Change-point analysis as a tool to detect abrupt climate variations

No abstract is available for this paper.

• Publication year

  2012

• Venue

  Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences

• Publication date

  2012-03-13

• Fields of study

  Medicine, Computer Science, Environmental Science

• Identifiers
  DOI 10.1098/rsta.2011.0383PMID 22291231
• External record

  Open on Semantic Scholar

• Source metadata

  Semantic Scholar, PubMed

• No claims are published for this paper.

• No concepts are published for this paper.

• Detection of Changes

  2019cited by this paper
• Identification and characterization of abrupt changes in the land uptake of carbon

  2012cited by this paper
• Early warning of climate tipping points from critical slowing down: comparing methods to improve robustness

  2012cited by this paper
• Nonlinear softening as a predictive precursor to climate tipping

  2011cited by this paper
• Mean shift testing in correlated data

  2011cited by this paper
• A simultaneous analysis of gradual and abrupt changes in Canadian low streamflows

  2011cited by this paper
• A Bayesian normal homogeneity test for the detection of artificial discontinuities in climatic series

  2010cited by this paper
• Change point analysis of extreme values

  2010cited by this paper
• Schwarz information criterion based tests for a change-point in regression models

  2010cited by this paper
• An MDL approach to the climate segmentation problem

  2010cited by this paper
• Detection of changes in variance of oceanographic time-series using changepoint analysis

  2010cited by this paper
• Consistency of global satellite‐derived aerosol and cloud data sets with recent brightening observations

  2010cited by this paper
• Change‐point analysis of mean annual rainfall data from Tucumán, Argentina

  2010cited by this paper
• Bayesian Changepoint Analysis for Extreme Events (Typhoons, Heavy Rainfall, and Heat Waves): An RJMCMC Approach

  2010cited by this paper
• Ratio test for variance change point in linear process with long memory

  2010cited by this paper
• Bayesian multiple change points and segmentation: Application to homogenization of climatic series

  2009cited by this paper
• Early-warning signals for critical transitions

  2009cited by this paper
• Trends and regional distributions of land and ocean carbon sinks

  2009cited by this paper
• Intercomparison of homogenization techniques for precipitation data

  2008cited by this paper
• Analysis of annual maximal and minimal temperatures for some European cities by change point methods

  2008cited by this paper
• Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system

  2008cited by this paper
• Methods for Starting the Detection of Undocumented Multiple Changepoints

  2008cited by this paper
• Accounting for Autocorrelation in Detecting Mean Shifts in Climate Data Series Using the Penalized Maximal t or F Test

  2008cited by this paper
• Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change

  2008cited by this paper
• Maximum log-likelihood ratio test for a change in three parameter Weibull distribution

  2007cited by this paper
• Does the El Niño–Southern Oscillation control the interhemispheric radiocarbon offset?

  2007cited by this paper
• A modified method for detecting incipient bifurcations in a dynamical system

  2007cited by this paper
• Changepoint Detection in Periodic and Autocorrelated Time Series

  2007cited by this paper
• Bayesian multivariate linear regression with application to change point models in hydrometeorological variables

  2007cited by this paper
• A Review and Comparison of Changepoint Detection Techniques for Climate Data

  2007cited by this paper
• Recursion‐based multiple changepoint detection in multiple linear regression and application to river streamflows

  2007cited by this paper
• Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences

  2007cited by this paper
• Penalized Maximal t Test for Detecting Undocumented Mean Change in Climate Data Series

  2007cited by this paper
• Attributes of Several Methods for Detecting Discontinuities in Mean Temperature Series

  2006cited by this paper
• B Method

  2006cited by this paper
• Effective saturated hydraulic conductivity of two‐dimensional random multifractal fields

  2006cited by this paper
• Bayesian Multiple Changepoint Analysis of Hurricane Activity in the Eastern North Pacific: A Markov Chain Monte Carlo Approach

  2006cited by this paper
• Statistical Process Control for Shifts in Mean or Variance Using a Changepoint Formulation

  2005cited by this paper
• An assessment of three alternatives to linear trends for characterizing global atmospheric temperature changes

