Languages and Designs for Probability Judgment

No abstract is available for this paper.

• Publication year

  1990

• Venue

  Cognitive Sciences

• Publication date

  1990-06-01

• Fields of study

  Philosophy, Linguistics, Psychology, Computer Science

• Identifiers
  DOI 10.1207/s15516709cog0903_2
• External record

  Open on Semantic Scholar

• Source metadata

  Semantic Scholar

• No claims are published for this paper.

• No concepts are published for this paper.

• Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.

  1984cited by this paper
• Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: the conjunction fallacy in probability judgment

  1983cited by this paper
• Priors and Likelihood Ratios as Evidence

  1983cited by this paper
• Updating Subjective Probability

  1982cited by this paper
• Lindley's Paradox

  1982cited by this paper
• Judgment under uncertainty: A progress report on the training of probability assessors

  1982cited by this paper
• Judgment under uncertainty: The vitality of mythical numbers

  1982cited by this paper
• Book Review Nisbett, R. , & Ross, L.Human inference: Strategies and shortcomings of social judgment.Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1980.

  1982cited by this paper
• Judgment under uncertainty: Variants of uncertainty

  1982influential reference
• Revising Previsions: A Geometric Interpretation

  1981cited by this paper
• Jeffrey's Rule of Conditioning

  1981cited by this paper
• Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment.

  1981cited by this paper
• Sampling and Bayes' inference in scientific modelling and robustness

  1980cited by this paper
• On the Reconciliation of Probability Assessments

  1979cited by this paper
• The Origin of Metal Deposits in the Oceanic Lithosphere

  1978cited by this paper
• The hominids of East Turkana.

  1978cited by this paper
• Exceptional Paper---Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis

  1975cited by this paper
• Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions: Comment

  1975cited by this paper
• Operations analysis during the underwater search for Scorpions

  1971cited by this paper
• Effects of Different Payoff Matrices on Arithmetical Estimation Tasks: An Attempt to Produce “Rationality”

  1969cited by this paper
• Probabilistic Information Processing Systems: Design and Evaluation

  1968cited by this paper

• Pragmatic infallibilism

  2023influential citation
• Elementary probabilistic operations: a framework for probabilistic reasoning

  2023cites this paper
• Local Differential Privacy for Belief Functions

  2022cites this paper
• Uncertainty Handling for Maritime Route Deviation

  2021cites this paper
• Recent Work in Probability and Inference

  2021cites this paper
• Seeing thought in the future: literate forecasting and forecasting literacy

  2021cites this paper
• Seeing thought in the future: literate forecasting and forecasting literacy

  2021cites this paper
• Binary choices dynamics with quantum decision

  2021cites this paper
• Judgment and Decision Making.

  2020cites this paper
• Being Realist about Bayes, and the Predictive Processing Theory of Mind

  2020cites this paper
• Towards a formal comparison of uncertainty handling

  2020cites this paper
• Improving Critical Thinking

  2018cites this paper
• Probabilistic Logic Rule Learning from Small Imperfect Open-World Datasets using a Dempster-Shafer Theoretic Approach

  2017cites this paper
• Dempster-Shafer Evidence Theory and Study of Some Key Problems

  2017cites this paper
• A Mathematical Theory of Evidence turns 40

  2016cites this paper
• Bayesian Cognitive Science, Monopoly, and Neglected Frameworks

  2016cites this paper
• Decision theory , pragmatic encroachment , and Gettier cases

  2016influential citation
• Semantic criteria for the assessment of Uncertainty handling fusion models

  2016cites this paper
• Constructive decision theory

  2016cites this paper
• Ten Lectures on the Philosophy of Game-Theoretic Probability

  2016cites this paper
• Perceived organisational support: a prospective proxy of the individual manager’s commitment to strategic decision-making in organisational context

  2014cites this paper
• A non-linear dynamical approach to belief revision in cognitive behavioral therapy

  2014cites this paper
• Games under Ambiguous Payoffs and Optimistic Attitudes

  2014influential citation
• Belief Functions: Theory and Algorithms

  2014cites this paper
• The cognitive processes underpinning clinical decision in triage assessment: a theoretical conundrum?

  2014cites this paper
• Comments on Quantum Probability Theory

  2014cites this paper
• Category-based updating

  2014cites this paper
• Comment se construisent les raisonnements sur la justice sociale

  2014cites this paper
• Statistical reasoning with set-valued information: Ontic vs. epistemic views

  2014cites this paper
• Can the Various Meanings of Probability Be Reconciled

  2014cites this paper
• The locality and globality of instrumental rationality: the normative significance of preference reversals

  2014cites this paper
• Can quantum probability provide a new direction for cognitive modeling?

