant Thyroid Lesions

  2021cites this paper
• Application of Nomogram Based on Radiomics Label in Prediction of Treatment Scheme for Lumbar Disc Herniation

  2021cites this paper
• Development and validation of a nomogram to predict in-hospital cardiac arrest among patients admitted with acute coronary syndrome.

  2021cites this paper
• Development a nomogram to predict fertilisation rate of infertile males with borderline semen by using semen parameters combined with AMH and INHB

  2021cites this paper
• Establishment of the Radiologic Tumor Invasion Index Based on Radiomics Splenic Features and Clinical Factors to Predict Serous Invasion of Gastric Cancer

  2021cites this paper
• A Machine Learning-Based Prediction Model for Cardiovascular Risk in Women With Preeclampsia

  2021cites this paper
• The value of spleen-preserving lymphadenectomy in total gastrectomy for gastric and esophagogastric junctional adenocarcinomas: A long-term retrospective propensity score match study from a high-volume institution in China.

  2020cites this paper
• Cervical spine osteoradionecrosis or bone metastasis after radiotherapy for nasopharyngeal carcinoma? The MRI-based radiomics for characterization

  2020cites this paper
• Nomogram based on preoperative CT imaging predicts the EGFR mutation status in lung adenocarcinoma

  2020cites this paper
• A Nomogram for Prediction of Survival in Patients After Gastrectomy Within Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS): A Single-Center Retrospective Study

  2020cites this paper
• Reliability and Clinical Utility of Machine Learning to Predict Stroke Prognosis: Comparison with Logistic Regression

  2020cites this paper
• Development of a Novel Serum Exosomal MicroRNA Nomogram for the Preoperative Prediction of Lymph Node Metastasis in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

  2020cites this paper
• Prediction of iatrogenic preterm birth in patients with scarred uterus: a retrospective cohort study in Northeast China

  2020cites this paper
• A PI-RADS-Based New Nomogram for Predicting Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer: A Cohort Study

  2020cites this paper
• Nomogram for Predicting Risk of Digestive Carcinoma Among Patients with Type 2 Diabetes

  2020cites this paper
• The Value of Preseason Screening for Injury Prediction: The Development and Internal Validation of a Multivariable Prognostic Model to Predict Indirect Muscle Injury Risk in Elite Football (Soccer) Players

  2020cites this paper
• The Unrealised Potential for Predicting Pregnancy Complications in Women with Gestational Diabetes: A Systematic Review and Critical Appraisal

  2020cites this paper
• Derivation and Validation of a Prediction Model for Venous Thromboembolism in Primary Care

  2020cites this paper
• CMAR_A_250633 3631..3641

  2020cites this paper
• University of Birmingham The unrealised potential for predicting pregnancy complications in women with gestational diabetes

  2020cites this paper
• DMSO_A_251063 1763..1770

  2020cites this paper
• Development and validation of a simplified nomogram predicting individual critical illness of risk in COVID‐19: A retrospective study

  2020cites this paper
• Hughes, T and Riley, RD and Callaghan, MJ and Sergeant, JC (2020)The Value of Preseason Screening for Injury Prediction: The Development and In- ternal Validation of a Multivariable Prognostic Model to Predict Indirect Mus-

  2020cites this paper
• Deep Learning Using Chest Radiographs to Identify High-Risk Smokers for Lung Cancer Screening Computed Tomography: Development and Validation of a Prediction Model

  2020cites this paper
• A simple, step-by-step guide to interpreting decision curve analysis

  2019cites this paper
• A nomogram for the prediction of cerebrovascular disease among patients with brain necrosis after radiotherapy for nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

  2019cites this paper
• A nomogram based on a gene signature for predicting the prognosis of patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

  2019cites this paper
• Plasma sTNFR1 and IL8 for prognostic enrichment in sepsis trials: a prospective cohort study

  2019cites this paper
• Retraction Note: The diagnostic nomogram of platelet-based score models for hepatic alveolar echinococcosis and atypical liver cancer

  2019cites this paper
• Integrated analysis reveals potential long non-coding RNA biomarkers and their potential biological functions for disease free survival in gastric cancer patients

  2019cites this paper
• A Systematic Review of the Literature Demonstrates Some Errors in the Use of Decision Curve Analysis but Generally Correct Interpretation of Findings

  2019cites this paper
• Prognostic Significance of PSMD1 Expression in Patients with Gastric Cancer

  2019cites this paper
• The competitive endogenous RNA regulatory network reveals potential prognostic biomarkers for overall survival in hepatocellular carcinoma

  2019cites this paper
• External validation of a prediction tool to estimate the risk of human immunodeficiency virus infection amongst men who have sex with men

  2019cites this paper
• RETRACTED ARTICLE: The diagnostic nomogram of platelet-based score models for hepatic alveolar echinococcosis and atypical liver cancer

  2019cites this paper
• Evaluation

  2019cites this paper
• Pre-season screening currently has no value for injury prediction: The development and internal validation of a multivariable prognostic model to predict indirect muscle injury risk in elite football (soccer) players.

  2019cites this paper
• Prognostic significance of nomograms integrating IL‐37 expression, neutrophil level, and MMR status in patients with colorectal cancer

  2018cites this paper
• Reporting and Interpreting Decision Curve Analysis: A Guide for Investigators.

  2018cites this paper
• Prognostic Significance of CSN2, CD8, and MMR Status-Associated Nomograms in Patients with Colorectal Cancer

  2018cites this paper
• Random‐effects meta‐analysis of the clinical utility of tests and prediction models

  2018cites this paper
• Prognostic significance of cystatin SN associated nomograms in patients with colorectal cancer

  2017cites this paper