  2004cited by this paper
• A sequential algorithm for testing climate regime shifts

  2004cited by this paper
• Shcal04 Southern Hemisphere Calibration, 0–11.0 Cal Kyr BP

  2004cited by this paper
• Pacific and Atlantic Ocean influences on multidecadal drought frequency in the United States

  2004cited by this paper
• Piecewise linear fitting and trend changing points of climate parameters

  2004cited by this paper
• Intcal04 Terrestrial Radiocarbon Age Calibration, 0–26 Cal Kyr BP

  2004cited by this paper
• Comments on “Detection of Undocumented Changepoints: A Revision of the Two-Phase Regression Model”

  2003cited by this paper
• Comparison of techniques for detection of discontinuities in temperature series

  2003cited by this paper
• Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit

  2002cited by this paper
• Detection of Undocumented Changepoints: A Revision of the Two-Phase Regression Model

  2002cited by this paper
• Model Selection and the Principle of Minimum Description Length

  2001cited by this paper
• Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems

  2001cited by this paper
• Permutation tests in change point analysis

  2001cited by this paper
• Bayesian Estimation of change points using the general linear model

  2001cited by this paper
• ON CHANGE POINT DETECTION AND ESTIMATION

  2001cited by this paper
• Wind-Driven Shifts in the Latitude of the Kuroshio–Oyashio Extension and Generation of SST Anomalies on Decadal Timescales*

  2001cited by this paper
• Empirical evidence for North Pacific regime shifts in 1977 and 1989

  2000cited by this paper
• Parametric Statistical Change Point Analysis

  2000cited by this paper
• Bayesian analysis of mixture models with an unknown number of components- an alternative to reversible jump methods

  2000cited by this paper
• The record breaking global temperatures of 1997 and 1998: Evidence for an increase in the rate of global warming?

  2000cited by this paper
• Climate change in Ireland from precipitation and streamflow observations

  1999cited by this paper
• Change point analysis of a Gaussian model

  1999cited by this paper
• A Technique for the Identification of Inhomogeneities in Canadian Temperature Series

  1998cited by this paper
• Homogeneity adjustments of in situ atmospheric climate data: a review

  1998cited by this paper
• Limit Theorems in Change-Point Analysis

  1997cited by this paper
• Testing and Locating Variance Changepoints with Application to Stock Prices

  1997cited by this paper
• Some Problems with Application of Change-Point Detection Methods to Environmental Data

  1997cited by this paper
• A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production

  1997cited by this paper
• Resistant, Robust and Non-Parametric Techniques for the Analysis of Climate Data: Theory and Examples, Including Applications to Historical Radiosonde Station Data

  1996cited by this paper
• Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes

  1995cited by this paper
• Jump and sharp cusp detection by wavelets

  1995cited by this paper
• A new method for detecting undocumented discontinuities in climatological time series

  1995cited by this paper
• Reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo computation and Bayesian model determination

  1995cited by this paper
• Extension and integration of atmospheric carbon dioxide data into a globally consistent measurement record

  1995cited by this paper
• Use of Cumulative Sums of Squares for Retrospective Detection of Changes of Variance

  1994cited by this paper
• The Effect of Serial Correlation on Tests for Parameter Change at Unknown Time

  1993cited by this paper
• Unmasking a shifty climate system.

  1992cited by this paper
• International Geophysics Series

  1992cited by this paper
• A Bayesian significance test of the stationarity of regression parameters

  1991cited by this paper
• Atmospheric carbon dioxide at Mauna Loa Observatory: 2. Analysis of the NOAA GMCC data, 1974–1985

  1989cited by this paper
• Estimating the number of change-points via Schwarz' criterion

  1988cited by this paper
• Testing for Climate Change: An Application of the Two-Phase Regression Model

  1987cited by this paper
• A homogeneity test applied to precipitation data

  1986cited by this paper
• Change-point problem with correlated observations, with an application in material accountancy

  1986cited by this paper
• Some Bayesian Inferences for a Changing Linear Model

  1980cited by this paper
• On the Likelihood Ratio Test for a Shift in Location of Normal Populations