  2013cites this paper
• The Role of Calculi in Uncertain Inference Systems

  2013cites this paper
• Intervention Effectiveness Research in Adolescent Health Psychology: Methodological Issues and Strategies

  2013cites this paper
• A quantum probability perspective on the nature of psychological uncertainty

  2013cites this paper
• La falacia de la conjunción en un problema clásico de Tversky y Kahneman

  2013cites this paper
• Health and Safety of Young Workers: Proceedings of a U.S. and Canadian Series of Symposia

  2013cites this paper
• Evaluating Methods for Estimating Existential Risks

  2013cites this paper
• Decision-making, intuition, and the midwife: Understanding heuristics

  2012cites this paper
• The Context-Sensitivity of Rationality and Knowledge

  2012influential citation
• International Journal of Approximate Reasoning

  2012cites this paper
• Relevance and truthfulness in information correction and fusion

  2012cites this paper
• The Emergence of Individual Knowledge in a Group Setting: Mitigating Cognitive Fallacies

  2011cites this paper
• A new combination rule of D-S theory

  2011cites this paper
• A betting interpretation for probabilities and Dempster-Shafer degrees of belief

  2010cites this paper
• Dempster-Shafer Theory

  2010cites this paper
• Bayesian and Belief-Functions Formulas for Auditor Independence Risk Assessment

  2009cites this paper
• Assessing Adolescent Decision-Making Competence.

  2008cites this paper
• Analyzing a Paradox in Dempster-Shafer Theory

  2008influential citation
• Journal of Mathematical Psychology

  2008cites this paper
• Analyzing the combination of conflicting belief functions

  2007cites this paper
• Consumer Weighting of Hedonic and Utilitarian Dimensions ACRoss Judgments

  2007cites this paper
• Author ' s personal copy Assessing adolescent decision-making competence

  2007cites this paper
• The application of Dempster-Shafer theory demonstrated with justification provided by legal evidence

  2007cites this paper
• Is the mind Bayesian? The case for agnosticism

  2006cites this paper
• Numerical uncertainty management in user and student modeling: An overview of systems and issues

  2005cites this paper
• Conflicts of Interest: Commentary: Conflicts of Interest in Policy Analysis: Compliant Pawns in Their Game?

  2005cites this paper
• Understanding Conjunction Fallacies: An Evidence Theory Model of Representativeness

  2005cites this paper
• Warrants for Prescription: Analytically and Empirically Based Approaches to Improving Decision Making

  2005cites this paper
• The conjunction fallacy: a misunderstanding about conjunction?

  2004cites this paper
• Evidence Theory: A Mathematical Framework for Unpredictable Hypotheses

  2004cites this paper
• Precaution, uncertainty and causation in environmental decisions.

  2003cites this paper
• The conjunction fallacy: explanations of the linda problem by the theory of hints

  2003cites this paper
• Preference, Belief, and Similarity: Selected Writings

  2003cites this paper
• An Analysis of the Fraud Triangle

  2003cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: Inferential Correction

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: Extensional versus Intuitive Reasoning

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: Do Analysts Overreact?

  2002cites this paper
• Like goes with like: The role of representativeness in erroneous and pseudo-scientific beliefs.

  2002cites this paper
• Incorporating the Irrelevant: Anchors in Judgments of Belief and Value

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: Clinical versus Actuarial Judgment

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: Heuristics and Biases in Application

  2002cites this paper
• The availability heuristic revisited: Ease of recall and content of recall as distinct sources of information.

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: When Predictions Fail: The Dilemma of Unrealistic Optimism

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: The Use of Statistical Heuristics in Everyday Inductive Reasoning

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: Probability Judgment across Cultures

  2002cites this paper
• Inside the planning fallacy: The causes and consequences of optimistic time predictions.

  2002cites this paper
• Mental contamination and the debiasing problem.

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics”

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability

  2002cites this paper
• Putting adjustment back in the anchoring and adjustment heuristic.

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: The Calibration of Expert Judgment: Heuristics and Biases Beyond the Laboratory

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: Durability Bias in Affective Forecasting

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: The Weighing of Evidence and the Determinants of Confidence

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: How Good Are Fast and Frugal Heuristics?

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: Theory-Driven Reasoning about Plausible Pasts and Probable Futures in World Politics

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: References

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: Imagining Can Heighten or Lower the Perceived Likelihood of Contracting a Disease: The Mediating Effect of Ease of Imagery

  2002cites this paper
• Self-anchoring in conversation: Why language users do not do what they 'should'

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: Remarks on Support Theory: Recent Advances and Future Directions

  2002cites this paper
• Evaluating Evidence When Making Difficult Decisions

  2002cites this paper
• Two systems of reasoning.

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: Intuitive Politicians, Theologians, and Prosecutors: Exploring the Empirical Implications of Deviant Functionalist Metaphors

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: Introduction – Heuristics and Biases: Then and Now

  2002cites this paper
• Representativeness revisited: Attribute substitution in intuitive judgment.

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: Support Theory: A Nonextensional Representation of Subjective Probability

  2002cites this paper
• Foundations for a new theory of plausible and paradoxical reasoning

  2002cites this paper
• Heuristics and Biases: Assessing Uncertainty in Physical Constants

  2002cites this paper
• Auditors’ Evaluations of Uncertain Audit Evidence: Belief Functions versus Probabilities

  2002influential citation