  1979cited by this paper
• A Non‐Parametric Approach to the Change‐Point Problem

  1979cited by this paper
• Estimating the Dimension of a Model

  1978cited by this paper
• A Shift Of The Mean Level In A Sequence Of Independent Normal Random Variables—A Bayesian Approach—

  1977cited by this paper
• Tests for Variance Shift at an Unknown Time Point

  1977cited by this paper
• Techniques for Testing the Constancy of Regression Relationships Over Time

  1975cited by this paper
• Inference about the change-point in a sequence of binomial variables

  1970cited by this paper
• A Test for a Shifting Slope Coefficient in a Linear Model

  1970cited by this paper
• Inference about the intersection in two-phase regression

  1969cited by this paper
• ESTIMATING THE CURRENT MEAN OF A NORMAL DISTRIBUTION WHICH IS SUBJECTED TO CHANGES IN TIME

  1964cited by this paper
• The Estimation of the Parameters of a Linear Regression System Obeying Two Separate Regimes

  1958cited by this paper
• International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos © World Scientific Publishing Company PREDICTING CLIMATE TIPPING AS A NOISY BIFURCATION: A REVIEW

  year unknowncited by this paper

• Statistical investigation of heatwave trends and change points in Telangana, India

  2026cites this paper
• Wasserstein-based identification of metastable states in time series data via change point detection and segment clustering

  2026cites this paper
• Paleolimnology uncovers environmental drivers of cyanobacterial blooms, species shifts and toxin emergence

  2026cites this paper
• Multiple Change Point Detection in Time Series with Non-stationary Dynamics

  2026cites this paper
• Exploring Climate Trends and Extremes in India: A Study of Temperature and Rainfall from 1980 to 2023

  2025cites this paper
• On joint testing of changes in conditional mean and variance functions of stationary and ergodic time series

  2025cites this paper
• Comprehensive global assessment of precipitation trend and pattern variability considering their distribution dynamics

  2025cites this paper
• Hydro-climatic stress and ecosystem vulnerability in a highland lake: the case of Dayet Aoua (1935–2022), Middle Atlas, Morocco

  2025cites this paper
• Assessing climate change impacts on rice yield under compound extreme events using DSSAT-CERES-Rice

  2025cites this paper
• RUL prediction based on a two-phase random volatility inverse Gaussian process

  2025cites this paper
• A change-point method for multi-lead electrocardiogram monitoring using weighted multivariate functional principal component analysis

  2025cites this paper
• Change Point Detection in the Frequency Domain with Statistical Reliability

  2025cites this paper
• AI‐Assisted Literature Review: Integrating Visualization and Geometric Features for Insightful Analysis

  2025cites this paper
• PINN-Infused Hybrid ML Forecasting on Lake-Effect Precipitation

  2025cites this paper
• Learning Sinkhorn Divergences for Change Point Detection

  2025cites this paper
• In-DMU: Modeling Uncertainty in Interferometric SAR-Based Deformation Monitoring

  2025cites this paper
• An insight from homogeneity testing of long-term rainfall datasets over East Java, Indonesia

  2024influential citation
• Nonparametric method of structural break detection in stochastic time series regression model

  2024cites this paper
• A recent surge in global warming is not detectable yet

  2024cites this paper
• Changes in Climatological Variables at Stations around Lake Erie and Lake Michigan

  2024cites this paper
• Spatial and temporal variability of temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation in Magdalena department, Colombia from 2000 to 2022

  2024cites this paper
• The 4.2 ka event is not remarkable in the context of Holocene climate variability

  2024cites this paper
• New Algorithm for Detecting Weak Changes in the Mean in a Class of CHARN Models with Application to Welding Electrical Signals

  2024cites this paper
• Statistical approaches for improved definition of carbon isotope excursions

  2024cites this paper
• Change-Point Detection in Functional First-Order Auto-Regressive Models

  2024cites this paper
• Detecting Pivotal Moments Using Changepoint Analysis of Noble Marriages during the Time of the Republic of Venice

  2024cites this paper
• Efficient estimation and selection for regularized dynamic logistic regression

  2024cites this paper
• Predicting Future Change-points in Time Series

  2024cites this paper
• Unsupervised Change Point Detection in Multivariate Time Series

  2024cites this paper
• Net primary production annual maxima in the North Atlantic projected to shift in the 21st century

  2024cites this paper
• Ecosystem Resilience Monitoring and Early Warning Using Earth Observation Data: Challenges and Outlook

  2024cites this paper
• A new online learning algorithm for streaming data and decision support with a Bayesian approach

  2024cites this paper
• Simulated Abrupt Shifts in Aerobic Habitats of Marine Species in the Past, Present, and Future

  2024cites this paper
• Carbon dioxide emissions and environmental risks: Long term and short term

  2024cites this paper
• The noise is the signal: spatio-temporal variability of production and productivity in high elevation meadows in the Sierra Nevada mountain range of North America

  2024cites this paper
• Capturing the uncertainty about a sudden change in the properties of time series with confidence curves

  2023cites this paper
• Identifying the shift in global wildfire weather conditions over the past four decades: an analysis based on change-points and long-term trends

  2023cites this paper
• Detecting Global Events with Bayesian Changepoint Detection on Flight Data

  2023cites this paper
• Guidance note on best statistical practices for TOAR analyses

  2023cites this paper
• Autocorrelation and Parameter Estimation in a Bayesian Change Point Model

  2023cites this paper
• PEAK: Policy Event Assessment of COVID-19 Cases at the Start of the Pandemic in New York City

  2023cites this paper
• Hydroclimatic Change in Turpan Basin under Climate Change

  2023cites this paper
• Impact of comparative effectiveness research on Medicare coverage of direct oral anticoagulants.

  2022cites this paper
• Relating the Kinetics of Grain-Boundary Complexion Transitions and Abnormal Grain Growth: A Monte Carlo Time-Temperature-Transformation Approach

  2022cites this paper
• Interdecadal changes in the genesis activity of the first tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific from 1979 to 2016

  2022influential citation
• Detection of climate transitions and discontinuities by Hurst rescaling

  2022cites this paper
• Diurnal Variations in Different Precipitation Duration Events over the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration

  2022cites this paper
• Learning Sinkhorn divergences for supervised change point detection

  2022cites this paper
• South African winter rainfall zone shifts: A comparison of seasonality metrics for Cape Town from 1841–1899 and 1933–2020

  2022cites this paper
• Good Practices and Common Pitfalls in Climate Time Series Changepoint Techniques: A Review

  2022cites this paper
• Change points in marine recreational fisheries – The impact of stock status and fisheries regulations: A case from the western Baltic Sea

  2022cites this paper
• Detecting changes in mixed‐sampling rate data sequences

  2022cites this paper
• Land use change and climate dynamics in the Rift Valley Lake Basin, Ethiopia

  2022cites this paper
• Hydrological changes: are they present at local scales?

  2021cites this paper
• A change-point detection method for detecting and locating the abrupt changes in distributions of damage-sensitive features of SHM data, with application to structural condition assessment

  2021cites this paper
• Measurement and Modeling of Spontaneous Imbibition of Water into Unsaturated, Fractured Low-Porosity Rocks

  2021cites this paper
• Using the Change Point Model (CPM) Framework to Identify Windows for Water Resource Management Action in the Lower Colorado River Basin of Texas, USA

  2021cites this paper
• Testing reliability of the spatial Hurst exponent method for detecting a change point

  2021cites this paper
• Change-point detection for density sequence extracted from SHM data, with application to distributional information break diagnosis encountered in structural condition assessment

  2021cites this paper
• A Dirichlet process model for change‐point detection with multivariate bioclimatic data

  2021cites this paper
• Assessing the state of homogeneity, variability and trends in the rainfall time series from 1969 to 2017 and its significance for groundwater in north-east India

  2021cites this paper
• A two-stage variational jump point detection algorithm for real estate analysis

  2021cites this paper
• Noise can create or erase long transient dynamics

  2021cites this paper
• Jump point identification in hydro-meteorological time series by crossing methodology

  2021cites this paper
• Changepoint Detection: An Analysis of the Central England Temperature Series

  2021cites this paper
• Variations in Organic Carbon Content and Dehydrogenases Activity in Post-Agriculture Forest Soils: A Case Study in South-Western Pomerania

  2021cites this paper
• Decoding trend of Indian summer monsoon rainfall using multimethod approach

  2021cites this paper
• Automatic detection of abrupt transitions in paleoclimate records.

  2021cites this paper
• Megadroughts and pluvials in southwest Australia: 1350–2017 CE

  2021cites this paper
• Evaluating the ability of numerical models to capture important shifts in environmental time series: A fuzzy change point approach

  2021cites this paper
• Investigating Effect of Temperature Fluctuations on Electricity Consumption in Babolsar

  2021cites this paper
• A low-cost method for monitoring snow characteristics at remote field sites

  2020cites this paper
• Standard normal homogeneity test as a tool to detect change points in climate-related river discharge variation: case study of the Kupa River Basin

  2020cites this paper
• Contributions to Structured Variable Selection Towards Enhancing Model Interpretation and Computation Efficiency

  2020cites this paper
• Improved and extended tide gauge records for the British Isles leading to more consistent estimates of sea level rise and acceleration since 1958

  2020cites this paper
• Streamflow Alterations, Attributions, and Implications in Extended East Rapti Watershed, Central-Southern Nepal

  2020cites this paper
• Edge Detection Reveals Abrupt and Extreme Climate Events

  2020cites this paper
• Change-Point Detection in Autoregressive Processes via the Cross-Entropy Method

  2020cites this paper
• Multidecadal variability in the Nile River basin hydroclimate controlled by ENSO and Indian Ocean dipole.

  2020cites this paper
• Early Warning from Space for a Few Key Tipping Points in Physical, Biological, and Social-Ecological Systems

  2020cites this paper
• Interval Change-Point Detection for Runtime Probabilistic Model Checking

  2020cites this paper
• Precipitation Regime Shift Associated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation in the Maritime Continent

  2020cites this paper
• Running the COVID-19 marathon: the behavioral adaptations in mobility and facemask over 27 weeks of pandemic in Seoul, South Korea

  2020cites this paper
• Novel Approach for Calibrating Freeway Highway Multi-Regimes Fundamental Diagram

  2020cites this paper
• Estimating the blast sill thickness using changepoint analysis of MWD data

  2020cites this paper
• Confidence curves for change points in hydrometeorological time series

  2020cites this paper
• Multiple Change-point Modeling of Degradation Signal for Prognostics Improvement

  2020cites this paper
• OPTIMAL CHANGE-POINT ESTIMATION IN TIME SERIES By Ngai

  2020influential citation
• Dispersals as demographic processes: testing and describing the spread of the Neolithic in the Balkans

  2020cites this paper
• Change-in-Slope Optimal Partitioning Algorithm in a Finite-Size Parameter Space

  2020cites this paper
• Research on the Influence of Abrupt Climate Changes on the Analysis of Typical Meteorological Year in China

  2020cites this paper
• Climate change effects on annual streamflow of Filyos

  2020cites this paper
• Improved and extended tide gauge records for the British Isles leading to more consistent estimates of sea level rise and acceleration since 1958

  2020cites this paper
• Dynamics of Contact Angles and Hemiwicking on Rock Fracture Faces

  2019cites this paper
• AGCT: a hybrid model for identifying abrupt and gradual change in hydrological time series

  2019cites this paper
• A new method for detecting abrupt shifts in time series

  2019cites this paper
• Standard Normal Homogeneity Test as a Tool to Detect Climate-Related River Discharge Variation Change Points

  2019cites this paper
• Bootstrap Pettitt test for detecting change points in hydroclimatological data: case study of Itaipu Hydroelectric Plant, Brazil

  2019cites this paper
• Impact of rainfall variability and anthropogenic activities on streamflow changes and water stress conditions across Tapi Basin in India.

  2019cites this paper
• Comparative analysis of nonparametric change-point detectors commonly used in hydrology

  2019cites this paper